The Real Game of Thrones

The real Game of Thrones is already underway. The contest to succeed Mario Draghi is now officially open. The head of the European Central Bank (ECB) will leave office on October 21st, 2019. The question is who has the guts to step up to the plate to clean up the mess he is leaving behind? The appointment of his successor is already underway.

All the various governments are planning to submit their entries for what people are calling the ECB derby of 2019. Nobody really knows what will happen between now and the summer of 2019 is already a political lifetime. The favorite behind the curtain seems to be Jens Weidmann, who is the current head of Germany’s Bundesbank. If he would take that position is debatable. There are huge economic problems Draghi is leaving behind with the Quantitative Easing and then stir in conflicting political interests, and it becomes highly questionable whether this is going to be an easy compromise of the clash of titans.

The backroom shenanigans are not going to be so easy since Draghi has kept member states on life support. The monetary policy crisis in Europe may now come to a head and expect this to also become a major influence behind the Euro in 2019 as speculation grows. However, there is a prelude to the Draghi successor. Come May 2019, the term of Vítor Manuel Ribeiro Constâncio, who has served as Vice President of the ECB from June 2010 until May 2018 must be decided. Constâncio served as Governor of the Bank of Portugal from 2000 to 2010. With his term expiring in May, the new Eurogroup president, Mário Centeno, formally asked his finance minister colleagues to submit their nominations for the job by February 8th, so that the heads of government have time to agree before the spring. The choice of vice president will certainly influence political balance which could alter also the type of policy to expect from 2020 onward.

One thing is very clear, the Vice President and President will not be from the same countries regardless of their qualifications. The tradition has been that the four largest eurozone economies — Germany, France, Italy, and Spain — must have one representative on the board, with the other two seats being left to remaining 15 powers. There is little question that Jens Weidmann would reverse the policies of Draghi and shrink the ECB balance sheet as quickly as possible. The French will object to Weidmann being the man to sit in that chair when many states are starting to complain about the austerity philosophy of Germany.

Latest Posts

Americans come last – ALWAYS!!!!!!

The Biden Administration, under the Neocons’ control, has sent Ukraine $24.4 billion. The Ukrainian population is about 28 million, minus all the ethnic Russians in the Donbas, which would be [...]
Read more

Market Talk – October 3, 2024

ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: • NIKKEI 225 increased 743.30 points or 1.97% to 38,552.06 • Shanghai closed • Hang Seng decreased 330.22 points [...]
Read more

Can the Republic be Rescued?

COMMENT: I attended the Rescue the Republic gathering and was very disappointed. Peterson merely identified the NeoMarxist agenda, but nobody seemed to have any honest solution. It is clear they [...]
Read more

When Sanctions Worked – Iran

(Donald Trump speaking SEVEN years ago at the United Nations) Former President Donald Trump calculatedly weakened Iran’s economy to the point that it could not fund proxy wars. In May [...]
Read more