On Friday we elected the Weekly Bullish Reversal at 38.40. Crude pulled back for two days marginally to try to retest the previous reversal at 32.40. We have now gapped up and the major Weekly Bullish Reversals stand up at the $45 level. We warned that the first quarter would try the souls of most traders. March and May have been key targets in time, and April has been a panic cycle in many markets as well. Here the low is in February, not last December. If we, at least, close March above the February high of 34.69, then we have a shot of more than a one-month knee-jerk reaction high. Then we can look for a possible three-month rally into May. The two primary targets are at the $45 and $49 level. That has to be exceeded to hope for a rally to reach the formidable resistance zone in the $69-$70 area.
