Asia: The topic for 2019 has certainly been the US-China trade negotiations. Today indicated the matter is far from solved. Negotiations are still ongoing with 21 days until the deadline. Also, like Germany, Trump wishes to ban all Chinese Telecommunications within the US as geopolitics are certainly heating up. China will reopen on Monday. […]
Asia: As the majority of the major markets are closed, the Nikkei yet again took central focus. The Nikkei moved up 60 bps as we saw capital flows move into Japan. The USD/JPY also weakened by 20 bps to 109.73. The Kospi reopened with negligible effect rising 7 bps. The Indian Sensex performed reasonably well […]
Asia: The following country’s markets are closed for the national holiday: China, Hong Kong, South Korea, and Singapore. The Chinese Yuan increased 16 bps against the dollar despite the market being closed. The Japanese stock market increased +0.14%. The YoY for the Nikkei is still negative, slipping -3.56%. The same cannot be said for […]
Asia: With most of Asia closed due to the Chinese New Year (many wishes again!), Japanese was subject to represent the region. The Nikkei 225, dropped 19bps today. German Chancellor Angela Merkel recent trip to Japan highlighted a concern with Huawei that data emanating from the EU must not be handed over to the […]
The question of the Democrats to win in 2020 by constantly investigating Trump and links to Putin is rising to the surface. While the Democrats blame Putin for releasing emails that exposed the corruption within their Party, what is emerging is a very dangerous hate game that can be easily spun into war. Recently, the […]
QUESTION: It is official. Italy is now in recession. Obviously, the Fed is looking outside its own economy. Your Economic Confidence Model is remarkable. I have been following you now for more than 10 years. It has always been correct. Why does the economic community and governments pretend you cannot forecast the economy? You have proven […]
The rally in gold and the stock market together is demonstrating that eventually, we will see the alignment as it transforms from Public to Private assets. The most deranged reaction to the Federal Reserve saying they will be “patient” on any further rate moves, is just beyond all reason. But markets are not always rational […]
Asia: Both the Nikkei and the Shanghai were amongst the losers in Asia, dropping 108.10(-0.52%) and 17.28(-0.67%) bps respectfully. Kospi on the contrary had a positive day climbing more than 1%. The prolonged US-China trade war coupled with slowing Chinese growth is putting uncertainty in the region. The Japanese Industrial production PMI expect at -0.5% (previous was […]
Asia: Pretty uneventful day, with the Nikkei up slightly at +8bps, the Shanghai Composite down -10bps and Hang Seng drops -16bps. Looking ahead to tomorrow we have quite the day with Chinese Manufacturing data being due, which as we already see has great influence over energy markets – a negative number here will have a […]
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I love the fact that you look at everything from a pure cyclical perspective. Al Gore who started this whole mess was not a climatologist. He was a politician. You are 100% correct that people will believe what they want to believe. There is no talking to one of this idiots. When […]
