Yield v Reason

QUESTION: I see all of these people calling for a major crash of 50%+. With interest rates so low and the dividends on the Dow twice that of interest rates, does anyone look at yield anymore?


ANSWER: I fully agree. The yield on the Dow Jones is 2.34%, which is about comparable the 10-year rate. Back in 1983, I presented these two charts that show the earnings and book value of the Dow Jones Industrials. The majority were calling for a crash and our computer warned of a Phase Transition and a 600% rise in the Dow. I was blamed for creating the takeover boom, but it was clear that the earnings were at least 5% and the stocks were trading out of a major historical low on price v book value. So earnings do come into the mix.

Latest Posts

I Will Be Speaking Next Week In Sweden

Special_Invite_OnGuardStockholm-3day_18092023_final (2) This conference is rather unique. This is blending the manipulation of COVID tactics to control society and the financial backdrop behind the agenda that has been the motivation [...]
Read more

Market Talk – September 21, 2023

ASIA:   The Bank of Japan is expected to maintain extremely low interest rates and reassure markets about continued monetary stimulus, despite global economic concerns linked to China’s situation and [...]
Read more

Neuralink Brain Implant Trials Begin

Elon Musk’s Neuralink received approval to begin a six-year trial to study the effects of brain-computer interface (BCI). A specialized surgical robot will be used to implant the devices into [...]
Read more

Ray Epps Charged

The events that occurred on January 6, 2021, were likely facilitated by the federal government to draw the public’s eye away from the election fraud that took place. It was [...]
Read more