QUESTION: Martin– Your models seem to predict a Trump win. Given Trump’s stated preference for low interest rates, how does that jive with rates needing to go up to normalize things and save pensions in the next year or two? Would the Fed have to give in to President Trump? Thanks! RK ANSWER: Keep two […]
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, it seems that there is a cycle to everything. I am starting to notice there appears to be cycles in the use of words especially in a legal context. Your piece on “discretion” is interesting how it evolves to suit the times. Money Laundering began as a drug crime and now it […]
The latest poll now places Trump ahead of Hillary 45 to 42. The storm continues to brew in the Democratic Party and our models show there should be a Republican victory. The Democrats appear to be going with Hillary who has over a 50% rating as being dishonest. On top of that, she is simply […]
The market seems happy that the JPY trades comfortable north of 110 as we saw a small 0.5% gain in the Nikkei today. Hang Seng performed better closing up over 1%. with Shanghai also closing near its highs. A quiet session to close the week but at least on a positive note. A quiet but […]
Gold has been backing off with the prospect of rising interest rates, but a weekly closing below 1225 will signal that the high is possibly in place. However, a weekly closing below 1205 will signal that a serious decline is likely. Technically, we can see critical points at 12434.47 and 1202.13, and a closing below […]
The Dow does not need to break last year’s low, as that was accomplished in the NASDAQ and S&P 500. Nothing has changed there. The entire interest rate issue has far too many people brainwashed. No doubt, they would initially sell. However, the market will rise with higher interest rates as it has always done. […]
There have been a some unusual capital flow developments involving Egypt that illustrate a shortage of dollars caused by the decline in oil prices. However, this may also, in part, signal someone is trying to get money out of Egypt. This decline in oil has resulted in a decline in subsidies for Egypt from other […]
Interesting that both the Nikkei and Shanghai closed almost unchanged following a similar trading pattern today but the Hang Seng really could not even attempt break-even, closing down 0.6% on the day. The JPY closed above the bullish reversal but we have a large gap to wait for the weekly. In late US trading the […]
We will be providing access to the completed version of Socrates to those who have been on the beta site. This will be for 30 days. The Arrays, Reversals, and other aspects have been updated to current versions. Unfortunately, the preview site was temporary so the updates to the system were not possible since that […]
The first Minor Weekly Bearish Reversal in the Dow lies at 17434. A closing beneath this for the week will confirm what already appears to be in motion after electing three Daily Bearish Reversals. The next critical area is 17120, which happens to be a Daily and Weekly Bearish Reversal. This is the primary support. […]
