Market Talk – May 15, 2024
ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: NIKKEI 225 increased 29.67 points or 0.08% to 38,385.73 Shanghai decreased 25.87 points or -0.82% to 3,119.90 Hang [...]
The Great Unknown
QUESTION: Martin, if Europe and Japan have destroyed their bond markets, would it be a good idea for them to get the government out of the bond market and have short term rates be floating in the free market? The free market would probably help since they don’t know how to move rates correctly.
RG
ANSWER: What will happen is that there is already unfolding a bifurcation in interest rates with a widening spread between real rates (Private Sector) and government. If they allow government rates to float, that means they must abandon QE.
Neither the BoJ nor the ECB is ready to admit total failure. This means that the entire Keynesian-Monetarist tools have failed and they have no economic theory upon which to manage the economy. That means the government cannot control the economy and therein lies the denial of power.
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