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Cycle Extension – Inversion – 2021 or 2032?

February 7, 2018

QUESTION: Marty; Just wow. You called the day of the high and then said the market would make a new low yesterday, a directional change would take it back up and that was the low. I do not understand why the world is not knocking down your door. Then again, I guess they did that’s why […]

Will the Market Make New Highs Again?

February 7, 2018

QUESTION: Marty; I have been following you since the 1980s. I was there at your WEC in 1987 when you had to hold one every weekend for three weeks in a row the world was going so crazy. I have never known your model to miss a high or picking the low in a panic. Will […]

Forecasting the Event – Not the People

February 7, 2018

COMMENT: The Superbowl forecast is bigger than you think. I’ve been an avid reader of your blog for over 3 years now and your insights cured me of my gold buggery. Thank You again. The most important part of your Superbowl post in my opinion was the following: “The Triple Crown was a piece of cake […]

Asset Allocation & Diversification

February 7, 2018

QUESTION: You do not believe in wide diversification? ANSWER: No. Wide diversification is only required when the investor does not have a clue about what is going on in the markets. We have asset allocation models for Institutions who simply believe they must have some diversification. The main objective is to limit the areas they […]

VIX Losses Feeding Collapse

February 7, 2018

QUESTION: I have heard first hand from some significant players that do speaking engagements for very large pension funds that a product was being offered to the pension funds as a yield enhancer that was based around selling the VIX.   First off, why would anyone trust a product that is being offered by a big […]

Market Talk- February 6th, 2018

February 6, 2018

The Nikkei closes 4.75% lower, the Hang Seng is down 5.1%, ASX and Shanghai both around 3.3% and the VIX trading with a 50 handle! Anyone short vol. (and the rumour is there are a few) will be panic buying and chasing the market. Gold at best only added $10 from yesterdays close but we […]

VIX Losses Feeding Collapse

February 6, 2018

QUESTION: I have heard first hand from some significant players that do speaking engagements for very large pension funds that a product was being offered to the pension funds as a yield enhancer that was based around selling the VIX.   First off, why would anyone trust a product that is being offered by a big […]

Modi Has Sent More People Fleeing from India Than At Any Previous Time

February 6, 2018

Politicians just do not get it. They have convinced themselves that they can tax whatever they desire and people have no choice but to pay. Missing in their analysis are two influences (1) people just stop earning income for it reaches a point it is not worth working anymore, and (2) you simply pick-up and […]

Superbowl Forecast

February 6, 2018

COMMENT #1: Hi Marty, wow. Just wow. I read the blog post on the Superbowl coming up. You casually interpreted the Eagles plus Player Foles as more eligible for a win – cyclically. Additionally, according to bookmakers – the majority was wrong (as it must be). You did not specifically point that out, but casually […]

Socrates on the Dow as of Last Friday

February 6, 2018

  Socrates Analysis for the Dow Jones as of Last Friday – February 2nd, 2018 SOCRATES SUMMARY ANALYSIS THE ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE AS OF THE CLOSE OF Fri. Feb. 2, 2018: Dow Jones Industrials closed today at 2552096 and is trading up about 3.24% for the year from last year’s closing of 2471922. Thus far, we […]

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