Market Talk – January 22, 2025

January 22, 2025

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 increased 618.27 points or 1.58% to 39,646.25
• Shanghai decreased 29.00 points or -0.89% to 3,213.62
• Hang Seng decreased 327.78 points or -1.63% to 19,778.77
• ASX 200 increased 27.40 points or 0.33% to 8,429.80
• SENSEX increased 566.63 points or 0.75% to 76,404.99
• Nifty50 increased 130.70 points or 0.57% to 23,155.35
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD decreased 0.00077 or -0.12% to 0.62668
• NZDUSD decreased 0.00039 or -0.07% to 0.56611
• USDJPY increased 0.986 or 0.63% to 156.490
• USDCNY increased 0.01394 or 0.19% to 7.28179
The above data was collected around 11:27 EST.
Precious Metals:
•  Gold increased 12.48 USD/t oz. or 0.45% to 2,756.70
•  Silver decreased 0.041 USD/t. oz. or -0.13% to 30.701
The above data was collected around 11:30 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a mixed day today:
•  CAC 40 increased 66.45 points or 0.86% to 7,837.40
•  FTSE 100 decreased 3.16 points or -0.04% to 8,545.13
•  DAX 30 increased 212.27 points or 1.01% to 21,254.27
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD decreased 0.00114 or -0.11% to 1.04156
• GBPUSD decreased 0.00318 or -0.26% to 1.23187
• USDCHF increased 0.00119 or 0.13% to 0.90724
The above data was collected around 11:32 EST.

US/AMERICAS:

US Market Closings:

  • Dow advanced 130.92 points or 0.3% to 44,156.73
  • S&P 500 advanced 37.13 points or 0.61% to 6,086.37
  • Nasdaq advanced 252.56 points or 1.28% to 20,009.34
  • Russell 2000 declined 14.25 points or -0.61% to 2,303.72

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite advanced 29.86 points or 0.12% to 25,311.5
  • TSX 60 advanced 0.6 points or 0.04% to 1,518.16

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa declined 384.57 points or -0.31% to 122,953.77
ENERGY:
The oil markets had a mixed day today:
•  Crude Oil decreased 0.408 USD/BBL or -0.54% to 75.482
•  Brent decreased 0.427 USD/BBL or -0.54% to 78.963
•  Natural gas increased 0.0719 USD/MMBtu or 1.90% to 3.8549
•  Gasoline decreased 0.0305 USD/GAL or -1.46% to 2.0545
•  Heating oil decreased 0.0623 USD/GAL or -2.43% to 2.5010
The above data was collected around 11:35 EST.
•  Top commodity gainers: Cheese (4.67%), Palladium (3.82%), Coffee (2.67%) and Sugar (2.37%)
•  Top commodity losers: Nickel (-1.31%), Oat (-1.73%), Heating Oil (-2.43%) and Gasoline (-1.46%)
The above data was collected around 11:41 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 1.1980% (+0.82bp), US 2’s 4.30% (+0.019%), US 10’s 4.6050% (+2.3bps); US 30’s 4.82% (+0.007%), Bunds 2.4995% (+2.25bp), France 3.263% (-0.7bp), Italy 3.5970% (+0.95bp), Turkey 25.82% (+15bp), Greece 3.249% (-1.1bp), Portugal 2.928% (+1bp); Spain 3.144% (+0.5bp) and UK Gilts 4.6380% (+4.04bp)
The above data was collected around 11:50 EST.

Trump Lifts Biden’s AI Regulation That Could Have Shut Us Down

January 22, 2025

AI Analysis 6

President Trump fulfilled another campaign promise by canceling former President Biden’s executive order on artificial intelligence, removing federal regulations on the emerging technology. Separately, the President Trump announced a major new private AI infrastructure investment pledge backers say will create as many as 100,000 American jobs.

FT June 27 1998 Rouble

I did not want to start bashing Biden for that AI Executive Order. But it was clear that they could have seized once again my code that they wanted so desperately to control, and from their view it was being twisted around as national security that they did not want anyone to have access. This was all after the computer correctly forecasted not just the collapse of Russia in 1998 with the whole Long-Term Capital Management debacle, but it had targeted Ukraine as the place World War III would begin. This is also why I opened Socrates to the entire world, no longer just institutions.

HSBC Gag Cover

As most know, they put a gag order on me to prevent me from helping my clients against HSBC, which, in the end, they had to plead guilty, no fines, no penalties, just return the money that was stolen from my clients.

Republic Pays 606 WSJ

In the upcoming movie, the Forecaster 2025, there will be a scene where I believe the bankers had me thrown in the hole to stop my communications with the Congressional House Financial Services Committee even from prison. Because I have high-level expertise in banking, economics, politics, and foreign exchange, when the banks blew themselves up every time and went to Congress begging for a bailout, I was the one who typically would get called in because I was on the opposite side of the market manipulators.  A member of the Financial Service Committee wrote to the BOP asking who put me in the hole that cut off all communications. They panicked in the face of a Congressional inquiry; everyone was throwing the warden under the bus, as they say. All to stop me from actually helping the country in times of crisis.

Walter Jones- Martin ArmStrong- BOP letters

 

Biden Medal of Honor for Soros

The Land of the Free and Home of the Brave was not all it was cracked up to be. The Deep State is very, very, very evil. It can often be bought for the highest bid, just like any billionaire on Trump’s side Biden calls an oligarch, but people who fund his side and the Deep State, like George Soros, are philanthropists supporting the LEFT deserving the highest honors. There was nothing honorable about Biden, and he will be remembered as probably the most corrupt president in American history.

T Shirt Land of Free

We handed these T-shirts out at one of our previous WEC events. The options were not very pretty. Even resigning my citizenship to save my work opened the door for them to claim it would be worth XYZ over the next 10 years and would demand taxes on anticipated revenue just to leave. It reminded me of one of my favorite songs, Hotel California – you can check out and time you like, but you can never leave. That’s why people are saying I should take in a partner like Elon Musk to save Socrates. Interesting solution.

Eagles_Hotel_California_Live_1977_Official_Video_HD_YouTube

Trump Fails to End Ukraine War on Day 1

January 22, 2025

Zelensky.Trump_.VeryDangerous

It was a lofty promise and a campaign tale that no one believed could happen. Donald Trump stayed true on his promise to carry out a number of executive orders on Day 1 of his presidency, but he cannot simply sign an EO to end the war in Ukraine. Yet he did promise to stop sending blank checks to Ukraine and has appointed a special envoy who is requesting 100 days to reevaluate America’s position in the war. More importantly, Trump would like to go directly to the source and speak with Putin.

The Kremlin broadcast Putin’s weekly security council message earlier than expected to address Trump directly. “We are open to dialogue with the new US administration on the Ukrainian conflict,” Putin said. “Its goal should not be a short truce, not some kind of respite for regrouping forces and rearmament with the aim of subsequently continuing the conflict, but a long-term peace based on respect for the legitimate interests of all people, all nations that live in this region.”

Russia will never waiver on a deal that does not include prohibiting Ukraine from joining NATO. Trump seems to be aligned with him on this issue as any reasonable mind can comprehend how this would lead to an immediate escalation into World War III. Territorial concessions? Neither Russia or Ukraine is willing to surrender territory.

BBC Trump Proof War

New US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has reaffirmed the new administration’s message that the war in Ukraine must end. America can withhold funding or direct intervention. America cannot undo the damage that has been done. There are too many hands in the money pit that is Ukraine from world governments to investment banks. Everyone is heavily invested in Ukraine and will demand repayment for untold fortunes spent on prolonging the for-profit war. Even withdrawing from NATO would not be sufficient to end the war as the alliance has been preparing for a Trump victory before campaigning efforts began.

Europe is pushing full speed ahead to fabricate World War II, with both Germany and France offering to send “peacekeepers,” a digestible new term for “trained soldiers.” Zelensky simply wants the money to continue pouring in. “Will President Trump even notice Europe?” Zelensky asked in appearance at the World Economic Forum in Davos. “Does he see NATO as necessary, and will he respect EU institutions?” Ukraine’s president is attempting to shape this as a Europe v the USA matter as if America is abandoning Europe under Trump.

One side does not want the war to end. You cannot negotiate when one side is firmly opposed AND does not have the final say. Zelensky sold out his country many years ago and dealing with him would be a moot point as he is not the only truly in control of Ukraine or the war efforts. Trump is going to have an extremely difficult time navigating this irreversible situation. According to our computer model, the very best efforts would only result in a delay to the inevitable. It gives me no pleasure to share this forecast but the model has yet to mislead us.

World War III is coming by 2027; the financial implications will be fully felt by 2028.

America Withdraws from the World Health Organization

January 22, 2025

WHO World Health Organization Flag

Donald Trump has stayed true to his word and withdrew America from the World Health Organization (WHO). Trump attempted to withdraw in 2020 but to do so requires one year of advance notice, and Biden revoked Trump’s actions when he took office six months later. Not only has this utterly needless globalist entity drained massive resources from the United States, but those in charge are attempting to implement worldwide regulations on all members.

The United States of America, the supposed leader of the free world, should never cave to a globalist entity forcefully pushing members into a One World Government. The WHO is closely partnered with the United Nations, but usurps power under the guise of public health. The members of the organization are unelected, and yet, they have proposed countless measures that dictate how the people of the world should live such as global taxation. So unelected members within the WHO could have issued an order to protect public health and override our own elected officials. “I will not allow public health to be used as a pretext to advance the march of global government,” Trump stated during his campaign.

The United States was also expected to act as the WHO’s primary financier. Between 2022 and 2023, America paid 15.6% of the WHO’s entire revenue, amounting to $1.284 billion. In contrast, the US contributed just $105 million in 2020 under Trump during the pandemic.

Gates controls WHO

The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation personally finances the World Health Organization more than individual nations. Over 88% of the organization’s philanthropist donations come directly from Bill Gates and his charity, which he uses to orchestrate events under the premise of health that give him more power than any man should have.

2021 _Does_Bill_Gates_have_too_much_influence_in_the_WHO_SWI_swissinfo.ch_

He is treated liked a head of state, not only at the WHO, but also at the G20,” a Geneva-based NGO representative said of Bill Gates. POLITICO attempted to write an article about Gates’ influence on the WHO but no one would openly criticize him without the protection of anonymity. Thirty health advocacy groups wrote to the WHO’s board of executives a few years ago to protest the power Gates has over the organization, saying that his donations were a Trojan horse for personal interests. “I don’t think they have any bad intentions. They are just such a big player that as immediately as they put money down they can disrupt things,” another Geneva-based diplomat commented to POLITICO.

Clearly Bill Gates made a nice return on his investment into the WHO during the pandemic and the aftermath. What has the United States gained for the billions funneled into the WHO? NOTHING. Absolutely nothing. It is finally time for the United States to curtail reckless spending, beginning with a useless organization that undermines democracy.

The Unelected in Brussels Deny Romania Democracy

January 22, 2025

RomanianFlag

The vote of the Romanian people must be ignored, according to the European Court of Human Rights, which upheld the annulment of the results of the first election. The next election is slated for May 18, and while Calin Georgescu is permitted to run again, will the establishment respect the vote?

Georgescu is called a far-right extremist for daring to speak out against the globalist narrative. He is firmly against NATO and promoting forever wars. He does not want the neocons to use his country as a “door for a war.” Millions of Romanians agree but their voices have been stifled by the establishment. The Romanian government under President Klaus Iohannis initially called into question Article 146(f) of the Romanian Constitution that demands elections must be legal. Romanian courts declared that RUSSIAN INTERFERENCE was at play and the vote of the people was null and void.

The European Court of Human Rights has sided with Romania’s establishment. How could this court have the authority to override Romania’s democracy? Well, all European Union members knowingly or unknowingly agreed to bend the knee to Brussels. The European Court of Human Rights is composed of 46 judges who each represent their respective member state in the Council of Europe.

Each member state presents three options for judge selection and one must be female. The Committee of Ministers of the Council of Europe then determines if the three proposed candidates are qualified, and the Parliamentary Assembly elects the judge who best aligns with the overall EU narrative. The people have absolutely no say or vote.

Romania Blinken

So, not only did the Romanian government tell their citizens to ignore the election results, but judges UNELECTED by the Romanian people were able to solidify this gross misjustice. Then, the government acted puzzled that thousands took to the streets to protest, and some questioned whether they should even vote when government plans to install its candidate of choice.

Georgescu ran on a platform of ending Romania’s involvement in the Russia-Ukraine war and repeatedly said it is not their war to fight. The establishment will not permit Romania to remain neutral. He still holds a 38% majority of support over all other candidates but the questions remains whether the establishment will ever allow a true election is such a geographically crucial area for the next world war.

Europe Preparing to Invade Russia

January 22, 2025

2025_01_21_21_09_53_Thousands_of_British_troops_prepare_for_possible_Putin_NATO_invasion_Daily_Mai

I have been warning that the NEOCONS have total control of Europe. They have convinced all of these heads of state that Russia is now weak, conventionally defeated, and the time is ripe to invade. The computer is still warning about the April/June time period, and to comprehend this insanity, you must understand that an inferiority complex has been present even since post-World War II. Macron of France wants to send troops into Ukraine, and he continues to cling to the glory days of France and the dream of strategic autonomy of a Europe no longer dependent on America. With Trump coming to office, they have no interest in PEACE – they want war. They seem to be rushing to war, fearing Trump could stop them.

NATO_Defeat Russia_in_3_Days Adam Kinzinger

These insane European leaders want to think, like Iraq, that they can conquer Russia in a matter of days. They think Ukraine has been using long-range missiles to destroy Russia’s conventional ability to defend itself. That was the entire reason why Zelinsky turned from defending his own country to invading Russia. The nonsense that this would force Russia to the peace table when every offer of peace by Putin has been ignored. They are planning the conquest of Russia and dividing up the richest nation on earth from natural resources to revitalize and collapse the EU economy.

 

Alexander the Great Silver Drachms

January 22, 2025

Alexander Drachm Hoard

 

There is no other person throughout history whose name and accomplishments influenced so many, from Julius Caesar to Napoleon, like Alexander the Great. Born a son of the Macedonian King Philip II in 356 BC, he was tutored in war and philosophy by none other than Aristotle. Upon the assassination of his father, Philip II, in 336 BC, the now 20-year-old Alexander was proclaimed king by the Macedonian noblemen and the army. He then launched his invasion of Anatolia (Turkey) and sought the conquest of Persia and beyond that would last for one cycle interval of just 13 years until 323 BC

His conquest was a series of expeditions that were unmatched in military history. Alexander conquered lands as distant as modern-day Afghanistan and even at least attempted to invade India. Alexander controlled most of the known Western world at the height of his power. His sudden death, most likely by assassination, at the age of 32 remains shrouded in mystery. To this very day, his military tactics are still reviewed.

Yet what these coins truly represent is far more than merely a man. Alexander’s place in history in toppling the great empires like that of Persia and even Egypt, was more than just military battles. Alexander reshaped the entire world and single-handedly spread Greek Hellenistic culture. Egypt never issued their own coinage until Alexander conquered them. It was a culture that would take root and survive into the Roman era, bringing art and philosophy to the world – perhaps his greatest contribution.

For numismatists, Alexander is a significant figure in the history of ancient coinage. Although Alexander’s coins were also struck with the same design around his empire, they exist in a vast array of symbols and monograms that occur in the reverse field, which functioned as mintmarks, so you knew where they were struck. There are more than 120 mints known to have issued coinage of the Alexandrine type. Animals, religious objects, and representations of deities are among the symbols that the collector will encounter. This series of coins can be collected by symbol/monogram, and some of the scarcer issues command substantial premiums.

This hoard is of exceptional quality. Most are very fine or better, far above average. We will be posting these next week at $275 each

We will give advance notice

The message

January 21, 2025

2025_01_21_17_54_30_Trump_Day_1_A_New_Day_Dawning_Armstrong_Economics

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong ….. I do hope this article ‘sinks in’ and we finally will get an objective  government also being replicated around the world!!
Opa’91
Survivor of WWII in Germany and still going strong
REPLY: Congrats. I Agree. Trying hard to spread the word!

Market Talk – January 21, 2025

January 21, 2025

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 increased 125.48 points or 0.32% to 39,027.98
• Shanghai decreased 1.75 points or -0.05% to 3,242.62
• Hang Seng increased 180.74 points or 0.91% to 20,106.55
• ASX 200 increased 55.00 points or 0.66% to 8,402.40
• SENSEX decreased 1,235.08 points or -1.60% to 75,838.36
• Nifty50 decreased 320.10 points or -1.37% to 23,024.65
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD increased 0.00006 or 0.01% to 0.62751
• NZDUSD increased 0.00015 or 0.03% to 0.56665
• USDJPY decreased 0.159 or -0.10% to 155.437
• USDCNY decreased 0.003 or -0.04% to 7.26000
The above data was collected around 13:42 EST.
Precious Metals:
•  Gold increased 35.01 USD/t oz. or 1.29% to 2,745.32
•  Silver increased 0.248 USD/t. oz. or 0.81% to 30.819
The above data was collected around 13:45 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a green day today:
•  CAC 40 increased 37.45 points or 0.48% to 7,770.95
•  FTSE 100 increased 27.75 points or 0.33% to 8,548.29
•  DAX 30 increased 51.69 points or 0.25% to 21,042.00
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD increased 0.0017 or 0.16% to 1.04330
• GBPUSD increased 0.00081 or 0.07% to 1.23371
• USDCHF decreased 0.00065 or -0.07% to 0.90645
The above data was collected around 13:49 EST.

US/AMERICAS:

US Market Closings:

  • Dow advanced 537.98 points or 1.24% to 44,025.81
  • S&P 500 advanced 52.58 points or 0.88% to 6,049.24
  • Nasdaq advanced 126.58 points or 0.64% to 19,756.78
  • Russell 2000 advanced 42.09 points or 1.85% to 2,317.97

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite advanced 110.05 points or 0.44% to 25,281.63
  • TSX 60 advanced 8.24 points or 0.55% to 1,517.56

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa advanced 389.95 points or 0.32% to 123,245.1
ENERGY:
The oil markets had a negative day today:
•  Crude Oil decreased 0.707 USD/BBL or -0.92% to 75.746
•  Brent decreased 0.652 USD/BBL or -0.82% to 79.121
•  Natural gas decreased 0.0446 USD/MMBtu or -1.17% to 3.7539
•  Gasoline decreased 0.0302 USD/GAL or -1.43% to 2.0785
•  Heating oil decreased 0.0422 USD/GAL or -1.62% to 2.5618
The above data was collected around 13:52 EST.
•  Top commodity gainers: Soybeans (2.42%), Oat (3.41%), Wheat (3.75%) and Cocoa (3.11%)
•  Top commodity losers: Zinc (-1.66%), Sugar (-2.48%), Heating Oil (-1.62%) and Lumber (-1.86%)
The above data was collected around 13:59 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 1.1900% (-0.71bp), US 2’s 4.29% (+0.002%), US 10’s 4.5760% (-7.5bps); US 30’s 4.80% (-0.067%), Bunds 2.4865% (-0.6bp), France 3.274% (-2bp), Italy 3.5870% (-2.5bp), Turkey 25.67% (-31bp), Greece 3.252% (-2.8bp), Portugal 2.922% (-1.6bp); Spain 3.139% (-2.2bp) and UK Gilts 4.5980% (-6.56bp)
The above data was collected around 14:02 EST.

Canada Created its Own Trade Barriers

January 21, 2025

CanadaTradeRestrictions

Stéfane Marion, chief economist of the National Bank of Canada, has urged the Canadian government to reconsider their own trade barriers amid criticism of Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated in a 2019 study that Canada’s own restrictions are “regarded as the most comprehensive analysis of internal trade barriers.” Rather than tariffs, Canada’s eagerness to attract foreign investments has proved to be a barrier for domestic corporations.

Canada has trade agreements with over 40 nations as it has sought to attract international capital since 1989 since its first free trade deal with the USA. “[C]ompared to an ambitious and successful international trade strategy, progress in reducing internal trade barriers across Canada has not kept pace,” the IMF noted. The astounding amount of red tape has simply made it more expensive for Canadian companies to conduct business. Some estimates believe non-geographical internal trade barriers in Canada are equivalent to a 21% tariff. On the contrary, those barriers amount to a 3% tariff for the United States.

Marion noted that interprovincial trade relevant to international trade has declined from 50% to 40% in recent decades. The Canadian Federation of Independent Business has long fought for government to stop taxing its own corporations into oblivion. “It’s ridiculous that it’s still easier for Canadian small firms to do business overseas or across the border than within their own country,” said Chorine Pohlmann, CFIB’s executive vice president of advocacy.

Canadians are ready to welcome fresh leadership after Trudeau’s failure. Trump’s proposed 25% tariffs on Canadian goods would be disastrous for both economies. However, the Canadian government has shot itself in the foot with policies aimed at boosting international trade while ignoring domestic objectives. We have seen that happen countless times throughout history when nations are so focused on world trade that they end up dampening their own competitiveness. Canada must consider the steps it can currently take to boost business domestically without punishing companies from operating within Canada.

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