All posts in " Central Banks "

The End of Keynesian-Monetarist Theory

May 2, 2019

QUESTION: Thank you for your great work. I have read this article where Kudlow says: White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow predicted that it is possible the Federal Reserve won’t hike interest rates again during his lifetime: My question is do you think he is right? And what will the consequence be if the interest rate […]

What Will the Fed do in a Contagion?

May 1, 2019

QUESTION: I have been following your blog for a number of years, public and private. I read the blog concerning “European Politics.” In it you state the capital flight will be a contagion. I understand what the influx of European capital will have on the DOW and S&P, but much less certain of the duration of […]

The Great Unknown – The Bond Contagion

April 29, 2019

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Trailer-Bond-Contagion.mp4 We are facing a very interesting financial crisis that has never before been witnessed because this is how the Socialist Utopian Society will crash and burn. We are beyond all economic theories for nobody from Keynes back to Adam Smith ever contemplated what would happen with the deadly theory of Quantitative Easing constructed upon […]

Bank of Japan & the Bond Crisis

April 26, 2019

BoJ Statement 4-24-2019 The Great Financial Unknown is now upon us. After 10 years of Quantitative Easing, the European Central Bank (ECB) in Europe owns 40% of the national debts in the EU and it can neither sell them nor stop buying without creating a Panic in Interest Rates. Likewise, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) […]

Nagai of Nomura Confirms Japan Destroyed the Bond Market

April 24, 2019

In Japan, Nomura’s chief Koji Nagai took over as Nomura’s chief executive back in 2012 and followed that appointment with a $1bn cost-reduction plan that was criticized both externally and internally for failing to target the inefficient divisions of Nomura’s domestic operations in Japan. The latest program will see the company close more than 30 […]

The Dawn of the Great Financial Unknown

April 24, 2019

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I assume you read that Mr. Nagai  has confirmed what you have been saying that the central banks have destroyed the bond markets. I must confess, his comments have finally struck a vein in our senior management. I have been trying to explain your view to them but nobody wanted to think […]

Basel III – IMF – Liquidity Crisis

April 4, 2019

QUESTION: As of today, Basel III comes in effect. Rumour goes that in a couple of months, there will be a lot of turmoil on the market and it would be the start of the implementation of an SDR like thing where people would lose 20-30% of their value and get stuck with this new […]

US$ Rallies as Central Banks Sell Dollars

April 3, 2019

QUESTION: I am a mega dollar bull – I totally get how it is the only game in town.  I’ve lived it too, having seen how the big banks work their balance sheets from the inside. However… occasionally people send me charts like the one below and get all excited.  They say we are de dollarizing […]

Is the FED Throwing in the Towel?

March 22, 2019

QUESTION: Dear Martin, you commented very intensively on the ECB destroying bond markets and the failure of monetary policy in Europe. By yesterday the US Fed also declared the end of the shrinking of the balance sheet. Possibly they will start QE4. So I would warmly welcome your comment on the US Fed – throwing […]

Draghi – The Opportunity & the Nightmare

March 14, 2019

  I cannot stress enough that Mario Draghi has really destroyed the European economy on an unprecedented scale. I know people who worked on trading desks years ago when Mario Draghi before he was head of the ECB, was there to observe how things operated. His policy of perpetual low to negative interest rates is […]

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