All posts in " Interest Rates "

Can the Fed really Control the Economy?

August 7, 2019

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Summers-Economy-Not-Predictable.mp4 QUESTION: This whirligig talk of whether the Fed cuts rates by 25 or 50 basis points is carnival-level absurdity. Does the Fed have the “pretense of knowledge,” as F.A. Hayek, said, that they can regulate the economy like turning up or down the thermostat? I know you don’t agree with this, Martin, but then, […]

Real-World v Fake Central Bank Interest Rates

August 5, 2019

QUESTION: Socrates has been forecast that the free market rates are rising but the official central bank rates are still bearish overseas and neutral domestically. Is this the divergence you are forecast with respect to interest rates rising in the real world against the fake central bank rates? Thank you See you in Orlando BF […]

Central Bankers on Their Knees Pleading with Politicians

July 17, 2019

Our confidential sources are reporting that the Fed, ECB, and BoJ have agreed to lobby politicians in an attempt to warn them that they cannot continue propping up the world economy. The ECB, in particular, has been keeping the EU on life support and they have no room to lower interest rates to try to […]

How Long Can Artificially Low Interest Rates be Maintained?

July 15, 2019

QUESTION: Dear Martin, First let me thank you for your paradigm shifting blog and the incredible conferences you and your team put together. They really are on a level all their own. As we approach the next turning points in the ECM it seems that there are tremendous cross currents favoring both inflation and deflation. […]

Why Are Equities so Disconnected from Economics?

July 12, 2019

Normally, equity valuations reflect the present value of future cash flows that are primarily a function of current cash flows, growth expectations, and then the discount rate. Most fundamentalists will look at the cash flow generation in both the short and long-term. With equity valuations at their record highs, investors, in theory, are showing confidence […]

PRIVATE BLOG – Powell & Interest Rates

July 11, 2019

PRIVATE BLOG – Powell & Interest Rates Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com. https://ask-socrates.com/

BOJ Trapped – How will the Nightmare End?

July 11, 2019

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda publicly stated that it may maintain ultra-low rates for a further period of well over a year. However, he also warned against the idea of propping up the economy through unlimited money printing to finance government spending. That may sound nice, but the Bank of Japan is trapped. […]

Inverted Yield Curve

July 5, 2019

The yield curve has been inverted for the last month. An inverted yield curve occurs when long-term government debt yields fall below rates on short-term notes and bills. For stock market investors, an inverted yield curve is typically a sign that equities could peak before an economic recession will follow. It also can be a […]

Australia Lowers Rate to Historic Low of 1%

July 3, 2019

The Reserve Bank of Australia has cut the official cash rate for the second month in a row to 1%. As we head into the turning point of the Economic Confidence Model come January 2020, the unemployment rate increased to 5.2% in April. GDP growth remains very low at 0.4%, wage growth is sluggish, inflation […]

Austria Sell 100-Year Bonds – But Who Are the Buyers?

June 28, 2019

Austria was able to sell its second 100-year bond in history at just a yield of just over 1.00%. Some argue that capital has been forced to buy anything that has a yield which the ECB has been forcing negative interest rates. Why would anyone in their right mind buy a 100-year bond for 1%? […]

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