Capital Flow Analysis

November 1, 2024

Capital_Flow_Analysis

Next week, those attending the World Economic Conference can pull this report from your portal. This is a special report issued on the request of so many institutional clients to explain how I arrived at capital flows analysis back in the 1980s and its application today, as some central banks have adopted this methodology in light of the failure of Keynesian Economics. This is the first time I have outlined this form of analysis in a specialized report. This also deals with the velocity of money and the back-drop behind booms and busts.

This report will be available to non-attendees and non-virtual Attendees for $300 after the conference.

Capital_Flow_Analysis Index

Did Your Friends Vote?

November 1, 2024

Adams John Quincy Vote Principle

The animosity and anger ahead of the November US presidential election will soon turn toward violence and absolute civil unrest. I will not mention the name of the application, but perhaps some of our US readers have received texts or emails urging them to sign up. While it is illegal to see who someone voted for in the election, whether someone voted or not is public record.

“Do some snooping…Check up on your friends, boyfriend, hookup, or whoever you want with this link. Friends don’t let friends skip elections!” the message repeats. The creators are primarily targeting young voters with the illusion that this is some just social cause. In all reality, this program borders on voter intimidation and relies on the public’s persistence to force others to think as they do.

“Data is sourced from publicly available voter registration data provided by the state. Data will be updated as it comes in before and after the Nov 5, 2024 election. Friends don’t let friends forget to vote!” the program states, adding elsewhere, “Your friends, partner, boss, ex and neighbor can all see whether or not you voted. But who you voted for will always be secret.”

This is reminiscent of the hotlines that were established during COVID by state governments. They too relied on neighbors turning against one another. The government has effectively created division among the people.

Party affiliations are public record. People can see if you are currently or once aligned with the Democrats or Republicans. The public can also see if you do not vote at all. I have spoken to several people who said they were once moderate or liberal but plan to vote for Donald Trump. Everyone in that category has also expressed concerns about what their peers will think, and some question whether their relationships with others will deteriorate all due to politics. Not only will civil unrest happen on a mass scale, but we will once again see families and communities torn apart by divisive politics.

The Solution

November 1, 2024

 

People are writing to ask if Trump is adopting our solution since he talked about eliminating the income tax, which I was proposing during the ’90s. There is no longer a need for income taxes at the federal level because money is no longer tangible. Taxes were necessary when money was gold and silver because the king needed to get some back to cover his spending. Today, money is no longer tangible; whatever the state collects, it spends more anyway.

Moreover, what also changed was the need to borrow. States again borrowed, and it was less inflationary by taking in coins from circulation. Today, we do not need to borrow, which then requires us to pay interest on money that is not tangible, and we have no intention of paying anything off. The entire financial system will collapse, for this is unsustainable, as interest expenditures this year will exceed military. Within five years, interest expenditures will more than double.

The default occurs when nobody is willing to buy the new debt to keep rolling the old. We are also exceeding the capacity of the banks to be primary dealers, which requires them to buy the debt in hopes of reselling. This is all coming to an end. This will be one topic at this year’s WEC next week.

I believe the hotel is now sold out of rooms. If you want to attend, a Virtual livestream may be all that is left.

 

The Crisis in Democracy

November 1, 2024

Crisis in Democracy 2024

Next week, those attending the World Economic Conference, and those with the Virtual Plus ticket package can pull down this report from your portal. The Crisis in Democracy goes through in detail and reviews even Direct Democracy addressing the criticisms and why this end up as our only alternative.

Greek Philosophers R

This report deals in-depth with the Greek Philosophers Socrates, Plato, and Aristotle and their criticism of a Direct Democracy compared to our present state of political disaster. This is the way to the future, and this report dives into this critical issue for our future survival as 2032 approaches.

The Report will be available for non-attendees and virtual ticket holders at $300 after the conference.

 

Crisis in Democracy 2024 Index

Creating World War III

November 1, 2024

Creating_World_War_III

Next week, those attending the World Economic Conference can pull down this report from your portal. This report also analyzes Article V of the NATO Treaty that they hope to invoke to compel even Trump to enter the war. This is why NATO is taking the lead to keep their proxy Zelensky to invade Russia truly, and they are scheming to hand him long-range missiles so he can attack Moscow and force Putin to attack anything in NATO.

The Report will be available for non-attendees and Virtual Plus at $500 after the conference.

Creating_World_War_III INDEX

 

Market Talk – October 31, 2024

October 31, 2024

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 decreased 196.14 points or -0.50% to 39,081.25
• Shanghai increased 13.59 points or 0.42% to 3,279.82
• Hang Seng decreased 63.31 points or -0.31% to 20,317.33
• ASX 200 decreased 20.40 points or -0.25% to 8,160.00
• SENSEX decreased 553.12 points or -0.69% to 79,389.06
• Nifty50 decreased 135.50 points or -0.56% to 24,205.35
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD increased 0.00013 or 0.02% to 0.65737
• NZDUSD decreased 0.00026 or -0.04% to 0.59683
• USDJPY decreased 1.208 or -0.79% to 152.036
• USDCNY decreased 0.0023 or -0.03% to 7.12397
The above data was collected around 15:17 EST.
Precious Metals:
•  Gold decreased 36.58 USD/t oz. or -1.31% to 2,748.84
•  Silver decreased 0.976 USD/t. oz. or -2.89% to 32.766
The above data was collected around 15:19 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a negative day today:
•  CAC 40 decreased 77.99 points or -1.05% to 7,350.37
•  FTSE 100 decreased 49.53 points or -0.61% to 8,110.10
•  DAX 30 decreased 179.80 points or -0.93% to 19,077.54
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD increased 0.00114 or 0.10% to 1.08694
• GBPUSD decreased 0.00747 or -0.58% to 1.28830
• USDCHF decreased 0.00238 or -0.27% to 0.86407
The above data was collected around 15:22 EST.

US/AMERICAS:

 

US Market Closings:

  • Dow declined 378.08 points or -0.9% to 41,763.46
  • S&P 500 declined 108.22 points or -1.86% to 5,705.45
  • Nasdaq declined 512.78 points o -2.76% to 18,095.15
  • Russell 2000 declined 36.37 points or -1.63% to 2,196.66

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite declined 342.82 points or -1.4% to 24,164.97
  • TSX 60 declined 20.12 points or -1.37% to 1,445.77

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa declined 903.92 points or -0.69% to 129,735.41
ENERGY:
The oil markets had a mixed day today:
•  Crude Oil increased 1.998 USD/BBL or 2.91% to 70.608
•  Brent increased 1.986 USD/BBL or 2.75% to 74.145
•  Natural gas decreased 0.1415 USD/MMBtu or -4.97% to 2.7035
•  Gasoline increased 0.0384 USD/GAL or 1.95% to 2.0043
•  Heating oil increased 0.079 USD/GAL or 3.61% to 2.2666
The above data was collected around 15:26 EST.
•  Top commodity gainers: Crude Oil (2.91%), Cheese (3.39%), Heating Oil (3.61%) and Brent (2.75%)
•  Top commodity losers: Natural Gas (-4.97%), Silver (-2.89%), Palladium (-2.20%) and Feeder Cattle (-2.08%)
The above data was collected around 15:31 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 0.9410% (-1.17bp), US 2’s 4.19% (-0.004%), US 10’s 4.2910% (-1.2bps); US 30’s 4.48% (-0.019%), Bunds 2.3910% (+1.6bp), France 3.125% (+1bp), Italy 3.6410% (+1.3bp), Turkey 30.605% (+210.5bp), Greece 3.345% (+5.8bp), Portugal 2.823% (+1.3bp); Spain 3.087% (-2.2bp) and UK Gilts 4.4310% (+6.87bp)
The above data was collected around 15:52 EST.

Will the Next Pandemic Come Before World War III?

October 31, 2024

Disease Cycle

The US, Mexico, and Canada are developing a cohesive framework to prepare for the next pandemic. The North American Preparedness for Animal and Human Pandemics Initiative (NAPAHPI) “recognizes that the high degree of interconnectedness among our three countries of our critical infrastructure, supply chains, and societies means that disruptions affecting one country often impact the others.” The three nations are relying on the One Health approach put forth by the World Health Organization to find a way for the world to respond to future pandemics in a cohesive manner, which may include vaccination passports.

The WHO has worked with “Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH) as a One Health Quadripartite” to develop the framework of this approach. They have installed an “expert” health panel to determine the best global course of action moving forward. “Critical areas include food production and distribution, urbanization and infrastructure development, international travel and trade, activities that lead to biodiversity loss and climate change, and those that put increased pressure on the natural resource base,” the WHO claims, meaning this installed panel will have absolute authority over EVERYTHING from food to trade.

vaccinepassport

Part of the One Health Initiative includes vaccine passports. Individual nations created their own versions of vaccine passports, but there has yet to be a global initiative to create one. The Children’s Defense Network, supported by Robert F. Kennedy Jr., has been keenly monitoring this issue. Although there is no global database housing vaccination data, the new treaty signed by the US, Canada, and Mexico will bring us one step closer to ensuring neighboring nations are aligned when it comes to the next pandemic – whatever that may be.

“Because this is an initiative from the WHO, I am deeply concerned,” said Nicholas Hulscher, an epidemiologist and fellow at the McCullough Foundation. “They appear to be seeking domain over plants, animals, and humans — globalized, central control over public health policies in all participating countries.”

Misinformation

Hulscher told the Children’s Defense Network that he believes one of the reasons governments are stifling free speech is due to “infodemic,” which the WHO describes as “too much information including false or misleading information in digital and physical environments during a disease outbreak.” We saw this happen countless times during COVID. YouTube continues to censor my interviews when the topic of COVID arises.

None of this is about health, as every reader here knows. The borders were wide open during the pandemic and no one seemed to care. The entire premise of manufactured global pandemics created in a lab is to control the global population. This new agreement puts our freedom of movement at risk.

The HHS has said that the new agreement would look into implementing “border health measures.” The HHS stated: “The implementation of border health measures at airports, seaports, and land borders such as screening of passengers, vaccination requirements, quarantine, and entry restrictions, etc., should be evidence-based and aimed to slow the introduction or spread of a pathogen in the region.”

Socrates has stated that the disease cycle will reach a peak once again in 2026, which is just in time for the war cycle peaking in 2027. Governments will have a year to pacify and control the population before all hell breaks loose. Could the world possibly face a pandemic on the precipice of a world war? We can hope for the best while preparing for the worst. Socrates said the financial affects of what is to come will be felt by 2028.

US GDP Rose 2.8% in Q3

October 31, 2024

GDP 3

According to data provided by the Commerce Department, the US economy grew 2.8% during Q3, beneath expectations of a 3.1% increase. GDP has slowed from the 3% posting during Q2.

 

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) rose 3.7% last quarter, marking the strongest performance since Q1 of 2023. The US federal government’s spending is factored into growth, albeit another reason why these data points never provide a true indicator of economic growth in the long term. The government managed to increase spending by an astounding 9.7% — 14.9% of which was spent on defense.

 

Personal consumption expenditures price index increased 1.5%, providing a bit of good news for Fed who looks and causing optimism about a rate drop during the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Core PCE remained at 2.2%.

 

Consumer spending, one-third of US GDP, has risen, but Americans are spending more on less. The government is not releasing the true figures or painting an accurate picture of the economy. Sure, consumer spending is up, but personal savings fell to 4.8% from 5.2%. Americans are spending more, but they are also falling into debt.

 

The US remains the safe haven for international capital. We saw a 5.87% increase in capital flows to the US on a monthly basis based on the Global Market Watch, and Socrates predicts it will continue to increase.

The Biased Media Coverage of Harris v Trump

October 31, 2024

FP Harris no show

The majority of Americans are ready for the election to be over. The constant bombardment of political ads, emails, and texts has been overwhelming. The media has been covering Trump and Harris 24/7 through an extremely biased lens.

The Media Research Center conducted a study that found the evening news coverage of the presidential race has been the most one-sided display of fake journalism in history. Looking back to media coverage from July when Joe Biden was ousted from the race, ABC, CBS, and NBC have provided Kamala Harris with 78% positive coverage. In comparison, these agencies have only provided 15% negative or neutral coverage of Donald Trump.

Babylon BeeTrump_Indicted_For_Inciting_Assassination_Attempt

The study followed 660 stories and noticed that the Big Three networks painted Kamala Harris as a hero in July. After the first Trump vs Harris debate in September, the Big Three revised its propaganda to focus on Donald Trump. Instead of painting Harris as an American hero, the narrative became a constant bombardment of demonizing the Republican nominee who was actually nominated.

Trump Criminal

The demonization of Trump has been stronger than during the 2016 US Presidential Election when the Big Three used 91% of airtime to provide negative air time for Trump as they also painted Hillary Clinton in a negative light 79% of the time. Even during the 2020 race, these media outlets only provided Joe Biden 66% positive coverage compared to 92% coverage on Trump.

The study also found that one-third of Trump’s airtime has covered his personal controversies, with the January 6 incident receiving the most airtime followed by Trump’s claim that the 2020 election was unfair. Harris only faced 5 minutes and 22 seconds of negative personal criticisms.

Trump Dictator Kagan Nuland Washington PostMedia

Immigration, the economy, and abortion are the three main issues that the media has covered. There is no denying that Harris is unprepared and has no solution to these crises. In terms of coverage on policies, the playing field is a bit more even with Trump receiving 63% negative coverage and Kamala 55%. Yet, the media rarely covers the issues Americans face, and this race has been turned into an American idol popularity contest.

Most concerning, 90% of the positive coverage Kamala Harris received simply celebrated her without mentioning her policies or past achievements. The media has pushed the “woman of color” narrative as if America needs a DEI hire to solve its issues.

Trump Flees NYC

If Trump rightfully wins, the mainstream media will have a meltdown. The study only covered three networks but 99% of them are abiding by the same mockingbird media narrative that Trump is Hitler reincarnated. He will continue to be persecuted as long as he is in the public light or simply alive.

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