All posts in " ECM "
Central Bankers & Politicians – Its Time for a Change
June 7, 2024COMMENT: It was great seeing you here in Europe. It was even more interesting to see how the central banks are starting to use the ECM rather than wait six to nine months before acting. Back in 2007, your model turned in February, but the Fed Funds Rate did not drop to 3% until one […]
Canada – First G7 Central Bank to Cut Rates
June 6, 2024COMMENT: Marty, I attended your Toronto Institutional session when the Bank of Canada had a table of 10 people. People would ask you what the central banks were looking at, and you would respond. Everyone then turned to see if they flinched. They were the best of times, as they say. For us long-timers, it […]
The Economic Decline of Europe With Rising Interest Rates?
June 5, 2024I have returned from a two-week tour of Europe covering the UK, Germany, and Italy. Europe is in dire straights. I have stayed on the Via Veneto since my parents took me back in 1964/65. It was the 5th Avenues of Rome. The street was lined with sidewalk cafes. Out of probably 30, only three […]
The Major Fractal Wave of the Economic Confidence Model & 2032.95
June 4, 2024Here is the Economic Confidence Model at the very high end to all the questions about how high up the fractal structure can be defined. We are in the grand Public Wave overall that peaks in 2032.85. This is the equivalent of the wave that picked the Peak of Rome in 175 AD. So here, […]
What Completes a Phase Transition?
May 30, 2024What completes a phase transition? Simple — capital inflow to the United States. For example, when oil was in the $10 range in 1998, we forecast that oil would rise to $100 by 2007.15. In court, the Department of Energy wanted us to develop a model, but Alan Cohen of Goldman Sachs blocked that project. […]
My Forecast from 10 Years Ago
May 24, 2024In an interview on May 11, 2014, I explained on USAWatchdog that confidence always outweighs reality. “It’s basically what you believe. There have been all sorts of studies on fundamentals that say if interest rates go up, stocks go down. It is simply not true. The stock market has never peaked with interest rates twice in history. […]
PRIVATE BLOG – The Pending Crash – Short Sweat or into 2026?
May 18, 2024PRIVATE BLOG – The Pending Crash – Short Sweat or into 2026? Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com. https://ask-socrates.com/
PRIVATE BLOG – The Pending Crash – Short Sweat or into 2026?
May 18, 2024PRIVATE BLOG – The Pending Crash – Short Sweat or into 2026? Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com. https://ask-socrates.com/
PRIVATE BLOG – May 7th Continues
May 8, 2024PRIVATE BLOG – May 7th Continues Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com. https://ask-socrates.com/
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