The NEOCONS Blinked – Bond Markets Warn of War

Russia new missile

The Western Press is too ignorant to write a story with old-fashioned investigative journalism since they just regurgitate what the Neocons put out, pick up the rug, and look at the silence of Biden in both comment and action. Putin hit Dnipro with the equivalent of a nuclear weapon that pulverizes the target yet does not leave a fireball or radiation. This missile can take out every European facility in a matter of minutes, and it cannot be stopped.

Besides the launch of the ‘Oreshnik’ Missile, Russia has Rained down 800 KAB Bombs and 460 Drones on Ukraine Amid Long-Range Strikes. What is absent is that Zelensky has not filed another long-range US missile until now, and the Neocons said to go ahead. Sources are saying that US Intelligence was taken totally by surprise. They all talk about how weak Russia is and how Ukraine is destroying its military. We are approaching 1.3 million Ukrainians dead since Boris Johnson killed the peace deal because the NEOCONs want to invade Russia and keep spewing out to the media, using their Institute for the Study of War, the constant image that Russia can be conquered in just a few weeks if not days.

GCNYNF W Tech 11 25 24

 

The NEOCONs have hesitated, but only for a moment. This is the first time that they have blinked. Zelensky has not fired any more long-range missiles as they access the crisis until today. Nevertheless,  what is being bantered around is that Putin does not have a lot of these missiles. It was experimental. So, no worries. We monitor the timing arrays for many key marks, from currencies and metals to stocks and bonds. The future is always written silently in the price action. Next week, we will see a significant turning point in gold, often a precursor to war.

The NEOCON propaganda machine, the Institute for the Study of War (Victoria Nuland’s Sister-in-law), has come out and said that they have identified about 200 targets within the ATACMS and Storm Shadow missiles range. They are pitching that Ukraine can attack command centers and mobile targets, and this MAY hinder Russian military operations.

 

 

Nobody cares about Ukraine or how many Ukrainians died; they do not even care if Ukraine survives when this is over. This has been both more than an exercise to kill as many Russians as possible. As Lydsey Grachm said, killing Russians was the best money he spent.

 

 

This is an operation to strip mine natural resources from Ukraine and nothing more. The Russian NEOCONs have been screaming that this is a war with the USA and NATO – not Ukraine. The long-range missiles proved that point, especially when Biden did not offer any explanation for his change in policy. We have to wonder if the NEOCONs have taken this on their own with a senile president who does not realize he will be remembered for this single action.

 

US_10_Year_T_Note M Chart 11 25 24

 

I have warned that rates rise during a war – they do not decline. When the Federal Reserve cut its federal funds target rate by half a percentage point, the goal was to make it cheaper to borrow money across the economy and thereby stimulate growth. We were headed into a recession. However, look at this chart. The unexpected unfolded. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note went UP – not down. The marketplace sets that long-term interest rate. The Fed can ONLY set the short-term rate – not the long-term. That is what quantitative easing was all about buying back long-term bonds to try to bring those rates down. The yield on the 10-year has actually gone up since the Fed announced its cut. This was our first warning of a cycle inversion and the prospect of war before January 20th.

Roll the Dice

This movement in the bonds is significant because the yield on the 10-year is not just the interest rate the government pays on its debt. It’s also the benchmark for many other interest rates, including mortgages, auto loans, and corporate borrowing. So when the 10-year rate increases, it is not cheaper to borrow money across the economy and thereby stimulate growth. The long-term rates have risen with the rate cuts by the Fed, and December is a turning point, with January being a Panic Cycle. The Neocons are thinking about rolling the dice, betting that Putin does not have enough of these missiles to prevent the West from hailing down nuclear Armageddon on Russia. They are desperate to create World War III before Trump takes office.

We will issue an important report on this unprecedented cycle inversion in the bond market, along with the 2024 Year-End Report covering the yearly model as we start 2025.

Both of these reports are included for those who attended the WEC and the Virtual Plus Access. We will email you when they are available individually for your free download in your portal.

What the Bonds Tell Us 2020 Year End Report

 

 

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