Our Risk Assessment Meter is Now on Orange Alert

There is a clear rising risk factor emerging from both politics and geopolitics as we move into the January turning point on the Economic Confidence Model. As the economy turns down and as we head into the 2020 presidential elections in the United States, we are facing rising risk factors on many fronts. The Democrats bashed Russia over the 2016 elections, blaming them for releasing Democratic emails that revealed the extent of their corruption. This has increased the tensions with Russia, rekindled the Cold War, and placed us at a far greater risk of war than at any time post-Vietnam.

There is pressure from the neo-cons to go to war with Iran. Iran has boasted that Saudi Arabia is willing fight to the death of every last American soldier.

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Market Talk – May 8, 2025

ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: • NIKKEI 225 increased 148.97 points or 0.41% to 36,928.63 • Shanghai increased 9.33 points or 0.28% to 3,352.00 [...]
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It is Not Always What it Seems

I have stated that the first WTC terrorists drew the Twin Towers with planes going into them in advance of 9/11. I have also said in conversations with Bill Kristol [...]
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