All posts in " Understanding Cycles "

The Coming Dark Age

By admin / September 20, 2016

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Thank you for the time you are spending to educate the public about what it really going on. I have followed your work for years, from before you were released from prison. Over the years you have made several comments about directional changes and have alluded to the idea that a crossroads […]


The Infamous Labor Day Event in Markets

By admin / September 6, 2016

Of course, the 1929 high took place on September 3rd, the day everyone came back on Tuesday following the summer holidays. It has been a long-standing joke that after spending time with the family, they come back and just sell everything without reason. The 1987 high was on August 25th just before Labor Day. In […]


Cycle of War & Climate Change – A Lethal Combination

By admin / August 25, 2016

Historically, crops fail during periods when the weather turns sharply colder. Rising food shortages coincide with rising aggression. This seems to be a link back into ancient times. The way the climate is now turning colder is in direct harmony with the war cycle. Switzerland began recording temperatures in 1864, which provide a good European […]


Government Preparing for Worldwide Civil Unrest – Why?

By admin / August 23, 2016

A number of emails have come in asking if we are advising the government since they are now enlisting firms to research a rise in civil unrest. The answer is no! Nevertheless, everyone knows of the accuracy of our computer systems and our cycle of war models. It was the CIA that, after all, came […]


The Panic of 1683 Was the First

By admin / August 14, 2016

This is the list of panics I discovered in the library at Princeton University. I simply added the period of 224 years from 1683 to 1907 which yield 8.615 as the common frequency dividing that period by the 26 events. I did not expect this to produce events to the day. The mere fact that […]


Is Value Investing a Safe Bet?

By admin / August 10, 2016

QUESTION: What do you think of value investing? Bob ANSWER: As with everything, a cycle that you have to understand will unfold. Everything will move to extremes on both sides and you must understand the driving forces. Look at the PE Ratio. People write in and say I am wrong and the market must crash because […]


Slingshot v Phase Transition

By admin / August 7, 2016

QUESTION: You’ve just mentioned there remains a chance for gold to perform a slingshot move downward and then up in January. Does it still appear the Dow will slingshot (make a new low) also even though it has recently broken to new highs? S ANSWER: We achieved the slingshot in the S&P and the NASDAQ, and I have previously […]


What If Everyone Followed Socrates?

By admin / August 4, 2016

  QUESTION: Hello, Mr. Armstrong. Some years back, I asked what would happen if everyone knew about the ECM. You provided an answer on your blog. Now, that the trader version of Socrates is soon to be made available for the public…: What happens to the trading community (market makers / service providers / traders) when you […]


Question About Time

By admin / July 7, 2016

QUESTION: Dear Martin,  I have been following your projection of numbers and time, which is a serious tool to use as guidance. The question that keeps coming up is why are these numbers so important with weeks, months, quarters and years closings that can forecast the coming trend?  Everything in the normal world wouldn’t pay […]


The Sixth Wave

By admin / July 1, 2016

QUESTION: Marty; You do realize you correctly forecast the takeover boom and the reversal in trend in 1985 followed by the peak of Japan to the day and the fall of communism with your 1989.95 peak in the ECM. Then with 1998.55 you forecast the collapse of Russia and were named hedge fund manager of […]

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