All posts in " Basic Concepts "

Computer Demands Humility

March 21, 2016

Armstrong 1985 with IBM XT COMMENT: Fantastic examples in the final version (free-markets-are-natures-design). You need to keep connecting the dots until the person finally sees something, even if it isn’t the whole. Then again, can anyone see the whole? I find it fascinating that the computer gives you dates (dots), but you have to wait until […]

The Ides of March – Pi Marked the End of the Roman Republic

March 19, 2016

COMMENT: Marty, I figured out why you bought the bust of Julius Caesar commissioned by Cleopatra. He was assassinated on the ides of march and that is effectively about Pi day. … REPLY: Very good. Yes, even Brutus issued a coin where he proudly declared he killed Caesar on the Ides of March – “EID […]

Feel the Beat & Survive

March 19, 2016

Markets oscillate back and forth. I understand for people just coming in to this blog this may look like the Matrix or having to learn a new language. But keep in mind that it may appear to be difficult at first, but like speaking a different language, somehow it just flows out when you are […]

Where Does the Future Lie?

March 18, 2016

QUESTION:  Are you more worried about a 1984 esque future or A Brave New World esque future? ANSWER: Unfortunately, the two go hand in hand. George Orwell simply took the past and laid out what government ALWAYS gravitates toward – total control. We live in a delusion with our brains filled with propaganda. Over the years, […]

Primitive Analysis Hard at Work

March 16, 2016

  The usual domestic analysis has its usual blinders on like a horse pulling a carriage in Central Park. Typically, this analysis blames everything on the Fed and remains clueless about international capital flows or trends. They argue that the S&P 500 doubled in value from November 2008 to October 2014, coinciding with the Federal Reserve […]

Space Time – The Chicken or the Egg?

March 16, 2016

Fabric of Space Time QUESTION: Dear Mr.Armstrong, Do you think of cycles and time as the same thing and interchangeable? Is it time that defines the architecture of a cycle or a cycle that characterises what we know as time? A ANSWER: This is an interesting and very deep question. Recently, a group of scientists have […]

It’s Pi Day

March 14, 2016

A very quick and easy approximation for π is 22/7 = 3.1428571… But as you can see, 22/7 is not exactly correct. In fact, π is not equal to the ratio of any two numbers, which makes it an IRRATIONAL NUMBER. An irrational number is a real number that cannot be written as a simple fraction. Irrational means […]

The Central Bankers Are Crazy & Public is Out Of Its Mind – Where’s the Beef?

March 12, 2016

The central bankers are simply crazy, not evil. They are trying to steer the economy by utilizing this simpleton theory that if you make something cheaper, someone will buy it. Japanese and German cars managed to get a major foothold in the U.S. because the quality of U.S. manufacturers collapsed, thanks to unions. The socialist […]

PE Ratio – Mania v Panic

March 7, 2016

QUESTION:  Hi Mr. Armstrong, Some of your readers, me included, wonder how the Dow is going to get to 23,000 or more, especially as we go through an economic slowdown. This would suggest a P/E of around 23 or higher. Is the common thinking that would accompany such a move similar to past manias (tulipmania, […]

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