All posts in " Bonds "

Peak in Bonds/Low in Interest Rates – Is it Time Yet?

October 11, 2016

If there was ever any question that this is a bond bubble with a 5,000-year low in interest rates, the final bit of insanity just took place. Italy managed to sell its first 50-year bond last week as investors were betting that the European Central Bank might soon add ultra-long debt to its asset-purchase stimulus […]

Gold – Dollar – Bonds

October 4, 2016

QUESTION: Hi, I have two questions: a) do you believe US dollar has been kept artificially lower than it should be (or at least in long range trading range) by at least two central banks lately? if so how long you think it would last, years? b) you remind many times gold does not yield so […]

Heads They Win, Tails You Lose

August 31, 2016

QUESTION: Sir, You mentioned in your blog post that money market funds now have to be in government bonds as per SEC ruling. You have said we are going through a sovereign debt crisis which means government bonds are at risk. If I’m trading and my money is now parked as “cash” before I make another […]

US Debt: Who is Really Selling & Who is Buying?

August 29, 2016

QUESTION: Marty; Since you wrote that central banks have been net sellers of US Treasuries for the first six months to support their currencies, others are jumping on board and are claiming nobody wants them so buy gold. Would you care to elaborate on this subject? It seems another desperate attempt by the hyperinflationists. Thank […]

Central Bank Intervention Against the Dollar

August 19, 2016

In the first six months of the year, the raw data has shown that several central banks have been selling US government bonds in an attempt to support their currencies against the dollar. This has come in part at the request of the United States, exactly as took place back in 1985 at the Plaza […]

Japan – Is this The End of the Govt Bond Rally?

August 3, 2016

Japanese 10-year bonds have crashed because the government is stopping its bond-buying program, at least for now. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s monetary policy is starting to demonstrate the dangerous position we face on a global scale with respect to interest rates and debt. Japanese 10-year bonds have crashed since the Bank of Japan now holds over […]

European Bonds – The Hedge Against the Euro Collapse?

July 19, 2016

(Note: The blue labels mark the change in the issues we used to create this perpetual index for long bonds) Germany sold 10-year debt at a negative yield on Wednesday of last week, becoming the first Eurozone nation to do so and setting a further milestone in the relentless fall of government bond yields around […]

Global Debt with Negative Rates Reaches $12 Trillion

July 5, 2016

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I am really confused regarding long-term interest rates – I had thought they were controlled by the markets – but it seems at time that the central banks control them by buying the governments debt. Can you shed some light on this? Can the central banks just keep printing and buying […]

Central Banks Made Govt Debt the Riskiest Debt of All Time

June 21, 2016

The central banks have risked it all and lost. They have reached the point of no return. The Fed decided not to raise rates, which are desperately needed to prevent a collapse in pensions and insurance companies, and merely froze like a deer in headlights. The superficial analysts who think lower rates are good for […]

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