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Market Talk- September 25th, 2017

September 25, 2017

As you would expect the topic conversation this morning has been the German election and the re-election of Angela Merkel. The highlight was always going to be the percentages of the peripheral parties and that is what we saw. Markel’s CDU party was the big loser yet retained victory for the fourth time. This result […]

Government Confusion = Incompetence (Politics v Bankers)

September 25, 2017

QUESTION: Dear Martin Armstrong About The post, “Is There a Way Out of This Financial Mess? “ In the second last paragraph you write, “Taxes have risen as deficits expand because government thinks inflation is the danger.” Link: Shouldn’t that be Deflation? Thank you for doing what you do. U   ANSWER: No. I agree […]

Identifying Complexity

September 25, 2017

QUESTION: Marty, I have followed your Global Market Watch and it is really amazing. I noticed on IPE gas it came up and warned it was about to breakout to the upside. You said this is purely a pattern recognition system. Are there patterns that precede events and this is what your model is picking […]

Climate Change & Economic Activity

September 25, 2017

QUESTION: Hi Martin, I was wondering why a cold period would result in a commodity rise? Thank you in advance for your time. MG ANSWER: When the climate turns cold, that is when food shortages takes place. When the climate turns warm, that is when economic activity starts and empires expand. The cold period we […]

Is There a Way Out of This Financial Mess?

September 25, 2017

We need to open the door to the future but that is only possible by understanding the past. Paul Volcker back in 1979 in his Rediscovery of the Business Cycle said: “Not much more than a decade ago, in what now seems a more innocent age, the ‘New Economics’ had become orthodoxy. Its basic tenet, repeated […]

Merkel Wins but Still only 32.5% Down Significantly

September 25, 2017

Once again Merkel fails to win the popular vote in Germany. Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union lost 9% compared to the last elections. Nevertheless, her party has remained as the largest party in Germany’s parliament. Merkel’s CDU won 32.5% of the popular vote far less than any president in the United States history. That was a […]