All posts in " Real Estate "

June Home Sales Drop in Line with ECM

July 25, 2024

I noted that real estate in the United States would turn into a buyer’s market in May 2024 going into August 2028 in a reversal from the buyer’s market we’ve experienced since 2020. The 2007 high on the Shiller Index was the precise day of the Economic Confidence Model. So far, all the indicators have […]

Rental Caps?

July 22, 2024

The Biden Administration wants to do everything to lower prices BESIDES lowering taxes. Joe Biden released a new plan that would cap rental raises at 5% annually. Landlords who have over 50 units in their portfolio would lose their tax credits if they failed to adhere to this proposed law. Yet, property taxes throughout the […]

Trudeau Considers Additional Housing Tax

July 11, 2024

Inefficient politicians consistently cite additional taxation as the solution to their nation’s economic troubles. The housing crisis in Canada is has spread to every province. Instead of addressing availability, the disproportionate demand brought on by multiplying the nation with migrants, or any of the countless fiscal policies that have contributed to inflation, the Canadian government […]

People Flee Illinois – Blue State Exodus

July 8, 2024

We saw it happen first in California. People could not handle the restrictive policies during the pandemic, which was worsened by the drastic increase in taxes and crime. Americans are fleeing blue states in droves – precisely why we cannot forecast real estate as whole for the United Stated. Recent data from the Internal Revenue […]

Did Real Estate Peak with the ECM in May 2024?

June 25, 2024

COMMENT: Marty, you are by far the greatest long-term forecaster ever. I worked on the floor in 2007 when the market crashed on the exact day of your ECM. Everyone called it Armstrong’s Revenge. That was the very day of the high in the Shiller Real Estate Index for 2007. I know you say the […]

Build-to-Rent Communities Grow in Popularity

June 7, 2024

You will own nothing. Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs) have grown in popularity in recent years. America has recently imported a concept stemming from across the pond in the UK to pacify housing fears. Build-to-rent (BTR) communities are becoming a common development as the majority of Americans struggle to either afford or find housing. Around 23% […]

US Home Prices Nearing All-Time Highs

May 3, 2024

Home prices in the US are near all-time highs. As I repeatedly stated, we can no longer look at real estate on the national level. Demand and value are contained to certain states and areas of certain states that the public has deemed most desirable, largely due to political factors such as taxes. Yet, at […]

Homelessness Epidemic: the Public Sector is a Welfare Program

April 19, 2024

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/PublicSectorEmployee.Homelessness.mp4   California’s homeless crisis proves the public sector is a welfare program and political tool. The California State Auditor released a report this month that reveals California’s programs to combat homelessness have been utterly ineffective. Nine agencies funded by the state have received billions from 2018 to 2023, but homelessness is rapidly rising and […]

UK Residents Pay More for Housing than any OPEC Nation

March 26, 2024

Those in the UK are familiar with the challenges that accompany failed housing regulations, high demand, and low supply. A recent study by Resolution Foundation shows that those in the UK pay far more for housing than any nation in the OECD. Finland technically pays more, but not when factoring in the total amount the […]

Why Biden’s Housing Crisis Solutions Will Fail

March 26, 2024

Most first-world nations are experiencing a crisis in housing affordability as there is simply not enough supply to meet the demand. Major corporations swept up the majority of homes when mortgage rates were artificially low. Those who own are less likely to less as they could downsize and still have a larger mortgage bill due […]

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