Normally, equity valuations reflect the present value of future cash flows that are primarily a function of current cash flows, growth expectations, and then the discount rate. Most fundamentalists will look at the cash flow generation in both the short and long-term. With equity valuations at their record highs, investors, in theory, are showing confidence […]
COMMENT: It is fascinating how your work has been so accurate on forecasting the business cycle, yet you are probably the most ignored by the mainstream media. The only possible reason for this is that they are not interested in someone who can forecast the business cycle when the general belief is that governments can […]
All the real science is warning that there is a reasonable chance that we are headed into a much colder period ahead. This will have an impact on food prices and out computer models have been warning that the next wave of the Economic Confidence Model should be an inflationary wave. Even a new study […]
QUESTION: Hi Marty, Knowing that the financial capital will likely move to China after 2032, since that would be the peak of the public wave, where will someone in the US put their capital? Usually, the move from public to private would result in a move into sovereign debt and cash, but will the move […]
QUESTION: Martin, I am a huge fan of yours and have followed your blog for probably 8 years now, I watched your many predictions using the AI models and have been amazed by their accuracy. I am a very concerned small investor and with this big shift coming in the ECM in January 2020 am […]
QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong It was my great honour to meet you in Orlando in November. I couldn’t help hugging you! Thank you so much for all you are doing. Two questions: 1. In terms of societal collapse, I have been looking at 2032 as the date of armegeddon , or the next major asteroid […]
QUESTION: There are many people who are now saying we are headed into a recession. Your model shows we are coming to the end. Yet you have been the only analyst who has been correct. There are bankers warning the stock market will collapse by 50% because it always goes down in a recession. I […]
The Socrates’ Array on Vancouver real estate published back in 2015 picked the high in 2017 and the crash into 2019. The high in the top line was forecasting 2017 rather nicely. Note that things begin to change in 2020-2021. Not that prices in real terms rise, but this is lining up with the ECM […]
QUESTION #1: Thank you for choosing to live the strength of your convictions – especially through the terrible dark days of your solitary confinement. Thank you for all that you are doing for those of us who choose to watch, think and learn. For over a decade I have been reading that China will replace the […]
QUESTION: Western Civilization will collapse by 2032. I didn’t expect such a strong comment from you. Specifically, what does this mean? On the level of ancient Rome? Followed by the dark ages or just mediocrity and the rise of the East? GVH ANSWER: There is a serious risk that after 2032, this will be very […]
