All posts in " Business Cycle "

Why Nobody Wants to Forecast the Business Cycle

By admin / July 12, 2019

COMMENT: It is fascinating how your work has been so accurate on forecasting the business cycle, yet you are probably the most ignored by the mainstream media. The only possible reason for this is that they are not interested in someone who can forecast the business cycle when the general belief is that governments can […]


Could the Great Depression Have Been Prevented?

By admin / June 7, 2019

QUESTION: Dear Martin, I appreciate all you share. I watched a series on the Great Depression and they talk about how socialism saved capitalism. If true, is this part of a healthy cycle between the two? Could anything have been done to prevent the Great Depression? Thank you! LB   ANSWER: It was not socialism […]


The Business Cycle & Why They Pretend it Cannot be Forecast

By admin / February 5, 2019

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I have studied you Economic Confidence Model and found it to be extremely accurate in forecasting the business cycle. When I showed it to my professor here at ——— he responded that itis impossible to forecast the business cycle. He would not even engage in a conversation about it. Why are they […]


Our Journey Through Life

By admin / July 19, 2018

QUESTION:  Hello Martin. Over the years I have read so much of your adventurers (if you could call them that =) and some of the great masters you quote from time to time. I know you have done a massive amount of research on your own. I was wondering about some of the unknown people in your […]


Economic Confidence Model – When One Nation Peaks Another Bottoms

By admin / July 10, 2018

QUESTION: Martin, I know that the basic ECM cycle’s 4.3 year decline subdivides into a 1.075 year decline, 1.075 year rise, and 2.15 year decline. However, if I remember correctly, the 2.15 year decline also includes the Pi cycle turn 3.14 years from the top. If I remember correctly for this ECM cycle, the 2.15 year […]


The Power to Manipulate is a Delusion

By admin / December 9, 2016

QUESTION: Hello Martin, every day I read your blog. Today was about All Roads Lead to the Dollar and manipulation: First you say that the system cannot be manipulated: (“the system, which is crumbling before our eyes, cannot be manipulated. This is why BREXIT, Trump, and now Hollande in France are stepping out and Italy […]


Innovation — Unemployment — Business Cycle

By admin / June 8, 2016

QUESTION: Hi Martin, Thank you for everything that you do. Comments have been made – to which you yourself have been alluding to for some time – that technology is replacing jobs at such a rapid rate, unemployment will be a major issue in the very near future.  However, these commentators conclude that this proves […]