Can Mathematicians Forecast Markets?

January 17, 2016

QUESTION: Greetings Mr Armstrong and thank you for your excellent blog! I have recently started reading Benoit Mandelbrot’s The Misbehaviour of Markets in which he states that stock prices probably isn’t predictable in any useful sense of the term (p. … Continue reading

Let The Bail-Ins Begin

January 16, 2016

Portugal is starting to bail-in banks. The fascinating aspect that nobody seems to see is that this is a total failure of socialism. The U.S. Federal Reserve was formed in 1913, with the shareholders being the banks, to provide the … Continue reading

Market Talk – January 15th, 2016

January 16, 2016

We did NOT elect  the Weekly Bearish today in the Dow Jones Industrial Japan tried to hold overnight gains but by the time the rest of the Asian markets opened it was too late and the selling pressure just increased … Continue reading

Socrates Extended Preview for Attendees

January 15, 2016

We added some additional modifications to the Trader preview site that will go up this weekend. As mentioned, the Trader preview is a special promotion for 2015 World Economic Conference attendees. We are also planning on providing commentary for each … Continue reading

The Dow and 15940

January 15, 2016

The key level to watch today is 15940 for the close. This is our Weekly Bearish and if it holds for the closing, then we may see a bounce next week. We have Directional Changes every week now into the … Continue reading

Shanghai & Oil

January 15, 2016

In China, the Shanghai share market broke its major psychological support at 3000. The selling pressure has continued to expand on time here in January as oil also broke its major psychological support at $30. These levels are not really important, … Continue reading

Market Talk — January 14, 2016

January 15, 2016

There was a time when a 2% price swing used to be something to write about! Asia returned a mixed session with the Nikkei (-2.6%) handing back most of yesterday’s gains. The Shanghai (+2%) recovered late in afternoon trading and … Continue reading

Trump vs. Cruz & Goldman Sachs

January 15, 2016

They are now playing “Born in the USA” at Trump rallies to distinguish him from Cruz who was born in Canada. The real issue that Cruz will not address head-on is the revelation in the New York Times that Cruz failed to properly disclose large … Continue reading

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