The Black Box?

Beyond AI

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; it has become expressly clear that you have created a model which beats everything out there. Your forecasts on gold that it would rally up to 1362 and then crash was impressive as was your call for new highs in the Dow back in 2011. Nevertheless, these forecasts pale in comparison to your forecast for BREXIT and then a Trump victory. Absolutely nobody correctly forecast both no less even one. In the company I work for, all our models were prepared for a Hillary victory. We were wrong. I watched the Forecaster on a plane from Europe to the USA. I can see why the government wanted your code. This is just one giant black box. Do you ever plan to reveal how you have accomplished this forecasting record? Indeed, the movie was appropriately named the Forecaster.

DB

ANSWER: It is more than a black box. It is a complex black box that monitors the entire world. It can see trends others cannot for it processes inputs on a multiple dimensional plane that just may be beyond human capability. You have to understand that a true deep learning machine is not a linear program that a human writes IF this THEN that ELSE do this. It has taught me to see what it sees, but it is not something that is a simple formula to achieve.

We will go public so it continues, but I prefer not to allow it to be sold to some bank or government who then keeps it for themselves. When I die, my explanation will be released, but not the code.

Latest Posts

Did the US Wrongly Deport a Maryland Man?

The fear-mongering against Trump would lead one to believe that anyone could be deported. People genuinely fear traveling into US territory as our Commander in Chief could simply send anyone, [...]
Read more

Canadian Tourism to US Plummets

Numerous nations have issued unofficial travel advisory warnings to deter citizens from traveling to the United States under Donald Trump. The tensions between the US and Canada have been particularly [...]
Read more