All posts in " Basic Concepts "

Why Corporations Die

October 5, 2016

QUESTION: Hello Martin and thank you for all your fascinating and informative emails. I’m probably naive and unrealistic (if everything goes in cycles maybe it’s just the way of the World) but I just read your email about Sears and felt pretty sad to see something that survived well for a long time and provided so […]

Did the Fed Really Say they Could Buy Stocks?

October 1, 2016

The Fed told Congress it would buy stocks if Congress allowed it. This statement has caused a lot of people to scratch their heads. Will this cause all the stock bears to rethink their prognostications of a major stock market crash? This was not even on the radar of most people. Some have reported this […]

Opinion Infected by Bias

September 9, 2016

QUESTION: Marty; Why do you say your opinion is not worth much? You have been around for some time and you are the only analyst to have been behind the curtain. If anyone’s opinion carries any weight, it has to be yours. RJ ANSWER:Yes. Experience is everything. You cannot forecast something you have never seen, […]

Cycle of War & Climate Change – A Lethal Combination

August 25, 2016

Historically, crops fail during periods when the weather turns sharply colder. Rising food shortages coincide with rising aggression. This seems to be a link back into ancient times. The way the climate is now turning colder is in direct harmony with the war cycle. Switzerland began recording temperatures in 1864, which provide a good European […]

Is Value Investing a Safe Bet?

August 10, 2016

QUESTION: What do you think of value investing? Bob ANSWER: As with everything, a cycle that you have to understand will unfold. Everything will move to extremes on both sides and you must understand the driving forces. Look at the PE Ratio. People write in and say I am wrong and the market must crash because […]

Political Correctness Going Nuts

August 9, 2016

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, it appears to me that we are moving to the extreme in political correctness to the point it is creating children who can no longer rep the very benefits of civilization. Have you seen this latest insanity in Australia where children cannot even clap their hands? PD ANSWER: Yes, I agree. Placing […]

The Mechanism Behind the Rise & Fall of Nations

August 8, 2016

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I recently read a book which claims that the disparity of wealth among nations is something recently unfolding post-Columbus. The thesis claims that before 1500, the income differences between nations were small. It proposes that only since the discovery of America, the interplay between geography, globalization, technological change, and economic policy has determined […]

Have I Ever Been Wrong?

August 8, 2016

  QUESTION: Have you ever been wrong? HS ANSWER: Since I am human, the obvious answer must be YES! I have stood up and explained at conferences how I made a bunch of money when I was 13 in the metals/coin market. My father thought I was too much of a speculator and told me I should […]

Slingshot v Phase Transition

August 7, 2016

QUESTION: You’ve just mentioned there remains a chance for gold to perform a slingshot move downward and then up in January. Does it still appear the Dow will slingshot (make a new low) also even though it has recently broken to new highs? S ANSWER: We achieved the slingshot in the S&P and the NASDAQ, and I have previously […]

If Everyone Followed Socrates Would Anything Change?

August 6, 2016

QUESTION: Hello, Mr. Armstrong. Some years back, I asked what would happen if everyone knew about the ECM. You provided an answer on your blog. Now, that the trader version of Socrates is soon to be made available for the public…: What happens to the trading community (market makers / service providers / traders) when you (through […]

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