All posts in " Economics "

Moody’s US Downgrade AAA to AA1

May 20, 2025

Moody’s Investor Service downgraded the United States’ credit rating from a top-tier rating of AAA to AA1 due to rising government debt. Fitch Ratings lowered the US debt in August 2023 for the same reason in August 2023, and while Moody’s did not officially act at the time the agency warned that the US was […]

US April Inflation – 2.3%

May 14, 2025

The numbers are in, and the Consumer Price Index fell to 2.3% this April annually, down from March’s 2.4% reading, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. April’s reading is the lowest since February 2021. Shelter costs drove more than half of all items monthly, increasing by 0.3% on a monthly basis, and 4% annually. […]

Inflation the Real Story

May 10, 2025

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, a friend of mine attends your conferences and said you’re the only person who understands the economy because you have international experience and have met with many central banks around the world. He said inflation is no longer the simplistic expansion of the money supply, and anyone who said that is still […]

Soros and the Club Trading Against Socrates – a History of Failures

May 9, 2025

The West’s obsession with regime change has never been about democracy–it’s about control. In “The Plot to Seize Russia,” I lay out how the Club — a loosely aligned network of intelligence operatives, NGOs, and financial elites — orchestrated a coup in Russia following the collapse of the Soviet Union. Soros was not just an […]

US GDP Stagnant – Q1 2025

May 1, 2025

The Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its first estimate for US GDP in Q1, a 0.3% decline annually. The decline was mainly due to a sharp 41% uptick in imports as they are subtracted when calculating the final GDP figure. Pharmaceutical goods, medicines and vitamins, computers and parts drove imports in the […]

Does Trump’s team understand a Trade War with China?

April 18, 2025

QUESTION: How come nobody in Trump’s team can not explain to Trump that the Trade War with China will push the rates up? It looks very logical to me that if you are aggressive to China, they will continue to sell off bonds, and the sale of USA bonds will push rates higher. If they […]

A Flight to Treasuries?

April 8, 2025

  Some believe that Donald Trump is deliberately attempting to cause a sharp downturn in equities to force a flight into treasuries. If so, the Federal Reserve would have more of a reason to slash interest rates—Trump’s longstanding desire. Trump has stated that the markets are undergoing an “operation” of sorts, but I would not […]

Tariffs are NOT Reciprocal

April 4, 2025

How did the Trump Administration come up with these tariff rates? Why would a nation like Madagascar, for example, with a small economy, be hit with a 47% tariff? Reciprocal tariffs were determined based on America’s trade deficit with other nations. They took each nation’s trade surplus with the US by total exports and divided […]

CBO Issues Dire Forecast for US Debt

March 31, 2025

The US Congressional Budget Office is warning that the federal deficit has hit a point of no return. It is far too late to cut wasteful government spending. Politicians have kicked the can down the road for far too long and left us with a financial system held up through perpetual borrowing that cannot be […]

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