All posts in " Forecasts "
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Trying to Forecast Long-Term Technology Trends

By admin / September 22, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I have a hard time envisioning this age of knowledge some claim is behind cryptocurrencies and others claim is behind robots that necessitate a guarantee welfare system. Do you give any credence to these type of forecasts of the long-term future? BG ANSWER: No. This idea that we advance to a higher state of […]

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Hidden Order Inside the Chaos or “Noise”

By admin / July 14, 2018

QUESTION: Martin, I have been reading about machine learning recently and have come across a concept that I believe you might have figured out that no one else has. To quote Max Welling “The information we receive from the world has two components to it: there is the part of the information which does not carry […]

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The Crisis in Analysis – Is it Just Hopeless?

By admin / April 30, 2018

A new study has come out taking issue with the entire climate change forecasts putting forth that it is at best 45% as intense as the prognostications put forth. The greatest flaw is just how poor these people do their research. They are TOTALLY ignorant of any cyclical trend and project that if the temperature […]

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The Resistance to Change is Why We have Panics

By admin / March 15, 2018

COMMENT: I have been following your blogs for the past two years and have attended the past two WECs. I read with interest your continued comments on CALPERS and its pension mismanagement. I’m an attorney advisor and a client disclosed a few months ago that they had purchased $1m in municipal debt on the recommendation […]

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Why People Hate? Is It for only Three Reasons?

By admin / February 10, 2018

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I find it astonishing that there are people who really hate you to the core. Nobody has been a greater forecaster than you and because of that, they attack you. Your forecast on the Dow and then you come out and say here is the high and it then starts to crash, […]

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Forecasting the Event – Not the People

By admin / February 7, 2018

COMMENT: The Superbowl forecast is bigger than you think. I’ve been an avid reader of your blog for over 3 years now and your insights cured me of my gold buggery. Thank You again. The most important part of your Superbowl post in my opinion was the following: “The Triple Crown was a piece of cake […]

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Asset Allocation & Diversification

By admin / February 7, 2018

QUESTION: You do not believe in wide diversification? ANSWER: No. Wide diversification is only required when the investor does not have a clue about what is going on in the markets. We have asset allocation models for Institutions who simply believe they must have some diversification. The main objective is to limit the areas they […]

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Is Everyone Now Bullish in Stocks?

By admin / January 29, 2018

At last, we have entered the middle-ground of analytical thought. Between 2009 and 2017, the majority were bearish calling for the inevitable crash any day now. So after 8,6 years, they have now crossed the Rubicon and we now see there is a general expectation that stocks will keep rising, albeit at a slower pace. […]

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Trading by Systems

By admin / January 27, 2018

QUESTION: Can you trade with the Global Market Watch? Does experience count right now with what you call a Vertical Market? DS ANSWER: No. It is an alert to wake you up, not a trading tool. It will alert you to breakouts, waterfalls, highs, or lows. It is not a 100%. It is far better […]

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Does the Gov’t Seek to keep the public Blind, Deaf, and Dumb?

By admin / January 18, 2018

COMMENT: I watched the Forecaster after ordering the DVD from Amazon. Aside from the fact that it brought tears to my and my wife’s eyes, your forecasts on this year being exceptionally cold, your forecast of Brexit, Trump, the Dow and countless other things, it is not hard to see why the government wanted your […]

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