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Bitcoin – Is it Sustainable?

January 11, 2017

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong: I have been to the Orlando conference and probably read every single one of your blogs since about a year ago and now wanted to ask you about Bitcoin and/or other alternative currencies. If I am not mistaken, this topic is not something that you have really touched upon. Recent spike in […]

Understanding Performance – Socrates v Medallion?

January 11, 2017

QUESTION: Marty; I invested in your Deutsche Bank hedge fund and the performance was about 3 times that of even the Renaissance’s Medallion fund. Your employees said for the public fund you closed positions early because you were making too much in 1998. Yet that was still about 3 times what Medallion produced in 1998. Medallion is closed […]

Is Trump Draining the Swamp or Filling It?

January 11, 2017

Trump has broken his word and is by no means draining the swamp — he is filling it. He has really betrayed a lot of people by his nomination of Gary D. Cohn as Director of the National Economic Council, which is a policy-making position for domestic and international economic issues. The one legal firm in New York […]

Market Talk – January 10, 2017

January 10, 2017

After the holiday in Japan yesterday the JPY resumed its strong recovery and with it saw a decline in the Nikkei. The yen traded close to the 115 handle whilst the Nikkei lost 0.8% on the day. Concerns are still that the DOW continues to reject the 20k level and is having a psychological effect […]

The Famous Redwood Tunnel Tree Fell in California

January 10, 2017

The famous Redwood tree tunnel fell during one of California’s worst storms and caused massive flooding. I walked through this tree when I was a kid. I couldn’t find the family photo of that event, so you are spared this time. This flooding has been massive, but it is a typical precursor to big earthquakes. One theory […]

Trump – Taxes – World Capital Flows

January 10, 2017

QUESTION: I wonder if you might clear something up regarding the fabled corporate cash hoard parked overseas? Must this be held in non-USD form thus taking an FX risk,albeit presumably hedged? I gather any USD parked in a foreign bank is immediately transferred to a US bank, likely in NYC — would this be regarded as repatriation? I […]

Germany’s Misreading of Economic History is the Doom of the EU

January 10, 2017

Angela Merkel and her party remain clueless about the economic history of Germany which has been made apparent through her insistence upon austerity that is tearing the EU apart at the seams. This is like blaming Trump for Hillary’s loss. Merkel’s belief that the quantity of money is the cause of inflation has been proven […]

Monetary Devaluations & Cancellations

January 10, 2017

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; What Modi has done here in India is far worse than what the press reports. I read your piece that this is part of a larger plan discussed at the G20 meetings. Is there any historical precedent for such actions that would provide some guidance for the future? R ANSWER: Since ancient times, […]

Market Talk – January 9, 2017

January 9, 2017

The demand for safe-haven JPY returned with a vengeance today even though Japan was on a national holiday (Coming of Age Day) but in the futures markets the Nikkei lost almost 1.3%. The Yen traded stronger all day and in late US trading was seen slightly under the 116 level. Both the Shanghai and Hang […]

Moscow – January Record Cold 31 Below Zero

January 9, 2017

The Moscow’s Emergency Situations Ministry told residents on Friday that temperatures would drop as low as minus 35 degrees Celsius (-31 Fahrenheit) during the night of Jan. 7-8, warning that abnormal cold may affect the city’s power grid in some areas. Moscow is also experiencing the deep freeze here in January.

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