Market Talk – January 28, 2025

January 28, 2025

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 decreased 548.93 points or -1.39% to 39,016.87
• Shanghai closed
• Hang Seng increased 27.34 points or 0.14% to 20,225.11
• ASX 200 decreased 9.80 points or -0.12% to 8,399.10
• SENSEX increased 535.24 points or 0.71% to 75,901.41
• Nifty50 increased 128.10 points or 0.56% to 22,957.25
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD decreased 0.00386 or -0.61% to 0.62539
• NZDUSD increased 0.00055 or 0.10% to 0.56690
• USDJPY increased 1.016 or 0.66% to 155.528
• USDCNY increased 0.02302 or 0.32% to 7.27502
The above data was collected around 16:12 EST.
Precious Metals:
•  Gold increased 21.45 USD/t oz. or 0.78% to 2,762.93
•  Silver increased 0.198 USD/t. oz. or 0.66% to 30.372
The above data was collected around 16:14 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a mixed day today:
•  CAC 40 decreased 9.21 points or -0.12% to 7,897.37
•  FTSE 100 increased 30.16 points or 0.35% to 8,533.87
•  DAX 30 increased 148.40 points or 0.70% to 21,430.58
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD decreased 0.00592 or -0.56% to 1.04328
• GBPUSD decreased 0.00569 or -0.46% to 1.24421
• USDCHF increased 0.00195 or 0.22% to 0.90420
The above data was collected around 16:18 EST.

US Market Closings:

  • Dow advanced 136.77 points or 0.31% to 44,850.35
  • S&P 500 advanced 55.42 points or 0.92% to 6,067.7
  • Nasdaq advanced 391.75 points or 2.03% to 19,733.59
  • Russell 2000 advanced 4.84 points or 0.21% to 2,288.86

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite advanced 130.3 points or 0.52% to 25,419.45
  • TSX 60 advanced 9.9 points or 0.65% to 1,534.84

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa declined 775.82 points or -0.62% to 124,085.68
ENERGY:
The oil markets had a mixed day today:
•  Crude Oil increased 0.807 USD/BBL or 1.10% to 73.977
•  Brent increased 0.501 USD/BBL or 0.65% to 77.581
•  Natural gas decreased 0.3268 USD/MMBtu or -8.84% to 3.3702
•  Gasoline increased 0.0268 USD/GAL or 1.32% to 2.0529
•  Heating oil decreased 0.0112 USD/GAL or -0.45% to 2.4519
The above data was collected around 16:19 EST.
•  Top commodity gainers: Wheat (1.96%), Lumber (2.07%), Coffee (1.87%) and Palm Oil (1.59%)
•  Top commodity losers: Orange Juice (-2.06%), Rice (-1.83%), Natural Gas (-8.84%) and Zinc (-2.05%)
The above data was collected around 16:25 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 1.1970% (-2.25bp), US 2’s 4.21% (-0.003%), US 10’s 4.5430% (+0.2bps); US 30’s 4.78% (+0.008%), Bunds 2.5500% (+4.7bp), France 3.289% (+1.4bp), Italy 3.6490% (+1.9bp), Turkey 25.44% (-8bp), Greece 3.390% (-1bp), Portugal 2.944% (-0.6bp); Spain 3.157% (+0.1bp) and UK Gilts 4.6210% (+3.01bp)
The above data was collected around 16:28 EST.

 

UK Council Tax Hike – Britain’s Glory Days are Gone

January 28, 2025

Britain Big Ben Flag

Revolutions have begun over less. UK lawmakers plan to raise taxes on over four million households to cover a portion of their fiscal mismanagement. Homeowners may see their bills raise by a full 25% in certain areas as councils plan to use a loophole in the law to exploit the people.

Local government is not allowed to raise taxes over 4.99% without an election and approved referendum. To bypass the law and will of the people, councils plan to invoke Section 114 to declare themselves bankrupt. Secretary of State for Housing, Communities and Local Government Angela Rayner of the Labour Party would need to approve the measure. Rayner has been pushing to eliminate local government authorityRules for thee but not for me apply to Rayner as she managed to avoid paying taxes on her own home sale by looking for a loophole and simply feigning or, more likely, admitting stupidity.

The Royal Borough of Windsor and Maidenhead in Berkshire, Lib Dem-run, is naturally pushing for the largest increase of 25%. They claim it is a wealthy area and the people can afford to pay over five times the usual maximum. The party’s North Somerset Council believes homeowners should face a 15% penalty as well. Labour-run Bradford council pleaded with the UK government last year for a bail out worth £220 million, but even that was not sufficient as they are seeking to increase taxes by 15%. The party’s authority in Birmingham would like to raise taxes for a second consecutive year to 9.99%. Eight authorities in total are seeking to abuse the legal loophole of Section 114 to rob citizens.

A spokesman for the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government attempted to deflect any responsibility. “Councils are ultimately responsible for setting their own council tax, and we will put taxpayers at the forefront of any decision,” they told the Daily Mail.

Did I mention that these tax hikes will NOT cover each council deficit? Governments are absolutely ravenous for funding and do not care how hard the people are hit.

I recall when Maggie Thatcher was under fire for proposing a poll or head tax whereby each taxpayer would pay the same fixed sum dictated by the local authority. I warned Maggie about imposing a poll tax. She thought the people would take the supervisory role as a check on the government if they had skin in the game. But I knew from history it would not unfold as she had hoped.

In Britain overall, aside from this proposal, the tax hike as a percentage of gross domestic product to a record 38.2% will be the highest in modern British history, resulting in government spending not seen outside an emergency or war. While he claims that the additional £40 billion ($80 billion) is to invest in the future, it will undermine the future of Britain.

Britain UK GDP Y 6 4 24

Our computer has been projecting that the British pound will collapse and penetrate the 1985 low as we move into the years ahead. Last year saw a Double-Directional Change on the yearly level for the pound, and we are looking at an unprecedented economic decline into 2026. This is what the LEFT refuses ever to comprehend. They are Marxists until the end – Britain’s glory days are gone.

Tariff Threats Successful – Colombia to Accept Returned Citizens

January 28, 2025

Immigrants

Tariffs never work, but threats often do when it is known they will be carried out. Donald Trump threatened Colombia with massive tariffs, sanctions, and travel bans if the nation refused to take back thousands of illegal Colombian migrants. Within ONE HOUR, Colombia agreed to all terms and conditions.

Two repatriation flights to Colombia were denied entry, leading Trump to take action. The initial threat would have raised tariffs by 25% instantly, with tariffs doubling to 50% within a week if the order was not restored. Trump threatened to place numerous sanctions on Colombia and certain politicians. Colombian officials and allies would have had their visas removed immediately. “These measures are just the beginning. We will not allow the Colombian Government to violate its legal obligations with regard to the acceptance and return of the criminals they forced into the United States,” Trump warned.

The Colombian government responded within an hour. “The Government of Colombia has agreed to all of President Trump’s terms, including the unrestricted acceptance of all illegal aliens from Colombia returned from the United States, including on U.S. military aircraft, without limitation or delay. Based on this agreement, the fully drafted IEEPA tariffs and sanctions will be held in reserve, and not signed, unless Colombia fails to honor this agreement,” the White House reported. Visa sanctions will remain in place “until the first planeload of Colombian deportees is successfully returned.”

Colombia’s President Petro replied to Trump’s initial threats by claiming the US president would attempt to invoke a coup against him. Petro called the US “boring” and Trump a racist who considered him “an inferior race.” Petro spoke of seeing “blacks and Latinos” in Washington fighting and urged them to ban together. Clearly, he was hoping to invoke a racial war when that was NEVER the premise. Why do you not want to accept back your own people, President Petro? Why are you unable to control the drug cartels who rule your nation? He knows that those who fled under Biden are some of the worst the nation had to offer.

“You can try to carry out a coup with your economic strength and your arrogance, like then did with Allendale. But I will die in my law, I resisted torture and I resist you. I don’t want slavers next to Colombia, we already had many and freed ourselves,” Petro continued, saying Trump does not want Colombia to be free and he would not “shake hands with white slavers.” He then threatened to force 50% tariffs on the US in retaliation.

Democrats in the US sided with Petro immediately and claimed that asking illegal residents to return home was undignified. These politicians are demanding that American citizens pay for illegal migrants. There is no ongoing war in Colombia, and they did not come here for asylum. America has a legal immigration process that people can follow if they’d like to reside here.

Petro’s tantrum ended in defeat. We now have a president who is not afraid of confrontation. Trump has been thrown to the wolves so many times that any attempt to villainize him is met with apathy. America will no longer be made to feel like an antihero for its economic success nor will its people be subject to the sins of their forefathers. America finally has a leader who demands respect and is not afraid to raise hell for America First policies.

Germany’s AfD Calls for “Remigration”

January 28, 2025

Germany’s Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) Party is prepared to break with the European Union’s policy of open borders and implement a mass deportation operation. This is yet another reason why the establishment is attempting to ban the party and brand it as “far-right.”

Europe’s open border policies began in Germany under former Chancellor Angela Merkel who urged Syrians to flee and seek asylum within Germany in 2015. That same year, Germany experienced a massive uptick of 2.14 million arrivals. Other figures believe the number is far higher. There are now an estimated 14 million immigrants in Germany, most of whom are not there legally.

It became brutally apparent that there was major difference in cultures, and migrants, primarily single men, were unprepared for the Western world. Women in once safe cities feared walking alone. The German government created pamphlets and courses on how to properly flirt with a woman without sexual harassment. The continual rise in crime was not enough to deter the globalist government who insisted the rest of Europe adopt open border policies as well.

Germany How 2 Get Lucky

Violent crimes in Germany reached a 15-year high last year, a 5.5% YoY rise, and MIGRANTS WERE RESPONSIBLE FOR 40% OF THOSE CRIMES. It is not racist or xenophobic to state FACTS – these unvetted migrants from a completely different social background are ruining Germany. Lamya Kaddor, a Green Party MP, said that migrants were simply over-represented in crime statistics. “The crime rate is higher among socio-economically disadvantaged groups, which very often include foreign nationals,” they coldly said. None of the Build Back Better leaders are concerned with the welfare of their own citizens.

The cost on the welfare state is astounding. Germany spend at least 23.2 billion euros on supporting refugees last year after spending 29.7 billion euros the year prior. In fact, the government as admitted to spending over 20 billion euros each year since open borders were implemented. We are talking about over 5% of the federal budget going directly toward illegal residents.

The AfD would like to reclaim Germany, with leader Alice Weidel coining a new term, “remigration.” Migrants would be redirected back to their country of origin. She also called many of Germany’s migrants “un-assimilated” residents which is precisely the problem. Thousands have protested in favor of keeping the borders wide open. Will they pay the price to support these people? Migrants committed 40% of all violent crimes last year, are draining social programs, yet people are fighting for them to stay? Perhaps there are some citizens who have also failed to assimilate to German culture.

We Need Legal Reform Really Bad!!!!!!

January 28, 2025

Kagan Elena

QUESTION: Justice Elena Kagan denied the petition to prevent California from investigating and probably jailing doctors who went against Newsom’s COVID-19 protocol. If I remember correctly, isn’t she the former Solicitor General who told them to release you because she could not explain how you were being held without any charge of civil contempt for 7 years?

FD

Owen TR 2 7 2000 No List

ANSWER: Yes, your memory is correct. The judge was as corrupt as Trump discovered in New York City. The Second Circuit Court of Appeals is corrupt and they only protect the judges and government and even refuse to order judges to stop committing felonies by changing the transcripts. To be thrown in jail on civil contempt, you should have an order that specifies what it is you are supposed to do. I NEVER had such an order, and when I asked for one, the Judge simply said to his Receiver, “I thought you did that.” I should have legally been released then and there. He kept me in prison without any order.

Hect Model Schiavoni REDACTED

The reason there was no published order was that they wanted the computer code. They said they would close the company and fire 240 employees unless I turned over the code and even put it in writing to a lawyer offering to rent the company to keep the forecasts going.

 

HSBC Gag Cover

Republic Pays 606 WSJ

Then, when my clients joined me and went after the bankers, they put a gag order on me to stop me from helping my clients against the bank. Then the bank pleaded guilty and returned all the money to my clients, and to justify still keeping me in jail, they claimed there was yet another fraud, without any charges or complaint no less any description. The judge still refused to release me without even a complaint filed. This violated Due Process of Law and the Second Circuit ignored everything.

TR01072002 No Criminal Description

The Second Circuit just kept me in prison for a civil contempt statute with a maximum sentence of 18 months as a Political Prisoner to protect the bankers and the government. The court transcript even states there is no description of any alleged fraud, but they still just kept me in jail indefinitely because they wanted to stop our forecasts.

2006 Supreme Court

When I finally got to the Supreme Court, they ordered the government to respond, meaning they were taking my case. That is when Solicitor General (now Justice) Kagan first asked for a postponement, which I declined. Solicitor General Kagan had no choice because the case was outrageous, and she told the NY boys to release me. They released me from contempt and then told the Supreme Court the case was “moot” to get out of the whole mess.

TR No Restitution

I had no restitution and no penalties. They knew I would be right back in the Supreme Court if they tried that. Today, this does present a problem. If I return to the Supreme Court, Justice Kagan and Justice Sotomayor would have to recuse themselves because BOTH were involved in my case. That would probably set a legal record to have two justices compelled to recuse from the same case. When released, you are supposed to have 3 years of supervised release. The judge in Trump’s case dismissed that, and in my case, I reported only once, and that was it. They were afraid I would go right back to the Supreme Court. As soon as I got out, Congress invited me to Washington, where I was introduced as the guy with this model they were trying to suppress.

Mill John Stuart Legal Persecution mills

When I was in Frankfurt, Germany, for the debut of the film On Me the Forecaster, there was a question-and-answer period at the end. A woman stood up and said this is what was wrong with America – just raw corruption. A German lawyer stood up and said: “We do this to people here in Germany all the time.” Governments really cannot be trusted to enforce laws. John Stuart Mills also commented in On Liberty: “Let us not flatter ourselves that we are yet free from the stain of legal persecution.”

Dickens Suffer any Wrong

Charles Dickenson also wrote about the corrupt legal system in Britain at the time. He said: “Suffer any wrong that can be done you rather than come here!” – The Court of Chancery, which I was in civil contempt, the equivalent of the English Court of Chancery.

Shakespeare Killl Lawyers

Even Shakespeare wrote his famous line in Henry VI: “The first thing we do, let’s kill all the lawyers.” There were no lawyers for private citizens. Only the king had lawyers. The real meaning of those words was to kill all the king’s prosecutors for also legal abuse and corruption.

I have NO FAITH in our legal system. History confirms we are in serious trouble.

When the Rule of law collapses, the government is not far behind.

cntrl_alt_del

We really need to press that control-alt-delete and start over.

 

 

Why Did Democrats Become Pro-Illegal Immigration?

January 27, 2025

 

The Democrats completely flipped the position against illegal immigration mainly because they have to be the opposite of whatever Trump did, regardless of the issue. They hated Trump because he was not a politician, and how dare anyone think they could be elected and upset their cozy thiefdom. If Trump wants to build a wall, they must tear it down. This is what 2032 will be: a reset for the government, which is no longer for the people. It is for them only.

Confidential sources explained that Biden really thought opening the border as he did on day one would be his legacy. He thought he would go down in history as the next FDR and allow the country to be flooded with illegal immigrants regardless of skills or language.

This is why our computer is projecting 2032, and it is also projecting the collapse of the Democratic Party, for it will split like the Federalists, for there are conservative middle-of-the-road Democrats who simply do not agree with the completely opposite position the Party is taking. They MUST resist regardless of the issue.

The press is sealing their fate and the fate of Western Civilization. The Economist, the Guardian, the New York Times, and the Washington Post have opposed every single executive order Trump has issued simply because he issued it. Forget the substance. I do not agree with everything he has done. That does not mean I oppose every order simply because he issued it. This is WHY our governments in the West will fall – there is no other option.

Biden Stammer

Biden’s level of vindictiveness is off the charts. Biden struck a secret deal with the British Prime Minister to sign away the joint UK-US military base on the Indian Ocean island of Diego Garcia, perhaps the most important military base in the Middle East, to create a geopolitical mess for Trump. Starmer and the outgoing Biden administration wanted to get an agreement to cede sovereignty of the Chagos Islands – including Diego Garcia – to Mauritius before President Trump could take his oath. Biden tried to screw our military just to be vindictive to Trump? Starmer was on board, but sources say the British Neocons stopped the secret deal. When history writes the account of Biden, he will go down, I believe, as the most corrupt and vindictive president in American history.

 

 

Market Talk – January 27, 2025

January 27, 2025

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 decreased 366.18 points or -0.92% to 39,565.80
• Shanghai decreased 2.03 points or -0.06% to 3,250.60
• Hang Seng increased 131.58 points or 0.66% to 20,197.77
• ASX 200 closed
• SENSEX decreased 824.29 points or -1.08% to 75,366.17
• Nifty50 decreased 263.05 points or -1.14% to 22,829.15
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD decreased 0.00374 or -0.59% to 0.62771
• NZDUSD decreased 0.00261 or -0.46% to 0.56809
• USDJPY decreased 1.502 or -0.96% to 154.487
• USDCNY increased 0.00733 or 0.10% to 7.25163
The above data was collected around 13:38 EST.
Precious Metals:
•  Gold decreased 33.13 USD/t oz. or -1.20% to 2,737.01
•  Silver decreased 0.439 USD/t. oz. or -1.44% to 30.131
The above data was collected around 13:40 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a mixed day today:
•  CAC 40 decreased 21.04 points or -0.27% to 7,906.58
•  FTSE 100 increased 1.36 points or 0.02% to 8,503.71
•  DAX 30 decreased 112.75 points or -0.53% to 21,282.18
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD decreased 0.00118 or -0.11% to 1.04877
• GBPUSD increased 0.00011 or 0.01% to 1.24836
• USDCHF decreased 0.00472 or -0.52% to 0.90143
The above data was collected around 13:48 EST.

US/AMERICAS:

US Market Closings:

  • Dow advanced 289.33 points or 0.65% to 44,713.58
  • S&P 500 declined 23.71 points or -1.46% to 6,012.28
  • Nasdaq declined 612.47 points or -3.07% to 19,341.83
  • Russell 2000 declined 23.71 points or -1.03% to 2,284.02

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite declined 179.34 points or 0.7% to 25,289.15
  • TSX 60 declined 3.96 points or -0.26% to 1,524.94

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa advanced 2,248.57 points or 1.84% to 124,695.51
ENERGY:
The oil markets had a negative day today:
•  Crude Oil decreased 1.741 USD/BBL or -2.33% to 72.919
•  Brent decreased 1.699 USD/BBL or -2.16% to 76.801
•  Natural gas decreased 0.3784 USD/MMBtu or -9.40% to 3.6486
•  Gasoline decreased 0.015 USD/GAL or -0.74% to 2.0229
•  Heating oil decreased 0.0531 USD/GAL or -2.12% to 2.4547
The above data was collected around 13:50 EST.
•  Top commodity gainers: Cheese (4.44%), Potatoes (1.50%), Coffee (1.22%) and Lean Hogs (0.79%)
•  Top commodity losers: Palladium (-3.59%), Crude Oil (-2.33%), Natural Gas (-9.40%) and Oat (-4.00%)
The above data was collected around 13:54 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 1.2200% (-1.5bp), US 2’s 4.20% (-0.076%), US 10’s 4.5370% (-9.7bps); US 30’s 4.78% (-0.072%), Bunds 2.5110% (-3.35bp), France 3.271% (-3.5bp), Italy 3.6320% (-2.25bp), Turkey 25.52% (+36bp), Greece 3.400% (-4bp), Portugal 2.949% (-2.55bp); Spain 3.158% (-2.9bp) and UK Gilts 4.5910% (-4.98bp)
The above data was collected around 13:57 EST.

Hungary May Not Renew Russian Sanctions

January 27, 2025

viktor orban

Brussels has been eager to oust Hungarian leader Viktor Orban. The prime minister has grown bolder in his battle against Ukraine regarding the nation blocking gas imports from Russia. Orban has not declared that he may not renew the European Union’s required sanction on Russia unless Ukraine renews the Russian pipeline deal. A final decision will be made today.

“Now the issue of extending sanctions is on the agenda, I have put on the handbrake and asked European leaders to understand that this cannot continue,” said Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, speaking to state broadcaster Kossuth Radio. “Hungary cannot be made to pay the price of sanctions in such proportions.”

Current EU criteria demand that all 27 EU nations increase penalties against Russia every six months so long as the war continues. The bloc has already frozen €200 billion in sovereign assets and nearly eliminated all trade. The problem is that neighboring nations are more reliant on Russian energy and have been disproportionately affected by these sanctions. Ukraine’s Zelensky recently failed to renew a critical pipeline deal that all but halted Russian gas imports to the EU.

Fico Robert Slovakian PM

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has also spoken out repeatedly, citing the need for Russian energy and warning that his nation will face an energy crisis if Ukraine prevents the flow of gas. “There is no EU legislation or system of sanctions that would hinder Ukraine from continuing the gas transit,” Fico said earlier in the month. “We can’t ignore this topic because everyone knows ignoring it means escalating tensions in the EU and in bilateral relations.”

“The Ukrainians, while it is in their interests to impose sanctions, are now poking their nose into the flour and tampering with the Hungarians, even on the energy side, because they are not allowing gas to flow from Russia to Hungary,” Orbán said.

The Hungarian government asked to delay the penalty renewal process until after the US election. Trump’s decision to threaten Russia with sanctions boldened EU leaders to call out Hungary and demand they follow the lead.

The European Union cannot possibly act in the best interest of all member states. The entire premise of this alliance was doomed from the start. Members are growing increasingly frustrated as Brussels hinders their individual economies and this political instability will be one of the many reasons the EU will cease to exist.

Should the Feds Lower Rates?

January 27, 2025

FederalReserve 1

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and Donald Trump face off once again. The two have notoriously butted heads over interest rates, as Trump has accused the Fed of stifling economic growth by raising the cost of borrowing. Speaking at Davos, the president said he would “demand that interest rates drop immediately.”

We all know the Federal Reserve is independent and the White House cannot dictate interest rates. Lowering interest rates does not stimulate the economy, contradictory to the common belief that reducing rates will boost economic growth. The outdated understanding based on Keynesian Economics states that an increase in the supply of money MUST be inflationary. The Fed raises rates to reduce consumption and lowers rates to stimulate consumption.

It’s a very nice theory, but when actually tested, it utterly fails. Lower rates will NEVER cause people to invest until they believe that there is an opportunity to invest. We are watching the big players withdraw from equities, let alone government debt. We are in a private wave where money is running off the grid at a rapid pace.

Once upon a time, you could not borrow against government debt. Thus, it was deemed non-inflationary as long as it could not be used as money. Today, you post bills as collateral to trade futures. The old theories no longer exist in this new, strange world we live in. Hence, all the QE was merely swapping the debt for cash.

Every fiscal policy in recent years has exacerbated inflation and the Fed cannot keep up with government spending. QE FAILED. The artificially low interest rates of the recent past were completely unsustainable and relied on outdated theories.

 

The most significant issues facing our economy are simply out of the Fed’s hands: war, taxation, and government spending. Chairman Jerome Powell surprised everyone when he called spending under the Biden-Harris administration “unsustainable” and warned that it would hurt generations to come. While not a direct criticism, Powell issued a stark warning that aligned with our Revolution Cycle of 72 years. In 1951, the central bank defied the US government by refusing to purchase debt to prevent rate hikes amid the Korean War. The minutes reports always mention that the central bank is keenly monitoring geopolitical events as it must look at all variables from a global standpoint.

The issue of increasing sanctions on Russia, and the rest of the world for that matter, may raise inflationary fears and push long-term rates higher. Then we are looking at the risk of Japan, who holds the bulk of US debt, experiencing a sovereign default in a contagion that will spread to Europe.

We may see the Fed pull back rates this year. Powell understands that Keynesian policies no longer work and raising rates have no effect on inflation. Interest rates are really the price of money in anticipation of future inflation.

US Opens Dialogue with North Korea

January 27, 2025

North Korea ECM 3

Donald Trump’s policy of meeting directly with world leaders is admirable. The world has been on high alert over North Korea’s involvement in the Russia-Ukraine war, yet no one is willing to meet with leader Kim Jong-un. Trump made history during his first term when he crossed over the DMZ line into North Korea, ignoring security risks, and becoming the first US president to do so. Trump has stated he plans to meet with Kim Jong-Un again.

“I will reach out to him again. Kim Jong-un is a smart man. He likes me, and I get along well with him,” the US president stated. This is not a boastful remark as Kim Jong-un does respect Donald Trump. Trump gave his nation legitimacy by taking the time to personally visit and has been the only major world leader willing to talk directly with Kim directly. Trump and Kim did happen to meet for the first time in Singapore which coincidentally aligned with our Asian seminar there.

Their discussions during Trump’s first term did not result in meaningful action, however, it showed America’s willingness to hold diplomatic talks with the hermit kingdom. North Korea has become a much more prominent threat to the world in recent years. Aside from sending 120,000 troops to Russia, the hermit kingdom has drastically grown its nuclear capabilities. Kim has increased his nuclear arsenal and increased testing of long-range missiles that could potentially strike the continental United States.

2024_10_05_13_38_00_Kim_Jong_Un_ready_to_strike_back

“North Korea’s denuclearization remains a consistent principle upheld by the international community, including South Korea and the U.S.,” a spokesperson for the South Korean Foreign Ministry said.

North Korea has threatened to use nuclear weapons if the US threatens its sovereignty. South Korea does not possess nuclear weapons but is protected by the United States, with thousands of troops stationed in the country since the end of the Korean War in 1953. Our model on Korea shows that the 72-year Revolutionary Cycle will turn up this year in 2025.

Clearly , tariffs and sanctions would have absolutely zero impact on North Korea. Similar to Russia, North Korea is fighting for its existence and continually on the defense. The nation would have been invaded years ago if it were not for the threat of nuclear war. Russia and China are the nation’s only lifeline but their economy is lifeless and the people. The people are starving as a result of the state of the economy and numerous poor harvests. It will be interesting to see what deal Trump brings the table and how Kim Jong-Un will respond.

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