Market Talk – July 26, 2024
ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: NIKKEI 225 decreased 202.10 points or -0.53% to 37,667.41 Shanghai increased 4.16 points or 0.14% to 2,890.90 Hang [...]
COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; Your ECM has been amazingly accurate. Not only did real estate peak, but it is now official, Germany is in a recession.
Great job
HW
REPLY: There is an accurate business cycle that unfolds but you must step back and observe it from a global perspective. The Economic Confidence Model has a long track record. The numbers are shocking. For 8 out of 12 months in 2018, German production has declined. On average, manufacturing declined 4.1% in November and energy production decline 3.1% in November. Even new construction has declined 1.7%.