All posts in " Agriculture "

The Coming Dust Bowl – 2025-2027?

March 22, 2022

QUESTION: Marty; You have been the first to warn of food shortages and to stockpile for the years ahead. With Russia and Ukraine accounting for 30% of global wheat, you have warned that we are looking a shortages into 2032. Does this mean the war will last for 10 years? LC ANSWER: No, the forecasts […]

Agriculture Yield Elected Yearly Bearish Reversal

January 18, 2020

At the end of 2019, we obtained Yearly Bearish Reversals on crop production in many areas. This is lining up with the ECM and it is warning that weather is turning against us for food production. The market tends to focus only on year/year numbers and ignore the trend on a broader perspective. The USDA […]

Agricultural Loans Declining Right on Target

July 18, 2019

One of the most fascinating observations I have made over my career has been that the banks always lend at the top and contract lending at the bottom in every market. Going into 1980, banks were calling me to ask if I wanted to borrow money. Recently, I got a phone call from my bank […]

The Rise in Agriculture for the Next ECM

June 17, 2019

The Fall Army Worm (FAW; Spodoptera frugiperda) is a crop-eating pest that was first detected in China back in January 2019. It has now spread across China’s southern border and currently impacts about 8,500 hectares (127,000 mu) of grain production in Yunnan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Guizhou, Hunan, and Hainan provinces. Officially, Chinese authorities have employed an […]

The Grapes of Wrath – How to Keep Them Warm

May 22, 2019

The Winter that Will Not End is impacting even northern Italy. In Tuscany, winemakers have lit hundreds of torches to keep their grapes warm during this cold period in order to save their crops. The temperatures have been cold and the crops have been subjected to frost at night that would otherwise ensure their demise. […]

Are we Heading into a Food Shortage?

May 13, 2019

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I find it really distasteful that you laid out events well in advance and then everyone copies you without ever giving you credit. There are articles now appearing about the coming food shortage. The degree of plagiarism is unbelievable. It must be dishearting. I certainly begin to distrust these people and organizations […]

Food Riots of 1795 Due to Climate Change

March 11, 2019

The British had a long tradition of striking tokens for political purposes. There were political tokens against the American Revolution. Some pictured Thomas Paine being hanged for writing his Common Sense. There was Climate Change back then as well and it resulted in massive riots over shortages of food. The British also even issued a […]

Government Ordering Agriculture Be Removed From Commodity Indexes

March 6, 2019

I am in Europe ahead of the May elections as the crisis begins to build. It appears that the powers that be may be talking about Global Warming to justify more taxes, but behind the curtain, these freezing winters are having their impact. The potato crop in Germany has hit a historic low due to […]

Farmers going Bankrupt – A Prelude to a Boom?

February 13, 2019

Part of the cycle for a commodity boom is typically preceded by a commodity depression in which the productive capacity is reduced. We are witnessing that in the agricultural sector. Additionally, extremely cold weather continues. Bankruptcies in the farming sector have been on the rise since 2014. These are the pre-staged events that are required to […]

Climate Change & Commodities

January 29, 2019

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I love the fact that you look at everything from a pure cyclical perspective. Al Gore who started this whole mess was not a climatologist. He was a politician. You are 100% correct that people will believe what they want to believe. There is no talking to one of this idiots. When […]

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