All posts in " Interest Rates "
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Russia Dumps US Bonds – Is it Politics or Yield?

By admin / July 24, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; It appears that Putin also follows your model. He has been selling all debt significantly for it seems he is listening to your forecast that interest rates will rise sharply so get out of government bonds. Do you see his selling because of rate increases or politics as some are trying to […]

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Interest Rates Lock & Load or Stay Nimble?

By admin / July 24, 2018

QUESTION:  Hi Marty, I continue to read your blog and if I understand correctly, interest rates are going up. My question is, can one profit from higher interest rates such as buying CD or bank stocks like Wells Fargo? ANSWER: The one thing you do not want to do is buy a CD with maturity. As […]

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Euro Interest Rates

By admin / June 28, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You have obviously been correct on the Euro. You even called the bounce but it stopped at 1.2550 and did not reach your ideal target of 1.28. You are saying that interest rates in Europe are more likely to rise faster than the ECB predicts. The French central banker Francois Villeroy de Galhau […]

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Coming Crisis: Emerging Market Debt

By admin / June 22, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Just to clarify, a continued rate hike in dollars will send Emerging Market debt into chaos and possibly default. Is this both public and private? Thank you. You are a voice in the wilderness PK ANSWER: Oh yes. Both public and private emerging market debt raised money in dollars. A 2% increase […]

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ECB & Bonds – People Believe What They Want to Believe

By admin / June 11, 2018

QUESTION: the ECB is arguing that given the low free float of EU bonds (especially German), bonds not owned by the ECB or other central banks, the impact of an end to APP purchases will be nowhere comparable to the tapering sell-off in the US in 2013. Bank research teams are hanging on to this idea […]

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Argentina Raises Interest Rates to Support Currency

By admin / May 6, 2018

  Argentina has just raised interest rates to 40% trying to support the currency. I have explained many times that interest rates follow a BELL-CURVE and by no means are they linear. This is one of the huge problems behind attempts by central banks to manipulate the economy by impacting demand-side economics. Raising interest rates […]

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Bundesbank Warns German Banks Rates are Moving Higher

By admin / March 27, 2018

  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; It appears that now the Bundesbank has adopted your view of rising interest rates. How fast do you see rates rising? PY ANSWER: Yes, the Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann has come out and warned that banks should start to make provisions for interest rate risks associated with rising interest rates. The normalization of the […]

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The Fed is Raising Rates Because of the Pension Crisis

By admin / March 27, 2018

QUESTION: The Fed says it will raise rates two or three times more this year. My question is this: If the stock market is crashing, why are they still raising rates? HW ANSWER: The Fed is raising rates because they must be NORMALIZED given the pension crisis. They are trying to get them back up […]

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