All posts in " ECM "

Happy Pi Day

March 14, 2025

COMMENT: Marty, Happy Pi Day. I think it was inevitable that you would discover the relationship between Pi and the economy and the markets. I found it to be fate since you grew up at 314 South Lippincott Avenue. JF REPLY: Perhaps it was fate. That was an extraordinary coincidence. I never thought about that […]

Markets Crash On Cue & Trump Refuses to Rule Out Recession

March 11, 2025

COMMENT: Marty, it looks like Trump is aware of the ECM. The markets crashed right on cue with Socrates, and he refused to rule out a recession. What is most curious is that you had a Panic Cycle for this week of the 10th. I heard you prevent Google from searching your private blog. If […]

Why Some Academics Hate Cycles and Call them Pseudoscience

March 3, 2025

QUESTION: The criticism of your Economic Confidence Model has been that it oversimplifies complex economies, ignoring variables like policy changes or technological shifts. Would you address that? DL ANSWER: This emanates from the economic academic community that is Marxist based that rests on the assumption that they can steer the economy through economic disturbances. I […]

Georgescu Believes Ukraine will Divide – Is He Correct?

January 31, 2025

Romania’s Calin Georgescu has made headlines once more for calling Ukraine a “fictitious state” and suggesting that the nation will inevitably be divided. This man would have been president of Romania if the establishment accepted the results of the first election. Although he remains the most popular candidate, these statements and views are precisely why […]

China – Deflation into 2026 & Beyond

January 13, 2025

QUESTION: Thank you so much for your world forecasts. It is very helpful to be able to read you here in China. You said that deflation is in motion into 2028. People are cutting back on spending and your model has been correct here in China. Could you provide a quick overview for 2025? DZ […]

Now is the Time to Stockpile Cash

December 19, 2024

COMMENT: Marty, I don’t know how your computer does it, but it called for high in stocks, gold, and a coming recession. At the WEC, you said rates would decline into 2025, but not dramatically, because of the war. You also said the dollar was not dead. You said Trump would not have clear sailing […]

Stockpile Cash NOW!

December 19, 2024

COMMENT: Marty, I don’t know how your computer does it, but it called for high in stocks, gold, a coming recession, and at the WEC you said rates would decline into 2025 but not dramatically because of war and that the dollar was not dead. You said Trump would not have clear sailing when everyone […]

Government’s Quest to Control AI and Mainatin Its Propaganda

December 2, 2024

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/MAA-Socrates.mp4   COMMENT #1: Dear Martin, I listened to Joe Rogan’s podcast interview w/Marc Andreessen where Marc reported that the Biden administration has been secretly meeting with AI companies. Their message: “Don’t even bother starting AI companies. There will only be 2-3 approved companies, and we’ll control them completely.” It made me think of you and […]

The Panic Cycle in September A Warning for the Future

October 5, 2024

QUESTION: Marty, it appears that the September panic was on the upside, and it also appears to be a turning point. It looks like it may be a high in the Dow and Gold on a closing basis. I must say, it’s far easier to see now that this election may be the last. Does […]

Forecasting Recessions

September 10, 2024

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Summers-Economy-Not-Predictable.mp4   COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I find it incorrigible that everyone now claims recession when they have never predicted a recession before. That was clear from the video you had of Larry Summers, who admitted nobody could do that. It is very strange how you are the only person who has ever forecast recessions and […]

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