Germany Slips into Recession Following the Economic Confidence Model

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; Your ECM has been amazingly accurate. Not only did real estate peak, but it is now official, Germany is in a recession.

Great job

HW

REPLY: There is an accurate business cycle that unfolds but you must step back and observe it from a global perspective. The Economic Confidence Model has a long track record.  The numbers are shocking. For 8 out of 12 months in 2018, German production has declined. On average, manufacturing declined 4.1% in November and energy production decline 3.1% in November. Even new construction has declined 1.7%.

 

Latest Posts

Coup at the World Economic Forum

World Economic Forum founder Klaus Schwab is under an internal investigation by the organization he created. There is no question that it has been alleged that the WEF got money [...]
Read more