All posts in " Forecasts "

Financial Planning When the Time Comes

By admin / November 21, 2019

QUESTION: Martin, love your blog! My wife and I are retired Americans with modest income, an ‘average’ middle lower class person. We own our home and have no debt. Your blog has opened a whole new world to me and I have followed it for about 5 years. My question after reading it, especially the […]


Life & How it Evolves

By admin / August 27, 2019

QUESTION: Martin; What was the tipping point in your investing infancy that flung you to believe you could invest for others? If so can you tell us the trade? And did you mortgage your house for it? For it appears that the best in the business made it on their own first. Apprehensive at this […]


Forecasting the Broad Trend for Non-Investors

By admin / August 6, 2019

QUESTION: Hello, about your recent post ‘The Sum of All our Economic Fears’… i understand you will give some advices to investors how to trade difficult times that lie ahead in 2020 and beyond. What i wonder is what we, non investors but just ordinary people who does have only house or the apartment they […]


PRIVATE BLOG – Broader Overview

By admin / July 26, 2019

PRIVATE BLOG – Broader Overview Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit


Cycles, Einstein & Galileo – Geometry of Time

By admin / July 19, 2019

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; It has dawned on me studying Einstein’s General Relativity, that the two of you reached the same realization from different fields. Newton’s laws of gravity were turned upside down by Einstein who rejected Newton that there was a linear formation to space. Einstein came up with the fact that space was curved […]


Forecasting Turning Points

By admin / May 10, 2019

QUESTION: Hi, I don’t know if this is a secret or not but I’ll try anyway. I would like to know if you can explain how you manage to predict the turning point, maybe not give all your secrets but if it’s possible just some clues on how you predicted a turning point on the […]


Trying to Forecast Long-Term Technology Trends

By admin / September 22, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I have a hard time envisioning this age of knowledge some claim is behind cryptocurrencies and others claim is behind robots that necessitate a guarantee welfare system. Do you give any credence to these type of forecasts of the long-term future? BG ANSWER: No. This idea that we advance to a higher state of […]


Hidden Order Inside the Chaos or “Noise”

By admin / July 14, 2018

QUESTION: Martin, I have been reading about machine learning recently and have come across a concept that I believe you might have figured out that no one else has. To quote Max Welling “The information we receive from the world has two components to it: there is the part of the information which does not carry […]


The Crisis in Analysis – Is it Just Hopeless?

By admin / April 30, 2018

A new study has come out taking issue with the entire climate change forecasts putting forth that it is at best 45% as intense as the prognostications put forth. The greatest flaw is just how poor these people do their research. They are TOTALLY ignorant of any cyclical trend and project that if the temperature […]


The Resistance to Change is Why We have Panics

By admin / March 15, 2018

COMMENT: I have been following your blogs for the past two years and have attended the past two WECs. I read with interest your continued comments on CALPERS and its pension mismanagement. I’m an attorney advisor and a client disclosed a few months ago that they had purchased $1m in municipal debt on the recommendation […]

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