Donald Trump was sworn in and became the 47th president of the United States. He said he would reverse America’s “horrible betrayal” and instead usher in a “golden age” while taking on “a radical and corrupt establishment.” At least this time, he is fully aware of Washington’s corruption, and I wish him all the luck. Our model does show that he will succeed going into 2026 before there will be challenges on the international scene as Europe desires war. Note that the Oath of Office is to protect the country from both foreign and domestic enemies.

After listening to his inauguration speech, it was hard not to be optimistic about a New Dawn for America. President Trump is restoring common sense where there are only two bathrooms and restoring “In God We Trust,” which the Republicans adopted after the Civil War against the Democrats who rejected it back then as they have with abortion again advocating it as birth control. As he listed so many things that had to be reversed that have been a total disaster, it was hard not to notice that Biden and Kamala were sitting right there. Their legacy is nothing but a failure and tainted by corruption and last-minute pardons to even all of his family members, yet claiming they did nothing wrong. This is very strange.  To obtain a presidential pardon for a felony, you must submit a formal application to the Office of the Pardon Attorney at the U.S. Department of Justice, typically five years after completing your sentence. The application will be reviewed, and the President has the final authority to grant or deny the pardon.

President Trump pledged to tackle residual inflation by declaring a “national energy emergency” to encourage domestic fossil fuel production, with policy changes that would enable new oil and gas development on federal lands and roll back Biden-era climate regulations, which have been disastrous and this entire net-zero culture has wiped out the European economy. In all honesty, I have stood and watched how this climate policy undermined the German economy, which is reminiscent of how Spain fell from the wealthiest nation on the planet becoming a serial defaulter beginning in 1557, followed by 1570, 1575, 1596, 1607, and 1647 ending in a 3rd world status without hyperinflation. German climate change policy and its own refusal to turn on the Nord Stream 2 pipeline has undermined its economy and that of all of Europe, as no leader is even willing to discuss peace.

This will not be easy because the SWAMP includes many members of Congress, where Trump’s agenda hinges on Congress. We already see Republicans can split to save the SWANP, and differences are already emerging over national debt plans. There is much talk about Trump orienting his administration around personal grievances, including the press’s constant propaganda about the 2020 election and that his claims were false when, in fact, the press refused to ever look at the REAL coup to rig the election. As one such American political Jan 6 hostage, Kyle Becker said:

“I have just received word that I have received a FULL pardon of exoneration. I have wept tears of joy. Thank you Donald Trump for hearing us.”

Never would the press tell the truth that Pelosi shut down any challenge unconstitutionally and then used COVID rules to prevent any challenge from being debated on the full floor when she would not allow more than 53 people on the floor at one time. I am sick and tired of the corrupt press and their corrupt propaganda paid for by the LEFT to undermine this country. The Dail Mail polled Americans asking what is Biden’s lasting legacy. The overwhelming response was “NOTHING,” and that sums up the accomplishments of the Democrats.

Trump has pardoned 1500 people imprisoned for BS, and we call Putin a dictator, claiming Russia does not allow protests. Trump said that six defendants would have their sentences shortened. These people have been distributed around the country to PREVENT their families from even visiting them. He also ordered all federal employees back to the office. They have been working supposedly from home, which does not work for most jobs. Unsupervised union workers tend to think it is their obligation to cheat the employer – that is inbred in Marxism-inspired organizations.

President Trump also signed an executive order Monday night telling the Justice Department not to enforce for 75 days a law that effectively bans TikTok. It was supposed to go into effect a day ago.  He also signed an executive action withdrawing the U.S. from the Paris climate agreement, and he claimed the U.S. would save a trillion dollars by leaving the agreement. Another executive order signed by Mr. Trump called for the U.S. to leave the World Health Organization. The order cites “the organization’s mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic” and “onerous” costs associated with being apart of the international organization as the reasons for the U.S.’ withdrawal.

He began invoking presidential powers to launch a sweeping crackdown on immigration, tasking the military with border enforcement, designating cartels and gangs as terrorist groups and shutting down asylum and refugee admissions, and ending Biden’s catch-and-release. The president declared a national emergency at the southern border and ordered the Defense Department to more heavily involve military resources there, tasking officials to deploy additional troops to the border. Trump also moved to dismantle the longstanding interpretation of the 14th Amendment, signing an order to federal agencies to deny birthright citizenship to children of parents who are unauthorized immigrants or temporary visa holders. He also issued executive orders making it a policy of the federal government to recognize only two sexes that cannot be changed: male and female. No longer can you feel like a female one day and a male the next.

President Trump has promised to restore the rule of law and end the weaponizing of the Department of Justice. He touted today as a “historic” first day in office; he enacted 42 executive orders, memoranda, and proclamation actions. Additionally, President Trump signed “115 personnel actions” and more than “200 executive actions.”

He signed an executive order to STOP all government censorship and coercion of the media, restoring FREE SPEECH!!! I think they got the message. I cannot even use the word “vaccine” in any context when I do an interview, or else YouTube will remove the post and ban the interviewer. President Trump stated that he would forge a country that is color-blind and merit-based – the way it should be. He also reinstated all military personnel who refused the COVID-19 vaccine with full back pay.

President Trump also declared a national emergency related to energy costs for American consumers and ended electric vehicle mandates. I have a BMW I8. During the first hurricane, water rose in my driveway by at most 10 inches. No water ever got inside the car. BMW refuses to work on any electric vehicle. I was told by the dealer they trashed over 100 electric cars simply because they got wet. I was told it does not have to be salt water – even fresh water can lead to an electric car exploding. BMW refuses to even look at the vehicle. Sorry. I will never buy another electric car.

The Democrats are already seeking to undermine whatever Trump does against all common sense. They are planning on a full-scale obstruction as they did for his first term with lies and Russia Gate spending tens of millions of taxpayer dollars on propaganda that they crafted falsely. Here is what their email said today:

“We’re writing to ask you to make a donation to the DNC tonight.

Not tomorrow, not next week, but tonight. Here’s why:

Trump was sworn in just a few hours ago. He already has a Republican Congress at his disposal, and he’ll have a Cabinet stacked with billionaires ready to do anything they can to enact his Project 2025 agenda — no matter the harm they cause everyone else.

Democrats are going to need a huge sum of resources to organize and mobilize against any dangerous legislation Trump and his allies have planned.”

The Democrats are already spinning their labels that Trump is the oldest president to be sworn into office at 78, the first Commander-in-Chief to be a convicted felon that they manufactured with a prosecutor acting as a judge who donated to Biden, and the first president to be the subject of two separate impeachments by the House of Representatives for high crimes and misdemeanors that were also without foundation. What they do not get is that their actions have become transparent, for many to see through them as desperate attempts to keep their LEFTIST agents to champion Marxism over America.

 

Perhaps Trump has delayed his promised renewal of the trade war he launched against China seven years ago after I do know many close to him are our readers and I warn the ECM had turned down into 2028 and we should not accelerate this economic decline. Trump has more reasonably directed his administration to address unfair trade practices globally and investigate whether Beijing had complied with a deal signed during his first term. Trump’s first administration negotiated a “phase one” trade deal with Beijing that ended years of tit-for-tat tariffs, but few of China’s promised purchases of US goods materialized. He

Trump did call for federal agencies to address alleged currency manipulation by other countries. Let us hope he backs off of this nonsense with tariffs, which would send the world into a Great Depression, leaving him with a legacy like Herbert Hoover. I have been pushing every button I can to turn him away from a protectionist approach. I testified before the House Ways & Means Committee, and I invite him to read that testimony. Companies left the USA because the Supreme Court wrongly allowed the income tax to apply to worldwide income. That meant in trade, an American company was 35% higher in price than those from Germany who paid no taxes of external income.

A union representing hundreds of thousands of federal employees has already sued the new Trump administration over its plan to reduce the size of government. The lawsuit from the American Federation of Government Employees and government watchdog groups Public Citizen and State Democracy Defenders Fund was one of three cases filed as Trump was being sworn in today challenging the “Department of Government Efficiency,” or DOGE. This filing claims that the initiative violates a 1972 US law requiring checks on conflicts of interest, ideological balance, and transparency for groups with a direct line to the White House. This is the corrupt government that once you hand them power, they will fight to retain it. Like Socialism/Communism, you can vote your way in, but you have to shoot your way out. These are the people destroying our country.

Instead of waiting to see whether Trump follows through on his endorsement of a national “strategic” Bitcoin stockpile, which makes no sense, some states are taking matters into their own hands. As local legislative sessions get underway, eight states have already introduced bills proposing crypto reserves. However, while the push to ensure that state governments hold Bitcoin in one form or another has generated momentum among long-time crypto advocates, all the cheering has no economic benefit. During the Great Depression, over 200 cities had to issue their own currency to facilitate commerce. Bitcoin reserves will do nothing to enhance the economy for these people fail to even understand what makes the economy in the first place.

Inflation is NOT caused by the increase in money supply. That has been proven dead wrong with all the central bank expansion of money by purchasing in government debt. The bulk of the money supply today is debt, which is now money that pays interest, and central banks have ZERO control over the debt issue. Unless Trump is willing to open his mind and eyes to what is the real problem, all the bitcoin in the world will never prevent sovereign defaults.

Some of the world’s richest people turned out Monday to pay homage to Trump. It was a who’s who of the world’s wealthiest—gathering a combined net worth exceeding $1.3 trillion for the occasion. Seated prominently behind the Trump family were Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, and Mark Zuckerberg. Also, there were Bernard Arnault, France’s richest man, Alphabet co-founder Sergey Brin, John Paulson, and Apple CEO Tim Cook.

QUESTION: You have been critical of an executive order by Biden. What will you say when Trump unleashes his flurry of executive dictated?

GV

ANSWER: The purposes of an executive order should be confined to running the government like any company CEO. Trump should withdraw the security clearance of all 51 people who falsely claimed the Hunter laptop was Russian propaganda. I believe that they are traitors to the country. I would fire each and everyone and strip them of all pensions. That would be a valid executive order, as would firing executive bureaucrats. The president is the CEO of the Executive Branch. He needs Congress’s approval to install judges in the Judicial Branch. When orders are confined to personnel inside the Executive Branch, that is within his Constitutional Power.

What I disagree with are executive orders that circumvent Congress. Biden outlawed gas water heaters. That is a question for Congress – not an executive decision any more than sending in troops or allowing Ukraine to use long-range missiles to target inside Russia. The Constitution gave Congress the power to declare war, not the president.

I will look at what Trump does, and my analysis will be eliminated on those lines. I disagree with FDR’s executive orders to confiscate gold and silver. I think Congress should have decided that.

The major case issued by the Supreme Court striking down a president’s executive order came about in 1952. In Youngstown Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer, the court held struck down Executive Order 10340, issued by President Harry Truman, for seizing control of the steel manufacturers because of an anticipated union strike in the nation’s steel mills during the Korean War. The court held that President Truman lacked the constitutional or statutory power to seize private property.

The court focused on the fact that the Executive Order was not authorized by the Constitution or laws of the United States, and thus, it could not sand Pp. 343 U. S. 585-589. Moreover, no statute expressly or impliedly authorized the President to take possession of this property as he did here.

Using this criterion, Biden’s outlawing gas water heaters is arbitrary and absurd. It was unconstitutional, as many of his antics demonstrated that he assumed dictatorial power. Still, the Constitution never authorized such an exercise of power outside the administration of the Executive Branch. He has the Constitutional power to issue a pardon, but not pronounce someone guilty and imprison them without a trial in the Judiciary branch.

 

To get a pardon, you are supposed to plead guilty and show remorse. I am not sure a preemptive pardon is even legal. Now, what I would do is subpoena these people to testify. They cannot be prosecuted now, so they have NO FIFTH AMENDMENT privilege against self-incrimination. I would then ask them to explain their crime and name everyone else who assisted them who is not pardoned. Let’s expose the whole shit. To accept these pardons CONFIRMS that they are guilty of high crimes against the United States. They may not be sent to prison, but they can now be interrogated like any criminal getting a plea deal.

QUESTION: Mr. Fauci, did you circumvent US law and send your gain-of-function to China to be released? Were you behind creating COVID-19? Do masks and lockdowns work?

QUESTION: General Milley, So you deliberately created the false accusations that Russia interfered in the US election, were you trying to create World War III with Russia?

Oh, the party can now begin.

How about the Small Business Association brings a class action lawsuit against Fauci for all the businesses he destroyed with his lockdowns? He has to testify now, and there better not be any lies in his testimony. Explain any conspiracy he was in with Gates, the Rockefeller Foundation, the World Health Organization, and Klaus Schwab. We can now get to the truth at last!!!!!!

They can be Prosecuted for Perjury post-these pardons.

Biden just opened the door really wide. Otherwise, you would have had to prove Fauci was guilty; now he is Pardoned, so he is guilty of a crime to accept a pardon. Fantastic!!!! Thank you, Biden, for your final act of corruption. It may help to bring down the corruption more than anything else. Most billionaires are Democrats to pretend they care, but only the honest billionaires who support Trump based on common sense rather than WOKE are oligarchs. Ask Fauci if he was collaborating with George Soros or his son Alex?

The Biden Administration will go down in History as the MOST corrupt in American History!

 

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I was searching about civil unrest and found that FEMA did a report and cities your models. They even said:

ANSWER: Sources are saying that the Democrats, who had planned for a huge protest rally tomorrow, are disappointed again. The crowd is tiny. Our model on political civil unrest, which began with the Kent State Massacre of 1970 against Vietnam, peaked in 2017 with the violent protests in Washington, DC, with Trump’s inauguration. The good news is that the model bottomed in 2021, and here in 2026, it is the first wave up in the next iteration. So, it should be less in intensity, and that is what appears to be unfolding.

 

 

It seems that the Democrats and their propaganda over abortion and misrepresenting the entire issue has led many to be myopic and totally disconnected from the issues. The Democrats are still fighting internally and simply refuse to admit that they went way too far, embracing this like transgender, which represents such a tiny fragment of the population, turn women’s sports on its head while claiming to support women with abortion.

 

Let’s see. The double standard in DC and the Deep State imprisoning little old ladies for even walking in the capital building on January 6th and not imprisoning violate protestors at Trump’s last inauguration demonstrates the corruption in DC. The hopes of a significant violent protest to force Trump to call out the National Guard so they can label him a dictator is fading into the wind. The Democrats just oppose whatever the opposition proposes, regardless of whether it is right or wrong. This is the collapse of politics.

 

COMMENT: I had assumed you were just a Trump supporter. It has been emphasized that I was wrong and that you are in the middle of forecasting the events economically. I was told you recently said that Trump could go down as Herbert Hoover and that he cannot prevent the recession from occurring. Would you please elaborate on this and why you are in the middle to begin with. That is rare these days.

Thank you for your time.

Doug

ANSWER: The computer forecasts all of these elections worldwide, and it has never been wrong because it is not partisan; it just follows the economics. Plain and simple. Any unbiased analysis will always show that if you turn the economy down, the people will vote them out of power regardless of the party. It has always been as they say, it’s the economy stupid.

I am anti-Marxist. I went  behind the Berlin Wall before it fell, and I was called in by China during the 1997 Asian Currency Crisis. So, what I have seen has shaped my personal beliefs. Like weather, too much heat or too much cold and you will die. The same is true in economics. Go into hyperinflation and you get Germany turning to Hitler, or deflation you get the Great That is why I am in the middle of the road, I suppose. I see government as always the problem, for they presume they can manipulate We the People always to retain power. They are dead wrong.

Now, as for Trump becoming Herbert Hoover II, I am by no means a Democrat and at times, I am barely a Republican. We are heading into a recession that will turn into a Depression for some countries because we have a Sovereign Debt Crisis that will not remain silent for long. Trump and his people have grabbed the scepter, and they become mesmerized by the power and think they, too, can dictate the economy. Sorry, there is something we call the business cycle, which is global. The first recognized global contagion was the Panic of 1857. We cannot ignore the economic conditions externally. Trump wants these tariffs to end the trade deficits. That is old-school thinking, and it will fail. Raising tariffs will cause deeper recessions outside the USA and that means the US exports will decline. As that declines, it will create a global economic contagion and that will come back to engulf the US economy.

I can preach until I am blue in the face. They will NEVER listen to me BECAUSE they are all caught up in their own power. It is like a guy has a gun, and he says your money or your life. Are you going to lecture him that guns are illegal without a permit? Good luck on that one.

With all due respect for Trump, this is just the wrong time with the bad ideas because the crisis is beyond just the United States. Unless you understand the world economy as a whole, this will not end well. Trump will hit the ground running and may score some success into 2026. Thereafter, things will get serious. Yes, the political system and the rule of law is complete garbage. This will help post-2032 with the reform and creation of a better political-economic system.

This is how the business cycle will unfold. It really does not matter who is president. The global economy will turn down. Kamala and the Democrats would have been a total disaster and we would be in World War III very fast. The Democrats said they were defending democracy against Trump. They were actually stating their own agenda.

Biden was a placeholder – nothing more. He was not the president making the decisions – that was, I believe, the Neocons led by Antony Blinken no different that Dick Cheney was really president under Bush Jr. The Neocons have usurped American foreign policy and did everything to push us into World War III. This was a coup against the American people that the press would NEVER cover, no less investigate. Biden was in a role for which he was unfit because he could be controlled by the Neocons. They picked him, which is why you had Republicans for Kamala to keep that power play. The Democrats replace Biden with Kamala who would be another placeholder who never one a single delegate in the previous presidential primary. She lost every battleground state. All the time, the Democrats pushed Biden off the ticket and made her the nominee without giving voters the slightest say, yet had the audacity to claim this election was about Democracy.

The Democrats would lie to your face that Biden was OK. Had the shoe been on the other foot, the Republicans would have done the same. Rule #1 in politics is NEVER admit a mistake. I have dealt with more governments than probably any analyst or all of them combined. I have seen inside the belly of the beast, and I cannot mindlessly be in either party. It will always come down to the realization at the end of the day that it will be government vs. people, and history will attest to that statement. If a commentator only supports one party, you are listening to a fool.

 

 

A reader from France elaborated on the real motives behind Macron’s wanting to send troops into Ukraine, knowing this would start World War III. He looks at this from a personal power perspective, like any dictator fearing a loss of power. The reader wrote:

“To follow up on the Post “Macron Considers Sending Troops to Ukraine” on which I added a comment, I wanted to share with you Macron’s possible strategy behind his reiteration of sending soldiers to fight in Ukraine.

Through this, France would officially find itself at War. In fact, Macron will be able to apply Article 16 of the constitution. The President of the National Assembly and the Senate is already there! “

 

There is a lot going on with these California fires. Newsom denied a rate increase to State Farm for fire insurance, so State Farm had just previously canceled fire insurance policies. Then there is the question of whether Smart Meters with Lithium Batteries that the state approved yet seem to start fires. Newsome tried denying there was no water and that there would never be an objective investigation of the Smart Meters. Do Insurance companies bring suits against California?

On top of that, Newsom created a system where other areas not impacted will have their insurance raised to pay for fires elsewhere. Then Blackrock is reported to be going door-to-door trying to buy properties. And this guy wanted to lead the nation? He would certainly cure the migrant crisis for real Americans would migrate to Mexico is a fair exchange. This guy would have had all the life preservers on the Titanic removed to be clean before it set sail without them because they did not meet his regulation.