All posts in " Basic Concepts "

Connecting the Dots

January 22, 2017

COMMENT: I read your piece on “The “Trump Revolution” is not about Trump Himself” and I understood this is a global trend. I think one has to be biased and blind not to see the trend is emerging globally. I showed it to a friend and he said you were wrong its all about Trump. […]

Capitalism v Socialism – Good Perspective of the Difference

January 17, 2017

COMMENT: Martin, A story I received: A guy looked at my Porsche the other day and said I wonder how many people could have been fed for the money that sports car cost. I replied I am not sure, it fed a lot of families in Bowling Green, Kentucky who built it, it fed the […]

Understanding Performance – Socrates v Medallion?

January 11, 2017

QUESTION: Marty; I invested in your Deutsche Bank hedge fund and the performance was about 3 times that of even the Renaissance’s Medallion fund. Your employees said for the public fund you closed positions early because you were making too much in 1998. Yet that was still about 3 times what Medallion produced in 1998. Medallion is closed […]

Monetary Devaluations & Cancellations

January 10, 2017

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; What Modi has done here in India is far worse than what the press reports. I read your piece that this is part of a larger plan discussed at the G20 meetings. Is there any historical precedent for such actions that would provide some guidance for the future? R ANSWER: Since ancient times, […]

Forecasting Economic Numbers – Do They Matter?

January 7, 2017

QUESTION:  Hi Martin, You have mentioned on numerous occasions, that the Socrates has inputs from around the world to come to very accurate conclusions. I assume, it has plenty data from within the USA as well. Can it also predict the NFP? ADP?. (few days BEFORE.) Don ANSWER: We have put in such information from […]

Connecting the Dots

January 3, 2017

QUESTION: I find your explanation of how everything is connected very insightful. So events go nuts in Europe and that sends capital fleeing to America as in World War I and II. Am I correct in saying it is not possible to manage an economy in isolation? Thanks for making my mind work HW ANSWER: […]

Everything is Connected – Connecting the Dots

January 2, 2017

Trying to understand forecasting will be critical as we move forward. The HUGE turning point appears to be 2018 and that is most likely when things will start to come unglued. How do I even make such a statement? This is not a claim that I make based upon some gut feeling. I arrive at […]

From Spain

January 1, 2017

COMMENT: Hello Martin Armstrong!   Good Morning! I wanted to congratulate you for your interview on the TV show “out of coverage” on channel 4 (Spain) I love your web. And your work and dedication to confidential economic graphics. You are a genious! This reminds me of the following quotes: “Great spirits have always encountered […]

A Light Has Gone Off

January 1, 2017

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I want to thank you for you have been correct on every market demonstrating that everything is explicitly connected. What you have taught me is more than just trading a single market to make money. You have taught me how to see the world and connect the dots. I can see the […]

The Future is Not as Dark As it Seems

December 24, 2016

I took this picture at the beach. At first glance, it is hard to tell if it is a sunrise or a sunset. For the record, it was a sunrise – the dawn of a new day. What we face can be disastrous but it also can be the dawn of a new era. Government […]

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