Market Talk – January 7, 2025

January 7, 2025

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 increased 776.25 points or 1.97% to 40,083.30
• Shanghai increased 22.72 points or 0.71% to 3,229.64
• Hang Seng decreased 240.71 points or -1.22% to 19,447.58
• ASX 200 increased 27.70 points or 0.34% to 8,285.10
• SENSEX increased 164.14 points or 0.21% to 78,129.13
• Nifty50 increased 91.85 points or 0.39% to 23,707.90
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD increased 0.00003 or 0.00% to 0.62463
• NZDUSD decreased 0.00005 or -0.01% to 0.56455
• USDJPY decreased 0.015 or -0.01% to 157.610
• USDCNY decreased 0.00966 or -0.13% to 7.33664
The above data was collected around 13:19 EST.
Precious Metals:
•  Gold increased 17.2 USD/t oz. or 0.65% to 2,651.82
•  Silver increased 0.178 USD/t. oz. or 0.59% to 30.108
The above data was collected around 13:22 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a mixed day today:
•  CAC 40 increased 43.66 points or 0.59% to 7,489.35
•  FTSE 100 decreased 4.38 points or -0.05% to 8,245.28
•  DAX 30 increased 124.38 points or 0.62% to 20,340.57
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD decreased 0.00288 or -0.28% to 1.03612
• GBPUSD decreased 0.0021 or -0.17% to 1.24960
• USDCHF increased 0.00351 or 0.39% to 0.90816
The above data was collected around 13:27 EST.

US/AMERICAS:

US Market Closings:

  • Dow declined 178.2 points or -0.42% to 42,528.36
  • S&P 500 declined 66.35 points or -1.11% to 5,909.03
  • Nasdaq declined 375.3 points or -1.89% to 19,489.68
  • Russell 2000 declined 16.84 points or -0.74% to 2,249.81

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite declined 69.9 points or -0.28% to 24,929.89
  • TSX 60 declined 4 points or -0.27% to 1,494.34

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa advanced 1,047.65 points or 0.87% to 121,069.17
ENERGY:
The oil markets had a mixed day today:
•  Crude Oil increased 0.865 USD/BBL or 1.18% to 74.425
•  Brent increased 0.877 USD/BBL or 1.15% to 77.177
•  Natural gas decreased 0.1718 USD/MMBtu or -4.68% to 3.5002
•  Gasoline increased 0.0034 USD/GAL or 0.17% to 2.0323
•  Heating oil increased 0.0167 USD/GAL or 0.71% to 2.3703
The above data was collected around 13:31 EST.
•  Top commodity gainers: Crude Oil (1.18%), Platinum (3.53%), Aluminum (1.22%) and Rapeseed (1.67%)
•  Top commodity losers: Cheese (-2.80%), Orange Juice (-5.15%), Steel (-1.60%) and Natural Gas (-4.68%)
The above data was collected around 13:36 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 1.1290% (-0.04bp), US 2’s 4.31% (+0.023%), US 10’s 4.6940% (+5.8bps); US 30’s 4.92% (+0.058%), Bunds 2.4825% (+3.5bp), France 3.300% (+3.95bp), Italy 3.6240% (+5bp), Turkey 26.79% (+3bp), Greece 3.242% (+1.2bp), Portugal 2.947% (+3.5bp); Spain 3.142% (+3.5bp) and UK Gilts 4.6880% (+7.94bp)
The above data was collected around 13:38 EST.

Rising Volcanic Activity Point to Solar Minimum Post-2032

January 7, 2025

Aleutian Arc

QUESTION: You originally said that we should expect an increase in volcanic activity starting in 2019. I believe you said the Pacific Rim would start to become more active by 2025 on the West side. Do you have any update on that and the prospects of something leading to a volcanic winter? It is getting very cold up here in your former home.

ANSWER: The correlations of volcanic activity to sun activity suggest that we should peak in solar activity here with Solar War 25 in 2025 and begin to decline. I previously reported as follows:

“We are now in Solar Cycle 25 with peak sunspot activity expected in 2025. Solar Cycle 24 which ended in December 2019, was of average in length, at 11 years. However, it was the 4th-smallest intensity since regular record keeping began with Solar Cycle 1 in 1755. We’re now in Solar Cycle 25 and we are still in Solar Minimum conditions at this time. Solar Maximum is predicted to occur midway through this cycle which may come as soon as November 2024 but no later than March 2026, with this ideal peak reaching most likely by July 2025.

Right now, the solar wave is conforming more to our model than that of NASA. The Sun has become far more active than NASA has forecast or expected. NASA is beginning to worry that this Solar Cycle 25 could become the Strongest Cycle Since Records Began. Effectively, in terms of our model terminology, Solar Cycle 25 may be a Panic Cycle. In other words, we appear to be headed into the strongest cycle on record following the weakest cycle. That is high volatility in cycle terminology.”

So far, we have seen a dramatic rise in solar flares as we head into the peak of this Solar Wave 25, which our model still shows ideally should peak this summer. Solar Cycle 25 began in December 2019. If we are going to experience a similar event to the Sun falling into a Maunder-minimum-like (inactive) state (1645-1715), which created the mini-Ice Age, it does not appear to be this cycle. That becomes possible in Solar Cycle 26, which will probably begin from 2029 to 20230. This wave should have a sunspot range of 95 to 130 at the peak. The decline in population we see post-2032 appears to be possible compared to war and the solar minimum.

1 ElectroMagnetic Wavelength 1024x293

Solar Minimums appear to be taking place close to a 309.6-year cycle. There have been many studies on the impact of UV and gamma radiation during solar changes and events. Gamma rays are a form of electromagnetic radiation, as are radio waves, infrared radiation, ultraviolet radiation, X-rays, and microwaves. Gamma rays can treat cancer, and astronomers study gamma-ray bursts.

AE_Food_Index Y Array 1 24 22

I have also reported that our correlation models show that solar minimums correspond to increased volcanic activity. Volcanic winters take place during solar minimums. It seems that gamma rays may be why volcanoes erupt more during these periods. This certainly also reduces food production and increases disease, presumably because of a rise in malnutrition. However, since gamma rays are also used to treat cancer, there is at least a basis to warrant further investigation if the increase in gamma rays during solar minimums impacts certain susceptible people or those with particular DNA sequences.  I warned back in 2018 that going into a solar minimum in 2019 would help to increase a commodity boom into 2020-2024.

Three Volcanoes Erupt at Same Time & New Evidence of Gamma Ray Intensity

Tonga Eruption

The January 15, 2022 eruption had a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) rating of at least a 5 maybe 6, roughly making that on par with historic eruptions like Mount Vesuvius in 79AD that buried Pompei and Mount St. Helens in 1980 that threw the equivalent of 10 years of pollution from cars into the atmosphere in minutes. The real big one on the West Coast seems to be due more around 2032-2048 time period. That may be the one that creates a real volcanic winter.

Such events can cause what is known as a Volcanic Winter by the ash blocking the sun. That is what has taken place many times throughout recorded history. They called the year 1816 – the year without a summer. This  19th-century disaster played out during 1816 when the weather in Europe and North America entered a volcanic winter with widespread crop failures resulting in famine followed by plague. The dust from the eruption of Mount Tambora, which had erupted in early April 1815, had shrouded the entire globe, blocking the sunlight. This sent the world into darkness, and 1816 did not have a normal summer. It even snowed in New York City in July.

Right now, we are starting to see increased volcanic activity on the East side of the Pacific Rim as it moves under the North American plate. That means we should expect to see an increase in volcanic activity and Solar Wave 25 peaks, and we begin to move into solar minimum once again. This activity is starting in the Aleutian Islands and off the West Coast of the United States.

 

Washington State Democrats Leak Tax Plan

January 7, 2025

Tax Robbery

Washington state Democrats accidentally leaked a document entitled “2025 Revenue Options” describing how they plan to hunt down citizens for additional taxes. An email containing the document and an accompanying PowerPoint presentation was sent to everyone in the Senate and entail exactly how they will wordsmith their way into extorting the people. “Do say: ‘Pay what they owe’ — but Don’t say: “Tax the rich” or “pay their fair share” because “taxes aren’t a punishment,” the graph read.

The proposal includes an 11% tax on firearms and ammunition. Storage units would be reclassified as RENTALS and seen as retail transactions. Amid the cost of living crisis exacerbated by shelter costs, these politicians believe that citizens should pay more in property taxes.

“Avoid centering the tax or talking in vague terms about ‘the economy’ or ‘education,’” the document states, instead opting to use positive connotations such as “providing,” “ensuring,” and “funding.” These lawmakers note that they must “identify the villain” who is preventing “progress.” That villain is the government, but the government needs to pin your woes on another source to create division. “We can ensure that extremely wealthy Washingtonians are taxed on their assets just like middle-class families are already taxed on theirs,” the slide reads.

The leaked document assures that this common rhetoric is intended to blind the masses into believing that tax hikes will not affect them but the dreaded “rich” who do not pay their “fair share.” In truth, no amount of taxation could ever be enough for the government as it spends perpetually with no plan to “pay their fair share” of debt.

Smart money has been fleeing blue states for this precise reason. Amazon’s Jeff Bezos notably fled Washington state for Florida, reportedly saving $1 billion on taxes alone. He moved his parents out of the state as well to avoid the death tax, which is among the highest in the nation at 20%. Governor Jay Inslee is wrapping up his term by insisting on a “wealth tax.”

The state is expected to face a $16 billion revenue deficit over the next four years and believes a 1% levy on the wealthiest residents could generate $3.4 billion over that time period. Businesses generating over $1 million annually would be in a new tax category called “service and other activities” and would be required to pay a 20% surcharge from October 2025 to December 2026. Come January 2027, successful businesses would be punished with a 10% tax. Why would anyone choose to conduct business in a state that punishes success? Innovators are not going to begin their businesses under these conditions and established companies will simply leave.

“Let’s be clear: there is a deficit ahead, but it’s caused by overspending, not by a recession or a drop in revenue,” Gildon said in a statement. “When the cost of doing business goes up, consumers feel it too. His budget would make living in Washington even less affordable.”

The state failed to manage its finances properly, and that burden now falls on the people. We see the same problem emerge at the local and federal levels. Governments feel entitled to YOUR money. Rather than correcting the root issue of spending and misallocated funds, governments believe the people they govern will foot the bill. The rhetoric is always the same as they insist they are “progressing” society by punishing the greedy and vilified rich. In truth, everyone suffers as a result of government mismanagement.

Biden Bans Oil Drilling Before Exiting Office

January 7, 2025

Crude Oil Production

President Joe Biden has invoked the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act to prevent Donald Trump from permitting new oil and natural gas leases. Offshore drilling in federal waters along the East and West coasts of the US, eastern Gulf of Mexico, and portions of the northern Bering Sea in Alaska are now forbidden.

Biden boasted that this measure would protect 625 million acres of federal waters, but in reality, this is a last-ditch effort to prevent incoming President Donald Trump from reversing everything Biden did that made America dependent on foreign energy. “Joe Biden clearly wants high gas prices to be his legacy,” Karoline Leavitt, a spokesperson for Trump, posted on X.

This political stunt will cost American jobs and cause trouble for Trump, who has stated that energy independence is a top priority. “’Suspending leases in Alaska’s 1002 Area is in direct conflict with the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, through which Congress mandates an oil and gas leasing program be established on the non-wilderness Coastal Plain, and ordered at least two lease sales by 2024.,” Alaskan Senator Lisa Murkowski stated. “In addition, The Act specifically states that the purpose of the 1002 area of ANWR is oil and gas development. The oil and gas leasing program established by the Trump Administration meets the legal mandates required by Congress including imposing a framework with a range of environmental safeguards that are successfully guiding production elsewhere in northern Alaska.”

SaudiOilBiden.Reddit

Utter pettiness as it is clear why the president waited until the final two weeks of his term to invoke this order. The 1953 Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act (OCSLA) prevents presidents from overturning such bans without congressional action. In 2019, during Trump’s first term, a federal judge declared that presidents may not reverse such bans. Trump believes he has the right to “unban it immediately” on “day one” in office, but the legalities of OSCLA remain unclear.

During his presidency, Biden nearly depleted America’s petroleum reserves. He begged foreign nations to increase their supply as he forced America to purchase that oil at a markup. The war in Ukraine only amplified the energy crisis as global demand skyrocketed. Yet he refused to back away from the climate change agenda even if that meant suffocating the American economy.

whyPutinKEYSTONEgasBiden

Biden can pander to his Agenda 2030 climate change supporters and vilify Trump further by claiming he does not care about the environment. Despite efforts continually failing, Biden still believes that the US can reach a net-zero greenhouse gas economy by 2050. Demand has not waned, and America must import oil if it cannot derive its own. Biden has spent his entire term undermining the American economy, beginning with the energy sector. He revoked the Keystone XL pipeline deal on day one, and at the eleventh hour, he is marking his exit with one last blow to American energy.

400K “Anchor Babies” Born in US in 2024

January 7, 2025

Birthrate

Under the 14th Amendment: “All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside.” This clause from 1868 has far surpassed its original intent. It has been abused as a method for citizenship by illegal migrants who often intentionally travel to the US to give birth, but not in the way the media portrays it. Recent data suggests at least 400,000 “anchor babies,” as they are called, were born in the US in 2024 alone.

The Common Law Doctrine of Jus Soli under English common law protected “right of the soil,” which deemed anyone born on a country’s soil to be a citizen. The US Constitution never clearly defined citizenship until the Naturalization Act of 1790, which granted citizenship to “free white persons” born on US soil. The advent of the Civil War left dire uncertainty for slaves who had no homeland to return to after the war came to an end and slavery was abolished. The 1844 case Lynch v Clarke in New York reaffirmed that anyone born to non-citizen parents would be considered an American. The Reconstruction Amendments remained vague, and Dred Scott was expanded in 1868 to include:

“All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside.”

The law remained open to interpretation. Native Americans, for example, were not seen as Americans since they did not pledge their allegiance to the federal government. It was not until the Indian Citizenship Act of 1924 that Native Americans were considered full citizens.

America’s complicated past with citizenship has led to today’s debacle. Nowhere along the way did the Supreme Court or any other entity grant citizenship to parents of children born in the US. However, the system often looks the other way to prevent separating families. American-born children may sponsor their parents for a green card when they turn 21. Then, the parents must wait five years before applying for naturalization. Parents often must leave the US for a decade before applying for citizenship. Yet, in recent years, we have seen people completely bypass the system by claiming asylum. Under Biden-Harris, the borders were simply wide open.

Hence why, the media is attacking incoming border tzar Tom Homan for insisting that families can leave the US together if they want to prevent separation. The parents are here illegally — plain and simple.

Donald Trump vowed to end birthright citizenship. “Joe Biden has launched an illegal foreign invasion of our country, allowing a record number of illegal aliens to storm across our borders,” Trump said on X. “Even though these millions of illegal border crossers have entered the country unlawfully, all of their future children will become automatic U.S. citizens. Can you imagine?” Trump believes birthright citizenship incentivizes migrants to illegally cross into the US and calls it a form of tourism.

Donald Trump CANNOT end birthright citizenship through an executive order. The president simply cannot change the Constitution without a revision of the amendment. But the president may deport the parents of “anchor babies,” as that term does not hold weight since it is a false notion that having a child on US soil grants parents automatic citizenship.

The New Virus – Unknown & Mysterious Again

January 7, 2025

Biological Weapons

QUESTION: Hi Martin,

Hope all is well and Happy New Year.

Are you keeping track of this new virus going around in China? Is is apparently in the Ukraine now too? Any updates? Could this be what the 9th of January was targeting? Disease and War cycle?

Kind Regards,

George

ANSWER: I am aware of this new virus. I went to see my doctor, who, when she asked me if I got vaccinated, I said NO! Her response was GOOD! She is actually from Sereavo, and oddly, she knew I looked familiar since I had advised the government there about the breakup of Yugoslavia. She believes COVID was created in a lab, and the whole problem with that is every virus will mutate since it is a lifeform and will seek to defeat whatever medicine we create to stop it. These people like Fauci are really dangerous, for they have no idea how such a gain-of-function experiment will evolve into the future. I like her because she grew up under Communism and is not about to take the government’s narrative without question.

2025_01_06_21_06_32_We_have_lost_loved_ones_been_left_disabled_and_even_diagnosed_with_cancer_after

She told me a new mysterious virus is now circulating, which is again respiratory and involves a soar throat. She said it is new, and they do not yet understand its nature. All I can say is that we need a lot more journalists to start opening their eyes to the fact that they have been part of this crime against humanity and deserve to go down with the fake news that they have written. Little by little, the truth started to surface. They keep attacking RFK as an anti-vaxer while taking money from Pfizer et al.

 

 

Market Talk – January 6, 2024

January 6, 2025

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 decreased 587.49 points or -1.47% to 39,307.05
• Shanghai decreased 4.51 points or -0.14% to 3,206.92
• Hang Seng decreased 71.98 points or -0.36% to 19,688.29
• ASX 200 increased 6.90 points or 0.08% to 8,257.40
• SENSEX decreased 1,222.45 points or -1.54% to 78,000.66
• Nifty50 decreased 388.70 points or -1.62% to 23,616.05
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD increased 0.00261 or 0.42% to 0.62401
• NZDUSD increased 0.00226 or 0.40% to 0.56366
• USDJPY increased 0.268 or 0.17% to 157.547
• USDCNY decreased 0.00896 or -0.12% to 7.34929
The above data was collected around 13:31 EST.
Precious Metals:
•  Gold decreased 1.28 USD/t oz. or -0.05% to 2,637.00
•  Silver increased 0.439 USD/t. oz. or 1.48% to 30.047
The above data was collected around 13:34 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a green day today:
•  CAC 40 increased 163.47 points or 2.24% to 7,445.69
•  FTSE 100 increased 25.68 points or 0.31% to 8,249.66
•  DAX 30 increased 310.11 points or 1.56% to 20,216.19
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD increased 0.00739 or 0.72% to 1.03829
• GBPUSD increased 0.00888 or 0.71% to 1.25118
• USDCHF decreased 0.0039 or -0.43% to 0.90450
The above data was collected around 12:46 EST.

US/AMERICAS:

US Market Closings:

  • Dow declined 25.57 points or -0.06% to 42,706.56
  • S&P 500 advanced  32.91 points or 0.55% to 5,975.38
  • Nasdaq advanced 243.3 points or 1.24% to 19,864.98
  • Russell 2000 declined 1.81 points or -0.08% to 2,266.66

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite declined 73.75 points or -0.29% to 24,999.79
  • TSX 60 declined 4.1 points or -0.27% to 1,498.34

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa advanced 1,366.39 points or 1.15% to 119,899.07
ENERGY:
The oil markets had a mixed day today:
•  Crude Oil decreased 0.267 USD/BBL or -0.36% to 73.693
•  Brent decreased 0.2 USD/BBL or -0.26% to 76.310
•  Natural gas increased 0.3044 USD/MMBtu or 9.08% to 3.6584
•  Gasoline decreased 0.0209 USD/GAL or -1.02% to 2.0380
•  Heating oil decreased 0.0072 USD/GAL or -0.31% to 2.3484
The above data was collected around 12:49 EST.
•  Top commodity gainers: Natural Gas (9.08%), Wheat (2.43%), Rhodium (2.19%) and Oat (2.81%)
•  Top commodity losers: Sugar (-1.53%), Cocoa (-3.25%), Methanol (-2.51%) and Bitumen (-1.85%)
The above data was collected around 13:04 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 1.1290% (+3.5bp), US 2’s 4.28% (-0.010%), US 10’s 4.6270% (+2.5bps); US 30’s 4.84% (+0.027%), Bunds 2.4440% (+1.95bp), France 3.258% (-2.95bp), Italy 3.5730% (-1.9bp), Turkey 26.76% (-5bp), Greece 3.231% (+3.1bp), Portugal 2.911% (+0.5bp); Spain 3.105% (-0.05bp) and UK Gilts 4.6090% (+1.22bp)
The above data was collected around 13:08 EST.

 

Congress Certifies Trump Victory Jan 6th, 2025

January 6, 2025

Trump Certified 1 6 24

As expected, the insane Democrats did not get their way, and reason prevailed. The U.S. Congress formally certified President-elect Donald Trump’s November election victory over Vice President Kamala Harris. Biden said he would not allow Trump to take the White House. Jamie Raskin wanted to say that Trump didn’t file a form, and that would stop him from becoming president.

All of this outright political hatred gave way to the more typical political Washington civil war, where they will all now try to obstruct everything Trump does, as was their agenda the last time, proving Democracy only exists when they win. The Democrats will obstruct everything from appointments to domestic energy and health policies and want to still create World War III.

This is clearing the way for Trump to be sworn in on Jan. 20th, and it appears that this pretend prosecutor “acting” as a judge in New York will try to be satisfied with labeling Trump a Felon. There will not be the traditional Supervised Release, in which he cannot leave the distinct without the judge’s permission. So this will be a label for the history books in name only.

 

 

At Last Trudeau Resigns in the Face of a No-Confidence February Vote

January 6, 2025

Trudeau Resigns Jan 6th 2025

Finally, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced that he would resign as prime minister and Liberal leader after a replacement was chosen. Our sources have been saying that unless he resigned, they would remove him publicly with a no-confidence vote in February. It chose January 6th, the very day that Congress is set to certify the vote in the United States for Trump. This explains the Arrays from December 27th and January 3rd that showed an important turning point for the 6th with a Panic Cycle on the 7th. Perhaps we were biased in thinking Trump might influence this, but Trudeau chose January 6th, hoping the major news would be on Trump and that he could hide behind those headlines.

 

IMMCD D Array 1 3 25 1

IMMCD D Array 1 6 25

 

The computer is now targeting the last two weeks of February – the 17th and a Panic Cycle on the 24th. This should be rather interesting from here on out. Schwab better get going to keep control of Canada.

Every Country Schwab Has Touched Has Fallen into Disarray

Socialism Lowers the Standard of Living on its Road to Poverty

Just Look at Eastern Europe, Russia, China, and Latin America

Socialism Lowers the Whole to the minimalist possibility – it never raises the standard of living

Canada Report 2025

We will Let Everyone Know When This is Ready

The Stale US Real Estate Market

January 6, 2025

House US Real Estate

Home sales in the US rose to a four-year high after rising 12.1% YoY, according to a new Redfin report. As I stated, we are entered a buyer’s market in May of 2024 in line with the ECM. Gone are the days of bidding wars and skipped inspections. Home inventory has picked up significantly but we are seeing those homes sitting on the market far longer as people simply cannot afford to buy.

Nearly 55% of listed homes have been on the market for over 60 days, a 49.9% increase from last year. The average home takes 43 days to go under contract now, marking the slowest pace since the pre-pandemic era of 2019.

Home prices across the nation as of November 2024 stood at $429,971, which represented a 5.4% YoY increase. The average 30-year mortgage stands at 6.95%, down 4 bps YoY but not enough to attract would-be buyers. The 15-year stands at 6.28%, down 7 bps YoY.

Texas and Florida have the highest rates of homes sitting on the market. The primary reason we are seeing this is a drastic increase in as-is homes in the wake of two hurricanes. Around 57% of homes in Tampa have been sitting on the market for over 60 days. All you need to do is take a look at Zillow or Trulia to see why. People are offloading hurricane-damaged properties that need significant work. It is extremely common to see homes listed with removed drywall or flooring from flood damage. Miami has seen the highest percentage of inventory increases across all metro areas at 63.8%, and although unaffected from the storms, the city has seen a drastic surge in HOA and insurance prices.

“A lot of listings on the market are either stale or uninhabitable. There’s a lot of inventory, but it doesn’t feel like enough,” said Meme Loggins, a Redfin Premier real estate agent. “I explain to sellers that their house will sit on the market if it’s not fairly priced. Homes that are priced well and in good condition are flying off the market in three to five days, but homes that are overpriced can sit for over three months.”

We look to Treasuries to see if there will be a decrease in rates. Again, American real estate cannot be forecast at a national level since there are too many factors at play. Our computer models indicate that we will see a reversal in trend back to a seller’s market by August 2028.  The 2007 high on the Shiller Index was the precise day of the Economic Confidence Model. So far, all the indicators have confirmed that we should have a recessionary trend into 2028 with this turn in the model on this wave.

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