Some believe that Donald Trump is deliberately attempting to cause a sharp downturn in equities to force a flight into treasuries. If so, the Federal Reserve would have more of a reason to slash interest rates—Trump’s longstanding desire. Trump has stated that the markets are undergoing an “operation” of sorts, but I would not […]
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I have followed Socrates for over a year now. I was told by friends you run the most unbiased site in the industry. I greatly appreciate how objective it really has been. What I am dumbfounded by is how, with the tension now with Iran and Trump’s ultimatum to Iran, even […]
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Nobody has a computer that covers everything. Your forecast at the WEC that the Democratic Party would collapse is unprecedented. Nobody has even contemplated that such a thing could happen. Yet right now this is unfolding. The new polls from NBC News and CNN. The former poll showed that only 27% of Americans held […]
COMMENT: Marty, Happy Pi Day. I think it was inevitable that you would discover the relationship between Pi and the economy and the markets. I found it to be fate since you grew up at 314 South Lippincott Avenue. JF REPLY: Perhaps it was fate. That was an extraordinary coincidence. I never thought about that […]
COMMENT: Marty, it looks like Trump is aware of the ECM. The markets crashed right on cue with Socrates, and he refused to rule out a recession. What is most curious is that you had a Panic Cycle for this week of the 10th. I heard you prevent Google from searching your private blog. If […]
QUESTION: The criticism of your Economic Confidence Model has been that it oversimplifies complex economies, ignoring variables like policy changes or technological shifts. Would you address that? DL ANSWER: This emanates from the economic academic community that is Marxist based that rests on the assumption that they can steer the economy through economic disturbances. I […]
Romania’s Calin Georgescu has made headlines once more for calling Ukraine a “fictitious state” and suggesting that the nation will inevitably be divided. This man would have been president of Romania if the establishment accepted the results of the first election. Although he remains the most popular candidate, these statements and views are precisely why […]
QUESTION: Thank you so much for your world forecasts. It is very helpful to be able to read you here in China. You said that deflation is in motion into 2028. People are cutting back on spending and your model has been correct here in China. Could you provide a quick overview for 2025? DZ […]
COMMENT: Marty, I don’t know how your computer does it, but it called for high in stocks, gold, and a coming recession. At the WEC, you said rates would decline into 2025, but not dramatically, because of the war. You also said the dollar was not dead. You said Trump would not have clear sailing […]
COMMENT: Marty, I don’t know how your computer does it, but it called for high in stocks, gold, a coming recession, and at the WEC you said rates would decline into 2025 but not dramatically because of war and that the dollar was not dead. You said Trump would not have clear sailing when everyone […]
