I have been stating all along all of my sources say the same thing. Zelensky is just a puppet of the Neocons. He takes his orders from them and they do not want peace. They have invested so much into this war to conquer Russia that they are not about to walk away.

I said I knew that Zelensky insisted upon meeting at the White House 5 days before. My sources told me the plan was to try to embarrass Trump, for they had all the media on their side and all the European leaders. Zelensky was all pumped up and thought he could turn the table on Trump and keep the money flowing.

Part of the reason I was told 2 days in advance was because they always send Boris Johnson to give Zelensky orders. He killed the peace deal that was on the table back then and that even made the front pages of the Ukrainian Press.

They also send in Boris to give the commands to Zelensky because he is not in office right now. I was told that he urgently flew to Ukraine to kill the signing of the mineral deal and to tell Zelensky to fly to Washington and insist on a meeting at the White House. I believe the first vote by the Ukrainian MPs was not unanimous for Zelensky, and Boris instructed them to suddenly claim Zelensky was voted in. Their constitution does not allow for extensions, and the claim that Martial Law overrides the constitution calls into question whether Zelensky can even represent Ukraine legally.

When Boris urgently flew to Ukraine and did his Good Morning Britain interview, he did it from Ukraine—not London. This was a setup that backfired. Trump has seen through this facade and now knows that Europe has been conspiring against him. Trump has now come out and cut off all aid to Ukraine and lets see the Europeans put their money where their mouths are behind the curtain, pulling the strings.

“The President has been clear that he is focused on peace. We need our partners to be committed to that goal as well. We are pausing and reviewing our aid to ensure that it is contributing to a solution.”

A White House official said.

QUESTION: You said Europe thinks it no longer needs the United States to defend it. Do you have any leaders saying that publicly?

UT

ANSWER: Polish PM Donald Tusk made a speech before he took his flight to London for the European Ukraine summit that was planned well in advance. He said:

“500 million Europeans are asking 300 million Americans to defend them against 140 million Russians. I want to repeat these words. If you know how to count, count on yourself, start relying on yourself. Not in isolation, but with full awareness of your own potential. Europe, if there is something we lack today, it is not economic or demographic power, but the belief that we are truly a global force.”

The Romanians, I suppose, must all be far-right, but that is the current mood, and the interference in their election has only increased the anti-corrupt government sentiments. The high court is lucky they are not dragged out in their robes and set on fire as the Chinese did once under similar circumstances. Some Romanians have even expressed regret for joining the EU.

2012-2015 Uprising Against Corruption

Romania is by no means a passive country. The people will protest in mass when pushed – a good thing. There was a period of serious civil unrest between 2012 and 2015, which led to political reforms against pervasive corruption. That corruption is inherent in the Romanian government to a lesser degree than in Ukraine, but it is still offensive to the people who suffer from the highest poverty levels in the European Union. More than 30% of the population lives on less than $5 per day as the politicians take their bribes and stuff their pockets. Unemployment rose in the aftermath of the 2007-2010 Great Recession and that sparked the 2012-2015 uprising.

The government responded with drastic austerity measures in 2010. However, in 2013, Romania produced the highest economic growth in the EU, but the corruption  was so pervasive that the actual standard of living decreased. This was the backdrop to the major civil unrest between 2012 that prevailed into 2015.

Now with the EU manipulating the Romanian election and screwing the people again, we see a massive rally in protest that the Western press is ignoring because they, too, are paid to cheer the LEFT and look away. They are calling now for the government of Romania to resign and for the second round of the elections to resume. The people are solidly with Călin Georgescu. I have been sent this video because the media is silent because Georgescu was against Ukraine and this war with Russia that benefits nobody by the warmongers and leaves millions dead as they stuff their pockets, and the authoritarianism from Brussels.

This current uprising is cyclically right on schedule for our forecast starting in 2025, which was 13 years from the 2012 protest against the same issue of corruption, but with external political interference ce from both the EU and the United States, all because they want war with Russia. The American Neocons care nothing about the people. This has always been nothing but to fulfill their hatred of Russians.

Romanians know all too well that you can vote your way into socialism, but you must shoot your way out. They had their revolution December 16-25, 1989, but the violence continued until December 30th, 1989. This and 1848 were outright revolutions – not just protests that began in 513AD.

Our computer had forecast the start of this civil unrest for 2025, which will continue into 2027. That was manifested by the nullification of a free election. This has proven that the government of the EU is ruthless, and hopefully, Trump cleans the US government of all Neocons who should be sent to prison for life to protect society from their machinations.

Socialism has become a trendy topic in the US in recent years. Progressive politicians paint it as a utopia where everyone is treated equally and thrives under the protections of big government. A new Pew Research poll found that while most view capitalism favorably (57%), around 36% of Americans have a positive view of socialism.

Naturally, Democrats are more likely to see socialism as a positive, but this trend has declined in recent years from 65% in 2019 to 57% in 2025. Yet, Democrats are also less content with capitalism, with 46% currently in favor of the system compared to 55% in 2019.

These people have not studied history nor have they lived under a socialist regime if we dismiss the last four years. They don’t realize that socialism always fails because it assumes that bureaucrats are somehow more efficient than the free market. As Maggie Thatcher once said, “Socialism fails when you run out of other people’s money.” There is not a single example in history of a socialistic society succeeding. It historically ALWAYS fails because it suffocates the free market. Government enjoys authoritarian control over all basic necessities but they are unable to execute their programs for more than a few years as they run out of funds.

There is no incentive for businesses to grow and flourish. The smart money immediately flees such situations. You cannot tax the people into oblivion after implementing policies that make everyone equally poor. The government cannot replace the free market’s ability to allocate resources efficiently. When bureaucrats take control, they set prices arbitrarily, create artificial incentives, and distort the natural supply-and-demand cycle.

The only people who succeed in such a system are the ruling elite who enjoy power and wealth created by corruption. The more the government tries to control the economy, the more freedom it must take away to enforce its policies. This is why every socialist system ultimately descends into authoritarianism. History proves this time and time again, yet people continue to believe that “this time will be different.”

North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un has refused to repatriate the bodies of soldiers killed fighting on behalf of Russia. Reports are circulating that Russia has repeatedly asked the nation to transfer bodies, but Pyongyang refuses as it fears civil unrest.

The only information that the people of North Korea can access is what the government provides and most do not know the extent of the war abroad. They have been brainwashed to believe that the rest of the world is living in dire conditions far worse than their own. The regime is allegedly worried that accepting the dead would stain Kim’s invincible carefully orchestrated image and cause outrage among the people who have been living in utter poverty and despair.

What’s worse is that Kim allegedly will not accept the injured either. What happens to the thousands of North Korean troops when the war ends? They now know of the world outside North Korea—the lies have been exposed. Democracy is not an oppressive system and people outside their nation live FAR better than one could have possibly imagined. An inkling of dissent is enough to send the current regime into a tailspin.

The troops cannot defect as North Korean law dictates that THREE GENERATIONS of one’s family must be punished if someone commits a crime. If someone defects, their entire family will be killed or sent off to labor camps. Ukraine could decimate North Korea by shattering the illusion created by the Kim dynasty, but the men have been ordered not to surrender. Ukrainian troops have described their foes as outright suicidal, with many detonating grenades beneath their chin rather than face capture. One Ukrainian soldier said a North Korean troop called out “General Kim Jong Un” before taking his life.

There are now at least 3,000 to 4,000 deceased bodies awaiting proper burial. Between 10,000 to 12,000 men have been sent to Russia thus far, and North Korea said it plans to continue sending troops to Russia in exchange for economic relief.

The 72-year Revolutionary Cycle for North Korea is set to turn up in 2025, suggesting potential for significant changes or upheaval within the country.

North Korea is one of the most militarized nations in the world, hosting 1.2 million troops. Some believe that those deployed to Russia have such a strong loyalty to their leader that they plan to use their battleground experience to continue supporting Kim’s regime back home. But what happens if Pyongyang does not allow these men to return? How effective can rhetoric be when thousands of sons, husbands, nephews, neighbors, and friends never return?

On the other hand, what happens if these men do return home but begin to question their loyalty? Empires fall when the military turns against the very people they have sworn to protect. These men have the potential to form the most powerful alliance and coup that could be capable of the unthinkable—destroying the Kim dynasty and freeing the people of North Korea.

The World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) are seeking to influence Lebanon as the nation attempts to rebuild. Lebanese Finance Minister Yassin Jaber announced earlier in the month that the World Bank prepared a “preliminary plan” worth $1 billion to assist in rebuilding efforts. Lebanon is attempting to form a new government, and the West is encroaching on the Middle Eastern nation to ensure it can insert political influence if not dominance.

The war between Israel and rebel group Hezbollah claimed over 4,000 lives and caused billions in damages. The estimated damages continue to rise but Lebanon is in desperate need of capital as its economy was in ruin before the war even happened. Prime Minister Nawaf Salam told the United Nations that his aim is to disarm Hezbollah, but the group maintains a powerful political force. Lebanon must find a way to rid itself of Hezbollah if it wishes to secure funding.

IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva said that any funding would be “linked to specific steps and procedures with a specific time frame and objective.” The European Union has taken an interest as well, offering to disburse €500 million in aid as part of a deal signed last year that was contingent on reducing the number of migrants. US Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff also stated he believes the US may wish to broker a deal.

I reported that the US military is building a $1.2 billion mega compound in Awkwar, Lebanon. The location is a mere 10 miles from the center of Beirut and 60 miles away from the Israeli border.  Hezbollah and Israel agreed to a ceasefire on November 27, 2024, but the group is still strong and continues to support Hamas.

The West needs to preserve its dominance in the Middle East and rid Lebanon of Hezbollah. Every banking institution and nation has its eye on Lebanon as it digs its way out of economic ruin. Lebanon’s GDP declined by nearly 40% since 2019, contracting 4% in 2024 alone due to the conflict with Israel. Inflation reached 67.4% in 2024 with the Lebanese pound losing an astounding 98% of value in the past five years alone. Lebanon is desperate for political reform and funding. Eliminating Hezbollah and accepting Western influence may be the only option for the nation to begin recovery efforts as the people of Lebanon continue to suffer.

QUESTION: The criticism of your Economic Confidence Model has been that it oversimplifies complex economies, ignoring variables like policy changes or technological shifts. Would you address that?

DL

ANSWER: This emanates from the economic academic community that is Marxist based that rests on the assumption that they can steer the economy through economic disturbances. I had a conversation with Paul Volcker. He told me that the business cycle can’t be defeated and agreed it was about 8 years.

I find the criticism of the ECM is always academic because they want to have theories on how to manage the economy, so hire them. Anyone I have spoken with over the years who actually has real live experience knows that the government has NEVER been able to steer the economy to eliminate booms and busts.

Joseph Schumpeter also tried to figure out what was behind the business cycle. He saw the human innovation and how the invention of the automobile put all the horse & buggy people out of business. The development of the internet has put a lot of small local businesses into bankruptcy. COVID-19 accomplished the deliberate climate change agenda to stop people from commuting to work and also put local businesses out of operation as you can order online. These are innovations that are part of his Waves of Creative Destruction.

As far as policy changes, such criticism only shows their total lack of understanding of how the economy functions. NEVER will you find some policy change that was not inspired by the business cycle. You do not fix something if it’s not broken. It was the Great Depression that forced the world to accept the previous pseudoscience of John Maynard Keynes. His ideas before 1929 were regarded as absurd and highly dangerous inflationary dogma. The policy change nonsense is a response to the business cycle. In Russia, the Emancipation Manifesto was passed on March 3rd, 1861, emancipating 23 million Russian serfs. But they owned nothing. This policy change after 100s of years made Marxism fertile ground in Russia. That policy change became an international contagion, and Lincoln issued his on January 1st, 1863.

The very idea that policy changes can alter the business cycle is so ironic, for I can find absolutely not a single incident where some policy change comes out of nowhere that was not set in motion by the business cycle. This nonsense puts the cart before the horse.

I back-tested the ECM through world history. You cannot point to a single period in human history where the business cycle has been absent. I spent millions of dollars collecting the world’s coinage and testing it, all to provide a database from which to test the ECM historically.

We have the largest economic statistics database, from interest rates, policy changes, and currency movements. I have searched this to see if the business cycle has existed. There are no exceptions. I did not begin with a theory and try to prove it. I stumbled into this and tried to understand it. I believe what is included is war and climate, for they tend to be precursors to events. The climate turning cold in the north sent the Sea People to invade the south, ending the Bronze Age civilization except Egypt. Attila the Hun moves to invade Europe because of a massive Asian drought. This idea you make up some policy for no reason is absurd. It is always a response to events.

When Valerian I was captured, and Rome could not rescue him, the confidence in the Empire began to collapse. People were even suddenly skeptical about accepting Roman coins because their purchasing power was in excess of the metal content. Would they still be worth anything beyond the metal content? What is interesting is that the final collapse from 260 AD when Valerian was captured by the Persians, was just about 8.6 years.

A document from Egypt has survived, illustrating the financial crisis that was unleashed. It is from Aurelius Ptolemaeus, who is the strategus of the Oxyrhynchitenome. The public officials gathered and accused the bankers of closing their doors on account of their unwillingness to accept the divine coins of the Emperors. It became necessary that an order had to be issued to all the owners of the banks directing them to open, accept, and exchange all coins except the absolutely spurious and counterfeit. It was also directed that all who engaged in business transactions who refused to comply would be penalized. (POxy 1411 260AD, cited by Burnett 1987: p104)

This frequency has emerged for thousands of years. My critics are the typical Marxists who came up with the theory that economists can manipulate society to eliminate the business cycle, which they claim does not exist. I was told that in high school. There is no business cycle because Keynesian economics eliminated that. They have NEVER been able to achieve their goal of eliminating the business cycle but reject the ECM because they are too ignorant to even look at the world that not a single empire has ever lasted because history repeats since human nature never changes throughout the centuries.

Changes in policy? Wage and price controls were incorporated into Hammurabi’s legal code. The Roman Emperor Diocletian issued a decree trying to regulate inflation and prevent the decline of the Roman monetary system. He failed. There is absolutely no historical evidence whatsoever to support their claims that they alone can steer the economy to eliminate the booms and busts they do not want to admit is a business cycle beyond their ability even to comprehend.

Even climate has a cycle; civilizations expand when they get warm and contract when they turn cold. Everything is part of it; things like the weather also provoke changes. The first Clean Air Act was passed in 535AD. Look, my critics are like government employees fighting against DOGE. If there is a business cycle that they cannot stop, then they have no job. They must call the ECM pseudoscience, but every major scientific innovation began with the label pseudoscience. Even Galileo was imprisoned for defending the idea that Earth and other planets revolve around the sun. His ideas were labeled pseudoscience, and a nut claiming the Earth revolved around the Sun – OMG! Even in medicine, the idea that stomach ulcers were caused by an infection was laughed at but is now accepted.

Vaccines were first considered pseudoscience. Before Edward Jenner, there were other practices like variolation used in China and the Ottoman Empire. They exposed individuals to smallpox scabs to induce immunity. It was not some academic theory. Then Jenner comes along in the late 1700s with cowpox. He noticed that milkmaids who had cowpox didn’t get smallpox. So he tested it on a boy, James Phipps. That worked, and that’s considered the first vaccine. But back then, understanding germs and the immune system was nonexistent. They didn’t know about viruses or antibodies.

The MNRA vaccine was not a vaccine. Dr. Deborah Birx, who was advocating the lockdowns, now says she ‘knew‘ COVID vaccines would not ‘protect against infection’ yet she advocated locking down the economy, causing major unemployment and loss of jobs if people refused to get vaccinated. That was pseudoscience, for there was not even observational evidence that locking down the economy would work, and she knew that this pretend “vaccine” was not a traditional vaccine created from the virus itself, as was smallpox.

So, from our modern perspective, the method was unscientific, but they were based on empirical observation. That is what Adam Smith did. He engaged in actual observation. That is what I have done with the ECM. That is why some academics criticize me because it goes against their confined established science, which even Keynes admitted he was wrong before he died, Paul Volcker admitted their thories failed in 1979, and Arthur Burns, the Fed Chairman when Bretton Woods collapsed, also admitted that the business cycle always wins.

To them, learning from observation amounts to pseudoscience when it criticizes their beliefs. I PUBLISHED THE LIST I DISCOVERED and explained that I thought it was an average. I had no idea it would turn out to be more precise, yet because it was a list of panics internationally, it was not confined to a single cause like commodities. No trend lasts forever. Yet even with Climate Change, these people claim the temperature rose 1 degree this year, so it will continue, and we will all die in 50 years. That is like saying the stock market rose 1000 points this year, so it will continue every year for the next 50. A trader with experience understands that their stupid theories are impossible and have never worked even once.

A private Norwegian fuel supplier Haltbakk Bunkers, has said after the way Zelensky was treated by Trump, they are cutting off all fuel for American Ships. The Norwegian government has disavowed that policy, assuring the United States this is not a government policy and that American ships will be refueled, contrary to the statement of Haltbakk Bunkers.

Meanwhile, since Zelensky has refused to accept any cease-fire, we should expect to see the fighting now escalate. Russia has now attacked a cargo ship, Swiss-owned MSC LEVANTE F, a Panama-flagged, with missiles to “sink” it after they received reliable information that the vessel carried British weapons to aid Ukraine that included drones and weaponry loaded in Turkey before being taken to the Ukrainian city of Odesa. This demonstrates that Zelensky’s refusal to accept any cease-fire warrants an escalation that will now target the Ukrainian supply line. This is a standard military tactic, and it is surprising that Russia has waited so long to take this step.