QUESTION: I want to apologize and thank you. I thought you were just a Trump supporter, but your warning that his tariffs can send the world into a depression demonstrated not just that I was wrong but that you are a genuinely impartial and independent voice in the wilderness. Here in Europe, for the last six months, the newspapers have presented Trump as the devil with no hope whatsoever. Everything you warned here about our economy with climate change and warmongering is correct. The migrant crisis combined with the economy turning down, you warned, would lead to rising civil unrest here as well. With the wave of layoffs in the auto industry, the German economy is in crash mode, as you had forecast.

A friend of mine has followed you since the 1980s. He has been telling me you were the most honest man he ever encountered, and everything you do is to try to steer the world through this chaos into 2032. I can see by your actions that he has been correct. Somehow, we have to get our leaders to listen.

Where do you see Germany headed now on your timeline?

HG

ANSWER: Unfortunately, it has been preordained that we are headed into a recession in some areas and a depression in others, especially in Europe. Trump will be blamed, as Herbert Hoover was, but in both cases, the trends were preordained. Trump, with the bad advice he has been given regarding tariffs, is likely to end up destroying the Republican Party and the implosion we are witnessing in the Democrats.

The core foundation of the entire European economy is Germany, its richest nation. As they used to say about America, if it catches a cold, the rest of the world suffers pneumonia. They say that behind the headlines of “Deutschland,” it has been structured on the automobile, which has also given rise to dubbing it “Autoland.” German cars have long been regarded as the best in the world. Indeed, Europe’s most prosperous business engine has been relying on automobiles, and the climate change agenda has been like you kill a vampire – driving a stake through the heart.

Volkswagen, Europe’s number one car manufacturer, has threatened thousands of job cuts and potential plant closures in Germany as it confronts unions over inflation. The climate change agenda has had a major impact on lowering demand, and on top of that, they are finding stiff resistance to higher-end electric cars. The current cost-cutting layoffs and proposed German plant closings are sending shockwaves into the global marketplace with worldwide implications. Automakers like Mercedes Benz, BMW, Ford, and other industrial giants are all cutting costs and employees across the country. However, Volkswagen announced layoffs for tens of thousands of workers and is considering unheard-of plant closings. The world’s largest auto parts supplier, Bosch, which is one of Germany’s biggest employers, is also reducing both hours and pay for about 10,000 employees. Even Meyer Werft, the German shipbuilder from the 1800s, also recently needed a US$423 million bailout to avoid bankruptcy.

The economic policies of Brussels have absolutely undermined the entire European economy of the EU. As I have also warned many times, Germany has clung to the old Mercantile economic model, keeping taxes high to prevent inflation and manufacturing products to sell to everyone else to bring home the profits. The auto industry will account for up to 17% of German exports in 2023. The total amount of jobs this has accounted for exceeds 750,000 people. German manufacturing has been unable to recover fully since COVID-19 2020. To this day, it has, at best, recovered to only 90% of pre-COVID levels.

The RUSSIA, RUSSIA, RUSSIA propaganda of the Neocons has severely impacted Germany with the destruction of Nord Stream. The Government refuses to turn on the second pipeline and instead has forced its economy to suffer at least a 300% increase in energy costs. With cheap Russian gas no longer viable and exports to China declining, the war policies of the EU coupled with the economic crisis created by climate change and the cost of funding unproductive migrants, the prospects for the economy of Europe are pointing toward somewhat hard times into 2026. This will most likely contribute to tensions and pointing fingers at Russia to justify war being pushed by NATO.

In late October, Merceds-Benz reported that group profit dropped over 50% year over year, and Ford announced plans to cut its European workforce by 4,000 as well. Germany has depended more on Moscow and Beijing than all other EU countries. With ministers in Germany calling for Article 5 under NATO for a hybrid attack, they are unquestionably undermining the German economy with all of this geopolitical tension thrust on Europe by the Neocons. NATO is pushing to expand operations to Asia, and this is further undermining the German economy in the long term, transforming China from a viable trading partner into a systemic long-term enemy. No leaders are even interested in peace, and they are just doing as directed by the Neocons and NATO, who have no interest in the economy of the people – only waging war.

This lethal combination means that Germany’s entire economic model is under assault from every direction. Then, the tariffs of Trump’s proposals will be added, which will be the final nail in the coffin of the EU. This hybrid Merchantile Model of Germany no longer works. Germany needs major reforms, and that is not likely with Brussels in charge. This immediate lethal combination with a very cold winter expected on our model warns that Germany is headed into a serious recession for the next two years. Brussels is too interested in retaining centralized power and control over the EU member states, and it is ignoring the ripple effect of the decline in Germany throughout Europe.

THIS IS WHY THEY WILL TURN TO WAR

There is no question that the German economy is going to go down hard as this lethal combination of climate change and migration moves to give a death blow to the industrial backbone of Europe, and the politicians are too caught up in the narrative to question the rhetoric. The French head of state met the Finnish president and the Swedish prime minister, and all that came out of it was defense for war. This was an opportunity to carve a new path, but it was dominated by the Neocon speaking points – RUSSIA, RUSSIA, RUSSIA. Macron only pushed the lifelong dream of Charles de Gaul (1890-1970), which was that France should rise to lead all of Europe – the Napoleon dream.

Macron stressed the need to build a powerful Europe of defense, security, and partnerships, particularly in an international context marked by a multiplication of crises and the continuation of the Neocon theme “Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine,” said the Elysée. They refuse to admit that the Ukrainian civil war was started at the instigation of the West. The solution was clear: the same outcome as the breakup of Yugoslavia into ethnic states. The Minsk Agreement that Merkel admitted was negotiated in bad faith was to allow the Donbas, which are ethnically Russian, to vote on their separation from Kyiv, which was dominated by the old Nazi ethnic cleansing.

Instead of offering any viable solution to the Ukraine War, the leaders kept up this nonsense that Ukraine could actually defeat Russia. I guess they never read the Neocon memo – kill as many Russians as possible until the last Ukrainian falls. The leaders have only stressed the need to step up support for Ukraine with the same nonsense that if Russia defeats Ukraine, they will then turn on all of Europe. This is no longer the 19th century days of empire building, and the Russian people are no longer interested in such a conquest, as Europeans want to occupy Russia.

Macron knows that France is in deep economic trouble as it has one of the highest Islamic populations, about 10%, compared to Germany at 6%. Macron keeps the prowar propaganda claiming that the aim must be thwarting Russia’s war of aggression and restoring Ukraine to its “legitimate rights, which is far from the truth. He added that the important support for Kiev included “strengthening the European defense industrial and technological base, in order to reduce our strategic dependence and reinforce our production capabilities.” Once again, Macron is still pushing France to take the lead and assume the USA under Trump will not support their endless war against Russia.

On Monday, Der Spiegel reported that Scholz made an emergency visit to Ukraine that was a surprise. He expressed his solidarity and promised Germany would remain “Ukraine’s strongest supporter in Europe.” He promised €650m in further military equipment would be delivered in December. This only prolongs the war, for with the German economy turning down very hard, he needs a distraction, which will be the war with Russia. When Biden imposed the sanctions on Russia, and gasoline prices soared, he called it “Putin’s Inflation,” as if the Ukraine Civil War caused the rise in gasoline rather than the sanctions imposed on Russia. Once again, it diverts everyone’s attention from the domestic economic turmoil to international war.

Even when we look at Renault in France, we see next year as a Panic Cycle and a Directional Change. These European leaders are pushing Europe into World War III at NATO’s direction to the peril of the European community. NATO is not necessary if there is peace. This is why they constantly beat the war drums, fearing their funding would be diverted to something else.

Marine Le Pen in France pledged to bring down Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s government after he failed to meet her demands on a new budget. Barnier invoked a constitutional mechanism allowing a social security bill to be adopted without a vote, thereby eliminating democracy entirely. This only opens the door to no-confidence motions. Le Pen said her National Rally party would join a left-wing bloc to support dissolving the government. The National Rally is the largest party in the lower house of parliament, making Le Pen’s words something that warrants attention.

Peace is not profitable, and it allows the people to benefit from the private sector – rather than the government. NATO does everything it can to fuel the fire of war to ensure they keep the funding going for their pensions. Until we wake up to the plans of NATO under the entire WEF scam that they will become the military world department under the one-world government of the United Nations.

And then there is the serious threat of Trump’s Tariffs. The entire theory of Trump’s tariffs is off the wall. It has two parts. One is because of the trade deficit trying to bring back manufacturing to America, and the second is to fund the government by eliminating the income tax. Companies left not because of cheaper labor but because of insane tax policies in the USA. Eliminate the income tax, and everyone will move back, and other companies will pour into the USA real fast. This idea that we can fund the government with tariffs as we once did before the income tax sounds nice, but it is not practical. This will lead only to protectionism and retaliation against American companies. This is unnecessary, but Trump is harder to convince than getting Pelosi’s magic stock trading algorithm.

The pardon Biden gave his son identified these two cases and any offenses that Hunter Biden “committed or may have committed or taken part in during the period from Jan. 1, 2014, through Dec. 1, 2024. However, reliable sources suggest that Hunter was involved with the bio-labs in Ukraine before 2014 to the extent that Putin wanted to discuss Hunter’s involvement with Papa Biden. You cannot accept money from a foreign government without registering as an agent of that government. Ukraine has been the largest money laundering scam in modern history.

COMMENT #1: Dear Martin,

I listened to Joe Rogan’s podcast interview w/Marc Andreessen where Marc reported that the Biden administration has been secretly meeting with AI companies.
Their message: “Don’t even bother starting AI companies. There will only be 2-3 approved companies, and we’ll control them completely.”

It made me think of you and your ordeal, so many years ago.

Thank you for being on the right side of history.

Happy belated Thanksgiving ?

warmly,
RH

COMMENT #2: Wikipedia is a vile organization that is controlled by the Deep State when it has anything to do with politics, including health. I was there in Amsterdam the night of your film showing when those of us in the financial and banking community were invited. I remember well when the moderator asked you if you got to keep the claimed missing $1 billion, and you turned to the audience and asked if it was possible that $1 billion could be removed from a bank, but nobody knew where it was. The audience burst out in laughter. What these people did to you on not just a false charge but on a charge that was impossible, and organizations like Wikipedia will never report the truth is a warning to us all.

Thank you for your courage. I do not know many who could have survived what they put you through, from torture to attempting to kill you.

GVB

COMMENT #3 What the Biden administration did with dictating to social media over COVID was a clear warning to us all that even Wikipedia is a tool to manipulate society. What they did to you refusing to report that the bank is the one that pleaded guilty and had to repay all your clients demonstrates that Wikipedia is propaganda. We can no longer trust mainstream media; every social media aspect has been corrupted. This is why individual podcasts are becoming popular.  If you believe Wikipedia on anything political, you cannot possibly have a functioning brain. They have become the symbol of the decline of our society.

Gerry

REPLY: There is no question that those in power want to control AI and ensure it only puts out their propaganda. OMG, you ask it a question, and it tells the truth? That is just unacceptable. We are no different from the old USSR. That was Lenin’s view – control the press, and you can manipulate society. He has been proven correct time and time again. We are just a herd of sheep being led to the slaughter.

The computer I created and named Socrates has forecast every significant financial crisis and geopolitical event, including war. When the CIA wanted me to build the model for them in 1998 after it forecasted the collapse of Russia, I offered to run any study they wanted, but I was told they had to own it. I understand that was their view from a national security perspective, and nobody else should have that information. At the end of the day, I realize my refusal to turn over the source code has placed a target on my back. So be it. I didn’t realize developing AI would become a risk in a free society.

Not only did I stand up at our World Economic Conference in December 2011, held in Philadelphia, and forecast that war would begin in 2014, but I even put on the blog in 2013 that the place it would begin was Ukraine – the country to watch.

In June 1998, we held our World Economic Conference in London. Little did I know that a journalist from the London Financial Times was there and put our forecast that Russia would collapse on the front page in the weeks ahead. That appeared in the FT on June 27th, 1998. When that happened, the bankers blamed me, claiming I had too much influence, and instructed the CFTC to shut us down.

The computer had forecast Russia’s collapse, manifested in the Long-Term Capital Management Crisis in September 1998. That compelled the Federal Reserve to bail out the bankers and even a hedge fund since they were all on the same trade. They expected a never-ending 30%+ return on Russian debt (GKO) supported by the IMF. Still, the Economic Confidence Model had also projected the very day of the high years in advance for the stock market would be July 20th, 1998. Even the 911 attack took place precisely on the Pi Target during that wave, and the Dow Jones then bottomed precisely in 2002 on the very day of the end of that wave. All of those forecasts came true, and the bankers were just trying for the guaranteed trades, bribing the IMF and people in various governments, never risking a dime from their view.

Let me explain something. To even do the movie on me, The Forecaster, also available on DVD, they had to be insured against slander, etc. Lloyds of London insured the film, and to do so, we had to prove that they wanted the computer code since that was NEVER publicly stated in the case openly. A client offered to rent the Institute to keep the forecasts going. I have been told that the bankers instructed the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to shut down our forecasting because they would always lose. Even in the film, one employee said he did his due diligence on my firm with Goldman Sachs before taking a job. He stated in the film that Goldman Sachs always thought they could crush me, but I usually won.

I was asked to invest $10 billion into Hermitage Capital Management to take over Russia. They blackmailed Yeltsin owner a $7 billion money laundering scam to step down and they were going to install Boris Berezovsky as the new President of Russia. All the gold in Russia would go through the Republic National Bank in New York, and I was told I would get $100 billion back as my return. I refused. I was not into regime change.

That blackmail took place in June 1999, and they ran to the government claiming $1 billion was missing, and they had no idea where it was. The prosecutors were so stupid and never asked how someone gets $1 billion out of a bank with no trace. But why let reality stand in the way of a good prosecution in New York City, as Trump discovered?

Then, they appointed Alan Cohen receiver to run my company, which Goldman Sachs then hired. They ran Princeton Economics from the boardroom of Goldman Sachs. You object to this conflict of interest and are told to shut up. Trump discovered how a prosecutor is then raised to an “acting” judge who gets his case and Bannon. What luck from a random assignment.

What enabled Marcus Vettor to do the film, even though they were off-the-record demanding the source code to Socrates, was that they put it in writing to a client who wanted to rent the Institute to keep the forecasting going. I was not about to surrender my life’s work to these corrupt, unethical NY scum.

As for Wikipedia, Only a Fool will Donate to them to publish Government Propaganda

Wikipedia has become one of the most viewed websites in the world, but can it be trusted as a reliable source? Co-founder Larry Sanger is now warning the public not to trust the website he helped to create. “You can trust it to give an establishment view,” Sanger admitted as he explained that the website’s original design has been destroyed.

Wikipedia was originally created as an open online resource that was committed to neutrality. Between 2004-2009, Sanger said Wikipedia was a pioneer in delivering news from a non-biased perspective but that quickly changed. Users had the ability to edit various pages and debate the information from both sides of the platform, but now it is nearly impossible for the average person to participate. “If you make any edit at all you will be sternly warned or kicked out,” Sanger said, noting this often happens on articles that are “unimportant.”

Sanger believes Wikipedia is completely influenced by the establishment and has turned the site into “a battleground for a version of the truth,” as host Freddie Sayers pointed out. One blatant example is President Joe Biden’s Wikipedia page. Biden’s page has very little criticism or anything “remotely resembling the Republican point of view,” the co-founder commented. Instead, Biden’s Wikipedia page “reads like a defense council’s brief” with no mention of the alternative point of view. In stark contrast, Trump’s page was written from a Democratic point of view and harshly criticizes the former president. In fact, the page accuses Trump of crimes that he has not been charged with committing, such as sparking the January 6 Capitol “siege.” In contrast, Biden’s page fails to mention the Ukraine controversy or any other debacle during his time as vice president or president. Sanger flatly states that Wikipedia is “reliable on the establishment viewpoint,” which is ironic considering its Libertarian co-founders were anti-establishment.

The United Kingdom’s Climate Change Committee (CCC) is rapidly moving to eliminate useless carbon from the environment by targeting citizens. The agency said that achieving Net Zero will require “behavioral changes” from the people that include curtailing every aspect of life from diet to transportation. But don’t worry, the agency claims the “people seem willing to accept there must be some degree of constraint.”

“In terms of the analysis we’ve done, about 10 percent of emissions reduction to 2035 comes from what we would think of as behaviour change. That’s predominantly around diets, flying and modal shifting [to] public transport,” CCC Director James Richardson said. Richardson said half of the necessary behavioral changes will surround diets as people will forced to consume less meat and find alternative protein sources.

The CCC would like to implement harsh fines on the automotive industry. Richardson compared the switch away from fuel engines as a simple matter of creative destruction. “We know from previous transitions between technologies that incumbent firms can get left behind – we all remember Blockbuster Video or Kodak. When these new technologies come in, it can be easy for incumbents to think they have more time to change than they do,” he stated. Well, we didn’t need to redo the entire infrastructure of the nation to do away with DVDs. There was a benefit to the consumer and private sector in adopting those new technologies. The private sector has shown an unwillingness to switch to EVs, for example, as has the consumer.

Starmer lied at the COP29 summit when he claimed his government would not be “telling people how to live their lives’ by reducing air travel or changing their diets.” Other Build Back Better nations also adhering to the Great Reset are slowly forcing their populations to make changes through taxation on carbon-producing items like cattle or aviation. Yet, how will governments FORCE the people to change their diets and transportation methods? These agencies are overly optimistic for believing the masses will blindly comply with their baseless orders.

The CCC believes that Brits must reduce meat and dairy consumption by an astounding 50% by 2050. “Setting a target is not enough. The UK must back up its international commitments through actions here at home,” the CCC has explained. The agency has already made advancements in reducing the sheep and cattle population. CCC chairman Piers Forster. Forster has suggested imposing high taxes on meat and dairy products to make them less attainable for the average person. The governments will fill their coffers with taxes and the elite will not need to make such “behaviour changes” as these initiatives are meant to benefit the few while punishing the masses.

Biden killed the Keystone XL Pipeline, as an example, under the premise of climate preservation and look what happened. All the measures taken to reduce fossil fuels have caused costs to skyrocket, but what happens when these measures transfer to the food supply? These nations are hampering their own ability to produce food by destroying cattle and farmland. They’re ensuring costs rise due to taxation. Importing goods has come at an increased cost due to increased demand and higher energy costs. These agencies have no alternative in place aside from lab-grown meat and insects. Is that a change we are willing to make for the benefit of none?

I have warned that there will be an exodus of migrants fleeing the United States for Canada in the wake of Trump’s presidency. The Immigration and Refugee Board of Canada said that the sheer volume of asylum seekers has spiked to the highest on record, with the number of cases rising from 60,000 annually to 200,000. New figures state that Canadian taxpayers are now on the hook for $16 BILLION per year to fund Trudeau’s open borders.

The average processing time per asylum seeker was once 14 months, but due to the uptick in cases, it now takes about 44 months for one person to be processed. Deputy Chair of the Refugee Protection Division, Roula Eatrides admitted that 70% of the agency’s inventory is around a year old. The extended wait time has provided those who do not qualify for asylum status additional time to linger in Canada.

“The refugee program was never supposed to be a backdoor entry into our country to get a work permit. It was supposed to be there to help those that were fleeing persecution, that had an act of war in their country of origin, and that wanted to save their lives,” said Conservative MP Arpan Khanna. “Marc Miller himself acknowledges that most of these cases are likely going to be fake asylum claims for folks whose statuses are expiring but want to stay in this country,” said Khanna.

Khanna said Trudeau is the “bad actor” that he has blamed for the nation’s migrant crisis The costs to fund these migrants is simply astronomical. Conservative MP Lianne Rood launched an inquiry over the spring that found taxpayers were forced to pay $224 DAILY to fund the newcomers, a price that will only rise as more migrants reach the Canadian border.

The Canadian government spends about $140 daily on shelter accommodations and $84 on food and other expenses. Liberals created the Interim Housing Assistance Program to house anyone who enters Canada legally or illegally, and those 3,800 rooms were said to have cost $557 million annually as of November 2023. That program was intended to be temporary and fails to provide even a fraction of the space needed. Then the taxpayers are also on the hook for healthcare and legal costs. The public offices catering to the migrants must also receive their pay.

New data has revealed that costs per asylum seeker have rose to $81,760 annually. In comparison, the average Canadian earned over $11,000 less per year. If the 200,000 people registering for asylum are granted permission to stay, the total bill will reach $16.35 annually and counting.

Well, as expected, Biden pardoned his son. I suppose Trump could pardon himself, but he does not have a federal conviction. What difference does it make when you are always remembered for the last thing you do? The NEOCONs are trying really hard to create World War III, so Biden may be remembered for that just as Bush Jr. was remembered for Iraq when he, too, was the patsy for the NEOCONs led by Dick Cheney.

So, when history is written, Biden will be remembered as the most incompetent president in American history, and if Antony Blinken has his way, he may be the one remembered for World War III. So, in the scheme of things, he should just pardon Obama and all the Democrats. History will be concerned about war more than corruption.

COMMENT #1: Marty: It is painfully obvious why the bankers always tried to have the government silence you. Every aspect of what you forecast eventually unfolds, turning this random walk theory into propaganda. Bloomberg has reported that French corporate rates are now below government. The shift from Public to Private is right before our eyes.

Thank you for a fantastic WEC. I loved your passion for saving the country if they listen. I also want to enroll my children in your gift to society, a WEC for the next generation. It’s just brilliant.

JD

COMMENT #2: Hi Martin,

As you predicted, corporate bonds of French companies now trade at yields below those of the government. Public to Private wave in full swing.

Best,
PH

COMMENT #3: I was in Moscow on business, and you were on national TV. What does that say about America? I have seen you on French TV, but never in the USA. They want to keep us deaf, dumb, blind, and obedient. Tune in, and we will tell you when Kamala will sweep everything. MSNBC lost 40% of its viewers. Truth sells – not propaganda.

SG

REPLY: We have the largest database of anyone on the planet, covering the globe internationally and with an unlimited scope, from finance to wealth, nature, and disease. When there were the Sovereign Defaults of 1931 in Europe, Asia, and South America, combined with the corporate bankruptcies, the flight to quality was to the US treasuries. Even the City of Detroit suspended its debt.  You see, the peak in the premium for corporate over treasuries was in 1932. That coincided with the low in the stock market. When FDR came into power on March 4, 1933, after winning the 1932 election, you can see that the premium in corporate rates began to decline. In Europe, corporate rates dropped below government as people began to smell a rat.

In 1927, the Fed lowered rates in the States, trying to deflect capital back to Europe. However, the smart money realized that the Fed’s action confirmed that a serious debt crisis was on the horizon in Europe. Even Britain, the Financial Capital of the World before World War I, suspended its debt, as reported on September 21st, 1931.

You can track this important relationship through Socrates. When the confidence in the government declines, the capital will always shift from Public to Private and vice versa.

The movie The Forecasted was played on national TV, even in Canada, Europe, and Scandinavia. You are correct, and they would never show it in the USA. Anything that shows the true nature of those in power will never be shown.