All posts in " Basic Concepts "

Have I Ever Been Wrong?

August 8, 2016

  QUESTION: Have you ever been wrong? HS ANSWER: Since I am human, the obvious answer must be YES! I have stood up and explained at conferences how I made a bunch of money when I was 13 in the metals/coin market. My father thought I was too much of a speculator and told me I should […]

Slingshot v Phase Transition

August 7, 2016

QUESTION: You’ve just mentioned there remains a chance for gold to perform a slingshot move downward and then up in January. Does it still appear the Dow will slingshot (make a new low) also even though it has recently broken to new highs? S ANSWER: We achieved the slingshot in the S&P and the NASDAQ, and I have previously […]

If Everyone Followed Socrates Would Anything Change?

August 6, 2016

QUESTION: Hello, Mr. Armstrong. Some years back, I asked what would happen if everyone knew about the ECM. You provided an answer on your blog. Now, that the trader version of Socrates is soon to be made available for the public…: What happens to the trading community (market makers / service providers / traders) when you (through […]

More than Just Buy or Sell – The World Beyond

July 21, 2016

Visiting the Jail Cell Where Socrates Died COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, Just spent the night in the ER with one of my kids. Waited hours for the results of the CT head scan. Thankfully, my daughter is fine. Had lots of time to think though. I have been following your blog for years, although I am […]

Models

July 17, 2016

QUESTION: What do I need to read to understand the basics about your models, and being able to use this? I’m very interested in using your models to guide me better in my investing. ANSWER: Start with the “Models & Methodologies.” We do provide a lot of study material under MODELS.

Understand the Models – Bringing it All Together

July 14, 2016

QUESTION: Marty; You do not reply just on cycles. Your Reversal System is incredible. That seems to be something nobody can match. Then you also use your proprietary technical analysis and your Global Market Watch is purely pattern recognition that is also highly unusual. So I am correct in that no single model produces the […]

The Three Faces of Inflation – When is Real – Real?

June 29, 2016

QUESTION: Hi Marty, Will future rate hikes from the Fed cause banks to move more money out of the Fed and into the commercial banking system, creating inflation? Thanks Jack ANSWER: No. Future inflation will not be demand driven, but asset driven. Retail participation, both in the States and from Europe, in the US share […]

Constructing a Future

June 22, 2016

Our models have been targeting 2018 for the last 30 years as the first potential year for a monetary crisis and reform. There was a shot that we could have doubled the Dow and everything would have bottomed on the first potential, such as gold in 2013 to 2014, and then turn up into that […]

Central Banks Made Govt Debt the Riskiest Debt of All Time

June 21, 2016

The central banks have risked it all and lost. They have reached the point of no return. The Fed decided not to raise rates, which are desperately needed to prevent a collapse in pensions and insurance companies, and merely froze like a deer in headlights. The superficial analysts who think lower rates are good for […]

Sometimes You Just Have to Go With the Flow When Nothing Flows

June 17, 2016

The central banks are clueless and have no control over the economy. This whole thing reminds me of Australia. I loved going into the Outback, driving through rivers, and seeing ant hills that were taller than the Jeep. I was invited to go to the Todd River Regatta in the middle of the desert. I […]

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