QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I have followed Socrates for over a year now. I was told by friends you run the most unbiased site in the industry. I greatly appreciate how objective it really has been. What I am dumbfounded by is how, with the tension now with Iran and Trump’s ultimatum to Iran, even things like this take place when Socrates projects months in advance. I don’t want the code. You were willing to give your life to protect that. Can you give us a hint at how Socrates can see things nobody else does?

A most respectful convert

MM

ANSWER: I believe that pressure is building within the system, and it is that pressure that compels people to react. The computer forecasts that pressure, not some order that Trump may or may not sign. Trump is compelled to take action because of the pressure. The computer tells us when that pressure will reach a turning point that compels a response.

We have lost the knowledge that existed before the Dark Ages. There is a mysterious force that many do not wish to acknowledge even exists because they cannot see everything simultaneously and connect the dots. I am working hard to deliver two books, which I hope will be my legacy and what I leave behind. I have tried my damndest to defeat my own computer, and I have always failed. The sequel to the movie on me, The Forecaster, may be out by May. I was asked a tricky question, understanding that the forecasts are not my personal opinion. The question was:

How does it feel to live through your own forecasts?

They have been filming me at every conference since 2011. So they have recorded all the forecasts, including me standing up in 2011 and forecasting that the War Cycle would begin in 2014.

Here is the first draft of the Prologue to the book on the business cycle and the Economic Confidence Model. I am working hard to complete it.

New ECM-2025-Prologue-F

PRIVATE BLOG – Trump’s Sovereign Wealth Fund

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President Donald Trump sent a letter to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, seeking a new deal with Tehran to restrain its rapidly advancing nuclear program and replace the agreement that Trump withdrew America from during his first term in office. The letter essentially gave the choice to negotiate or he would take military action. The deadline was 2 months, which puts us square into May, which the computer has been targeting for the past year.

Trump has said: “We have a situation with Iran that something’s going to happen very soon. Very, very soon.” He added: “Hopefully we can have a peace deal, … I’m not speaking out of strength or weakness. I’m just saying I’d rather see a peace deal than the other. But the other will solve the problem.”

Meanwhile, I believe Putin made a very reasonable compromise that Trump rejected. Putin argued that Ukraine’s constitutional legitimacy is in question due to the expiration of Vladimir Zelensky’s presidential term last year and the lack of elections since, rendering all of his government’s claims to authority invalid. The Ukrainian people should vote and any negotiation of Zelensky I too would call into question especially because I believe he was part of the Neo-Nazi movement pretending to be Christian before he was elected. Even joked about confiscating assets from Jews and Russians. My Jewish friend in Israel says he is not Jewish. I believe he has said he is Jewish to cover up his past, like George Soros.  Sorry, I disagree with Trump. Perhaps those in the intelligence service are hiding Zelensky’s real past. Putin said:

“Presidential elections weren’t held… under the constitution, all officials are appointed by the president. If he himself is illegitimate, then so is everyone else.”

I think Zelensky should be removed. The United Nations should step in as the caretaker and allow elections. Putin should then agree to a ceasefire if the UN is in charge. The real ELECTED president should then negotiate, NOT Zelensky. When he was elected, he promised peace, but he has done everything exactly the opposite of what he promised. Zelensky defrauded the Ukrainian people. He ran on peace and, assuming the election was not rigged, as some argue, the Ukrainian people voted for peace. Let them speak NOW! Remove Zelensky, Mr. Trump – let’s get real. You should know what the Neocons do. Apply the same strategy to Ukraine.

REMOVE Zelensky NOW!

Even CNN reported that Zelensky’s win inspired hope in Russia for the end of the war. CNN wrote:

“The Kremlin saw Zelensky’s predecessor, outgoing President Petro Poroshenko, as representing the “party of war,” and the election results in Ukraine were greeted by official Russia with what could be described as cautious hope for a reboot in relations.”

BE AWARE OF MAY

President Trump established the Golden Visa program to attract wealthy immigrants. The program will replace the EB-5 visa program, created in 1990, as a route to American citizenship for those willing to invest $1 million in an American company. Updated criteria now require a $5 million investment for fast-tracked citizenship, and the program has proved to be extremely popular.

Over 1,000 Gold Visas were purchased on the first day this policy was implemented, bringing $5 billion into the US economy. This is merely the beginning of the money that this program will generate. These individuals are far more likely to bring businesses to the US, leading to new job opportunities and, of course, lifelong and post-mortem taxation.

This program does not instantly grant US citizenship, but it is a faster pathway. Critics say they do not want to sell off American citizenship to the highest bidder, but a similar program was already in place. They believe Trump is simply favoring the wealthy while denying the poor opportunities, but they’re missing the mark. The majority of those in opposition favored open borders and demanded that everyone have access to the land of the free, regardless of how their presence would impact existing citizens. Immigration is possible through legal pathways. We were simply allowing an infinite number of people to cross into our nation, unvetted, and then demanded taxpayers subsidize their lives. It was a financial nightmare that quickly toppled state budgets and caused a drain on our entire system from health care to housing. These individuals applying for the Golden Visa can profoundly contribute to our economy, and their presence is the precise opposite of illegal migration, as they are providing opportunities for others through investments and job creation.

The program will be capped at 10,000 Golden Visas annually, according to the US State Department, and an additional 3,000 slots will be set aside for those willing to invest in areas facing low employment rates that need the capital and are currently void of job opportunities for many resident who do not have the ability to move elsewhere. There is a background check process in place so we know who these people are and their intentions for immigration. Around 12,000 EB-5 Visas were issued last year alone at the $1 million price tag. At $1 million, you’re not necessarily attracting business but merely wealthier individuals.

The most expensive visa program in the world has become an instant success, highlighting the desire for smart money to seek safety in the United States. Capital and people are flowing into the United States, which, despite its troubles, remains the world’s economic powerhouse and land of opportunity.

Several readers were surprised to hear that Canada imposes provincial “tariffs” or trade barriers that simply act as tariffs. Canadian politicians have been promoting a marketing campaign against US-imposed tariffs, but must recognize that their own domestic policy is hurting the Canadian economy in a massive way. Canada’s tariff rate on international imports averages 1.4%, utterly disproportional in comparison to domestic trade barriers. Estimates believe that current domestic trade barriers cost the Canadian economy $32 billion annually, but these interprovincial trade taxes can surpass 14% on domestic goods.

It is quite difficult for provinces to conduct business with one another; in fact, it is often more cost-efficient to work with international companies. Section 121 of the Constitution Act of 1867 implemented by the British Parliament states:

121. All Articles of the Growth, Produce, or Manufacture of any one of the Provinces shall, from and after the Union, be admitted free into each of the other Provinces.

The March 1867 stated:

121. All Articles of the Growth, Produce, or Manufacture of any one of the Provinces shall, from and after the Union, be admitted free into each of the other Provinces.

The act should have prevented tariffs between provinces and has been amended, but the current framework fails to prevent excessive regulation.  The Supreme Court attempted to address the matter in 1921 and stated that “free” meant tariff free, but did not address regulation which in itself acts as a tariff. The wording is the only aspect that changed but it is indeed a tariff.

The Canadian Free Trade Agreement (CFTA) of 2017 attempted to reduce trade barriers between provinces but it ultimately failed to address the root issue. Certain sectors were exempt from the rules, but individual provinces could choose to opt out. It is an absolute nightmare for businesses that are often required to obtain licenses, labor certifications, and meet an array of requirements from environmental to health and safety. One province may not meet the requirements, and there are many, of another and it causes mass confusion. Transportation costs alone for interprovincial trade cost $1.6 billion annually, and we all know how well the last administration treated the nation’s truckers.

Prime Minister Mark Carney plans to eliminate these tariffs on July 1, Canada Day, amid widespread nationalist sentiments. Estimates that reducing interprovincial trade barriers could increase GDP by at least 4.4%–a massive uptick as one-third of Canadian trade is interprovincial.

NATO has taken control of the transfer of military equipment to Ukraine. The mission is also responsible for training Ukrainian soldiers. The head of the Polish Ministry of Defense, Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz, visited the POLLOG HUB logistics center in Jasionka, Poland, through which military aid is delivered to Ukraine, and also met with the soldiers stationed there.

This is why NATO made a major threat against Russia if it dares to attack the supply chain for weapons coming from Poland, they will completely destroy Russia.

Kosiniak-Kamysz has bluntly stated that the process of supplying equipment through the hub in Poland was primarily a relationship between Ukraine and the United States, supported by Poland, the United Kingdom, and other countries. Trump wants peace, and Europe was destruction. Since the NATO summit in July 2024, a new mission called NSAT-U has been established, and Europe is refusing to acknowledge any peace deal brokered by Trump. They have said they will not respect any ceasefire in the Black Sea.

Europe is in full control of the Neocons. Unfortunately, Europeans are going to experience what Americans have under these sick individuals who also promote endless wars and should be imprisoned for life, because death is too final. Russia keeps drawing a red line – DO NOT CROSS. Europe does and keeps hoping that Putin will attack NATO. Russia has warned that Europe sending in troops calling them “peacekeepers” is pure bullshit and everyone knows that except ther press that are part of this war effort. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova stated on Thursday that such a move could lead to a direct clash between Russia and NATO. This is what NATO wants. Russia should not set these red lines for NATO to keep crossing, everyone is praying for World War III, and telling historians you better write the books saying Putin is the aggressor.

The war criminal Zelensky, who was a Neo-Nazi before being President, pretending to be Christian and only becoming Jewish once President, told the European press that he believes Putin, whom he falsely claims had ambitions to attack five other European nations, A TOTAL LIE, may not have much time left. He claimed that:

“Putin is afraid of his society, the destabilization of his society. The second thing is to lose his power but it’s also depends on his age. He will die soon, and that’s a fact, and it will come to an end. And it could come to an end, even before he ends his absolutely safe and losing – historically losing – life.”

What this disgusting individual either is too stupid or deliberately lies, is that Putin is the MODERATE. The hardliners would love to push the button just as our Neocons. Putin is the only visionary leader in that arena, which is why he gets along with Trump, who is no fool. Remove Putin, and we will have World War III faster than Europe would imagine.

Zelensky is not interested in peace. Putin has offered peace numerous times. I warned Zelensky back in 2022 from the beginning that this was the man that the Neocons selected to start World War III. My sources have been impeccable.

According to rumors in Ukraine, Zelensky had been drafted before he became president and had not shown up three times. I have not been able to verify that just yet, but the source is generally pretty good. He has abducted young men off the street. Here is a video from Ukrainian soldiers of what Zelensky is drafting – a person with Down syndrome.

It is a lie that Putin intended to conquer all of Ukraine. It was the Donbas that was ethnically Russian who wanted to separate after Ukrainians engaged in genocide in Odessa, killing Russian Ukrainians on the streets and burning the Trade Union house where they had fled alive. If Russia did this toi Ukraine, they would call it a war crime.

But Ukrainians killing Russians is perfectly fine since the Ukrainian Neo-Nazis have been protected by the Neocons and CIA since World War II – i.e. Bandara. The Independent published the story back in 2010. Of course, that would never be published today, and Zelensky would call it Russian propaganda.

This is why Trump told the EU they had no place at the negotiating table with Russia. They engaged in peace talks and never honored them, and openly said they were only buying time to start World War III for Ukraine to build the largest army in Europe. Why should Putin trust any European after that acknowledgement?

Reliable Washington sources confirm that they have taken notice of what I have warned that not only the meeting at the White House backfired thinking Zelensky could embarrass Trump into support this proxy war with Russia, but the back-up Plan B is to create a false flag so they can invoke Article 5 and compel Trump to send in US troops to invade Russia. People I have spoken to understand and are pushing rapidly for the US to EXIT NATO ASAP!!!!!!

Even the latest US government report, 2025 Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community – of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, admitted that Ukraine is losing on the battlefield against superior Russian forces, no matter what the European press and US fake news reports. Russia is not interested in occupying all of Ukraine. That may be a mistake. Unless Russia takes all of Ukraine, NATO will continue to use Ukraine, Romania, and Poland to achieve their objectives, and they do not care if one Eastern European will still be standing at the end of their conquest. This is a war of attrition that plays to Russia’s military advantages despite what the media publishes.

COMMENT: I hear you are a fraud. You took $150 million annually to advise ________________ hedge fund. Why don’t you come clean?

Annonymous

REPLY: I do not know who starts these rumors. They typically come from people who don’t like the forecast. The only truth to this rumor is that I was offered $150 million, true, but I declined. I am not getting in bed with people (1) I do not trust, and (2) I traded against as an adversary. Moreover, perhaps that fund and/or others told the CFTC to shut us down to stop the forecasts.

People throw around numbers because they think that if you get more, you will somehow be happy? You cannot spend even a billion on lifestyle. Even $150 million would not change your lifestyle, for it would put a target on you, and everyone would come to take a piece. Most people who win $1 million in a lottery go bankrupt.  I would trade billions, then you go out to dinner, and the bill is $300. We would call it just phone numbers. You cannot trade $1 billion the same way you trade $1 million. It takes talent, strategy, and a grasp of the entire world. When you make that kind of money, it is only good for bribing other people to do what you want – i.e., Bill Gates and George Soros.

Sorry to disappoint you. I have more than enough to live on. That would not alter my lifestyle. That leaves bribing other people to do things. Sorry – not interested! I DO NOT SELL ADVERTISING ON THIS SITE because I do not want people to think I am endorsing it. Some people are motivated by money. Some are motivated by accomplishment. I prefer the latter.

So take your rumor and put it where the sun does not shine, as they say.

BTW, the people making the movie on me filed a Freedom of Information Act to try to get those communications with the CFTC, and they answered – they no longer have any files on me. Apparently, my name does not even appear on any screen.