All posts in "Armstrong"

Market Talk- January 23, 2018

January 23, 2018

Asian markets responded better than US cash did upon the news of settlement between the US House of Representatives and the Senate. The BOJ keeps rates unchanged certainly eased some concerns, but even that news did not spur too much reaction with the Yen/USD exchange rate. The Nikkei closed over the 24k level and is […]

Quantity Theory of Money (QTM) & Its Failure

January 23, 2018

QUESTION: I am most interested in your revisionist view of QTM. You debunk QTM frequently within broader topic discussions, but I’d love for you to address QTM by itself in a historical context. Perhaps starting with the Austrian darling, Henry Thornton, and his “An enquiry into the nature and effects of the paper credit of Great […]

The Ban on issued Coins that Commemorated Waterloo

January 23, 2018

QUESTION: Wrote said that under the EU organization, the French insisted there would be a prohibition against issuing any coin that commemorated Waterloo. Can you elaborate on that? I never heard of that clause before. ANSWER: Yes, and Belgium defied the rule by issuing a commemorative 2.5 euro coin that was NOT for general circulation. It was […]

Refugee Migration Will Keep Wages Suppressed in Europe

January 23, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Here in Germany, one obvious consequence of the refugee migration has been that wages are declining for low-end jobs. I believe you had said that would be a consequence of the refugee crisis. Do you see this spreading throughout Europe? KS ANSWER: It is only common sense that if you increase the labor […]

Market Talk- January 22, 2018

January 22, 2018

We opened the week with a quiet, low volume Monday but with plenty of central bank activity scheduled to look forward to. Given the US shutdown started midnight Friday, the news over the weekend appears to be somewhat muted, but unless it continues for a longer period it is unlikely to have economic consequences. The […]

Do Commitment of Traders & Inventories Really Matter?

January 22, 2018

QUESTION: Do you think that the Commitment of Traders and reported inventories are relevant to gauge market performance? ANSWER: The oldest game in town is manipulating inventories. Commodities can be stored at many places, but only selected facilities are on the reporting list. During the famous Buffet Silver scandal of 1997-1998, to justify taking silver up in price […]

Central Bank Reserves – The Rise of the Yuan

January 22, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I understand that your model shows that China will become the dominant economy post-2032. The IMF added the yuan to their SDR basket. Are central banks starting to use the yuan in reserves in a major way yet? KD ANSWER: Yes. The ECB (European Central Bank) converted a half-billion euros to yuan. […]

Why the Dollar is the Mainstay of the World Economy

January 22, 2018

QUESTION: A friend told me the one pound coins I have from a trip to Britain last year were canceled. How can a government simply cancel its money? KL ANSWER: Oh yes. Britain canceled the one pound coins last October. They estimated that £400-450 million pounds became worthless overnight. Europeans routinely cancel their currency. This […]

RULE #1 – Never Marry the Trade

January 21, 2018

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; The goldbugs hate you for calling the top and a bear market. To my surprise, I searched Money Week here in London and it came up with an article in 2008 confirming you also called the temporary high in 2008 before the slingshot up into 2011 and were off 4 days on a […]

Dollar Manipulation by China & Japan?

January 21, 2018

The two largest foreign holders of the US debt, China and Japan, reduced their holdings of US government bonds in November compared to October. While many are trying to say see, they are dumping US bonds, China reduced its holdings by 1% or $ 12.6 billion to $ 1,176.6 trillion and Japan reduced its positions by $10 billion to […]

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