All posts in " Economics "

Schäuble Warns of Coming Economic Crisis

October 12, 2017

In his farewell interview for the Financial Times, Federal Minister of Finance Wolfgang Schäuble warned of a new global financial crisis predicated upon the Quantity of Money theory that the central banks had pumped trillions of dollars into the financial system that is creating a risk of “new bubbles”.  Indeed, many just do not comprehend […]

The Epidemic of Fake Analysis

October 9, 2017

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I want to thank you for your work on Europe. We hear nothing from European analysts but up-up-and away and it makes one wonder if that is not fake analysis just like the news. Nobody seems to be talking about how retail sales are declining in Europe and even my mother, who […]

The Theory of Non-Linear Intervention

October 3, 2017

  Economics is well known for rather unrealistic theories based upon fundamentally unsound principles, such as the assumption that all things remain equal. Reality parts with academics whenever such assumptions are drawn to a foregone conclusion. However, greater false assumptions, which go unnoticed, lie at the foundation of so many theories in economics – primarily […]

Is There a Way Out of This Financial Mess?

September 25, 2017

We need to open the door to the future but that is only possible by understanding the past. Paul Volcker back in 1979 in his Rediscovery of the Business Cycle said: “Not much more than a decade ago, in what now seems a more innocent age, the ‘New Economics’ had become orthodoxy. Its basic tenet, repeated […]

Louvre Accord v Plaza Accord

September 21, 2017

QUESTION: I notice you often cite the *Plaza Accord* when on the topic of central bank currency manipulation. That accord was signed in 1985 with an aim to devalue the USD. Could you write a little on the *Louvre Accord” signed just two years later, in 1987, with an aim to reverse the unwanted effects […]

Can Our Model Forecast Private Companies & Industries?

September 18, 2017

  QUESTION: Hello. I am a business consultant working for a global consulting company and have a client that is in the transportation sector that would benefit from your research. I have been advising the client with regard to their business and IT strategy, however would also like to introduce them to Armstrong and possibly […]

The 5 Factors Behind Capital Flows

September 18, 2017

QUESTION: Hi Martin, Well from myself and your family we thank you for sticking with us in this time as you have mentioned you could be doing other thing for yourself but like a brother you are sticking with us even when you know we will rise and repeat most likely, but in the same […]

Why Governments Expand the Gap Between Rich and Poor

September 8, 2017

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You said at your Frankfurt the ECB policy of negative interest rates is actually creating a wider gap between the poor and the rich. Could you elaborate on that comment? Thank you. Hope you come back to Frankfurt. You do realize that you get twice the crowds here than anyone. OT ANSWER: Lowering […]

DACA – one-size fits all?

September 7, 2017

COMMENT: I understand what you are saying about lumping everyone together under this DACA program. It looks like Trump heeded your warning despite the fact you say you do not advise Trump. Curious how this time seems he is listening to you as does China. What would you do if you were President? JH REPLY: If I was […]

USA & EU Differences in Monetary Policy

August 31, 2017

QUESTION: Sir,      In March 2013 Cyprus performed a forced loan through their banking system of about 50%. You have warned that if they do it there, they will do it here. Are trading accounts safe? Respectfully  DK ANSWER: The Cyprus event was instigated by Germany’s fixation with its hyperinflation and thus they are fighting […]

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