All posts in " Basic Concepts "

The Confidence Game Has Been Around Forever

March 26, 2016

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Is it true that the central banks have been lying to us to create a false sense of confidence in order to reverse the economy? Is this part of their agenda? Thank you UB ANSWER: It has always been a confidence game. Those in power are constantly trying to boost the confidence […]

Is it Government or Oligarchs?

March 22, 2016

QUESTION: Martin, I am a capitalist and what we have today is the least efficient form of capitalism. Actually it is quite a destructive and dangerous form of capitalism when the concentration of power reaches this level. I think that in all these years that I thought we were talking about different things, maybe we were not. You […]

Dutch Do Not Tolerate Freedom of Speech

March 21, 2016

The Dutch are destroying the last vestiges of our liberty under the pretense of protecting it. They are putting a right-wing Dutch politician named Geert Wilders on trial for what they call inciting hatred and discrimination against the Dutch Moroccan minority. This is a legal contest that will destroy civilization itself and unravel everything we […]

Why Models Fails – Increased Use or Faulty Design?

March 21, 2016

QUESTION:  It seems successful trading/investing/forecasting systems work only when used by a few. When these same systems get adopted by more and more users their effectiveness diminishes to a point where they no longer work. Do you agree with this, and if yes do you think as your forecasts become more well known and applied […]

Computer Demands Humility

March 21, 2016

Armstrong 1985 with IBM XT COMMENT: Fantastic examples in the final version (free-markets-are-natures-design). You need to keep connecting the dots until the person finally sees something, even if it isn’t the whole. Then again, can anyone see the whole? I find it fascinating that the computer gives you dates (dots), but you have to wait until […]

The Ides of March – Pi Marked the End of the Roman Republic

March 19, 2016

COMMENT: Marty, I figured out why you bought the bust of Julius Caesar commissioned by Cleopatra. He was assassinated on the ides of march and that is effectively about Pi day. … REPLY: Very good. Yes, even Brutus issued a coin where he proudly declared he killed Caesar on the Ides of March – “EID […]

Feel the Beat & Survive

March 19, 2016

Markets oscillate back and forth. I understand for people just coming in to this blog this may look like the Matrix or having to learn a new language. But keep in mind that it may appear to be difficult at first, but like speaking a different language, somehow it just flows out when you are […]

Where Does the Future Lie?

March 18, 2016

QUESTION:  Are you more worried about a 1984 esque future or A Brave New World esque future? ANSWER: Unfortunately, the two go hand in hand. George Orwell simply took the past and laid out what government ALWAYS gravitates toward – total control. We live in a delusion with our brains filled with propaganda. Over the years, […]

Primitive Analysis Hard at Work

March 16, 2016

  The usual domestic analysis has its usual blinders on like a horse pulling a carriage in Central Park. Typically, this analysis blames everything on the Fed and remains clueless about international capital flows or trends. They argue that the S&P 500 doubled in value from November 2008 to October 2014, coinciding with the Federal Reserve […]

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