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Market Talk- January 22, 2018

January 22, 2018

We opened the week with a quiet, low volume Monday but with plenty of central bank activity scheduled to look forward to. Given the US shutdown started midnight Friday, the news over the weekend appears to be somewhat muted, but unless it continues for a longer period it is unlikely to have economic consequences. The […]

Do Commitment of Traders & Inventories Really Matter?

January 22, 2018

QUESTION: Do you think that the Commitment of Traders and reported inventories are relevant to gauge market performance? ANSWER: The oldest game in town is manipulating inventories. Commodities can be stored at many places, but only selected facilities are on the reporting list. During the famous Buffet Silver scandal of 1997-1998, to justify taking silver up in price […]

Central Bank Reserves – The Rise of the Yuan

January 22, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I understand that your model shows that China will become the dominant economy post-2032. The IMF added the yuan to their SDR basket. Are central banks starting to use the yuan in reserves in a major way yet? KD ANSWER: Yes. The ECB (European Central Bank) converted a half-billion euros to yuan. […]

Why the Dollar is the Mainstay of the World Economy

January 22, 2018

QUESTION: A friend told me the one pound coins I have from a trip to Britain last year were canceled. How can a government simply cancel its money? KL ANSWER: Oh yes. Britain canceled the one pound coins last October. They estimated that £400-450 million pounds became worthless overnight. Europeans routinely cancel their currency. This […]