All posts in " Interest Rates "

Split Between Official & Real Interest Rates

September 30, 2019

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; When I first brought this topic up at our board meeting about the split in interest rates between private and public, there was skepticism because such a proposition had never taken place in the short-term memory of our perception of history. I explained your theory and the rest of the members listened […]

The Dollar Shortage & Liquidity Crisis?

September 23, 2019

The NY Federal Reserve announced last week that they will continue their repo operation until October 10th, 2019. The repurchase agreements will amount to up to $75 billion per day. Additionally, they plan to offer three two-week repo operations of up to $30 billion each round. The constant intervention of the Federal Reserve into the […]

The Panic in Interest Rates is Just Getting Started

September 19, 2019

QUESTION: Marty; You warned that there would begin a cash shortage and real rates would rise in the private sector starting in September after Labor Day. Ok, it’s about 15 days past that marker and Repo rates have gone completely nuts hitting 10% forcing the Fed to intervene. They were calling it Armstrong’s revenge here […]

Trump on Interest Rates -OMG!

September 14, 2019

I have said this many times, when it comes to understanding interest rates Trump is speaking the standard mantra that people apply when it comes to interest rates. Trump is a borrower, not a lender. His bankruptcies were the result of the business cycle and he leverages himself to the hilt so when the recession […]

Can Government Prevent a Major Debt Crisis?

September 12, 2019

QUESTION: Hi Martin I recently stumped upon a documentary on Netflix about you and your model. I then went on and watched some YouTube videos. To me it makes totally sense that taxation does not work, but how can we change it. Do we need to become politicians? We have a very high tax in […]

EU Parliament & How they Protect the Bankers

September 10, 2019

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/Bloom-UKIP-on-Banking.mp4   A number of people have asked me to comment on Bloom’s speech on the floor of the European Parliament. He is incorrect in attributing the insolvency of the European banks to fractional banking. They have blown themselves up because of derivative exposure, not actual lending. The US banks survived and have prospered BECAUSE […]

Dollar Contagion & Trump

August 29, 2019

President Trump just does not understand the dollar. This old school idea that lowering the currency will increase domestic jobs and exports sounds logical, but the value of any currency is determined by the level of international confidence. It is absurd to think you can lower interest rates and the dollar will decline to support […]

Private v Public Rate

August 28, 2019

QUESTION: I am a bit confused. You have forecast that interest rates will rise but official rates will decline. Exactly how does this materialize? Thank you GF ANSWER: People seem to look at just the official interest rates set by the central bank and assume what I am saying is wrong. They have to look […]

The Biggest Bubble in Modern Financial History

August 26, 2019

QUESTION: You said before you were advising corporates to issue long-term bonds and lock in the low rates. Even the US Treasury seems to be following your advice and are looking at issuing 50 and 100-year bonds. Do you give governments the same advice? DK ANSWER: If asked, of course, I advise to issue long-term […]

The Fed’s Real Crisis – To Cut or Not to Cut

August 20, 2019

  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You seem to be the only person who distinguishes private interest rates v public. Has the marketplace gone insane along with Trump demanding 100 basis point cut by the Fed? I find it curious how they only quote the same people in the press who seem to preach the government position […]

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