All posts in " Sovereign Debt Crisis "

Beware of the Real Debt Crisis on the Horizon – not the BS on TV

October 2, 2018

We have to come to the reality that from 2019 onward, we are headed into a Pension Crisis that will be serious. Many are starting to yell about the debt crisis. They lump on private debt and yell its a bubble. What they miss entirely is the fact that we face more than a decade […]

This is No Joke – Monetary Reform Will Be Forced Upon the World

August 15, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I really understand why the government wanted your model so bad. You have been the only one to correctly forecast the entire world. The emerging markets are cracking and the euro is falling apart. What is next in your timetable? ANSWER: We have been warning that the first to crack would be […]

Currency Risk – The Great Unknown That Brings Down Governments

July 16, 2018

QUESTION: Hi, I am not sure if I understand how it would work but obviously, this is highly hypothetical today. If the reserve currency is SDR, we still need debt denominated in SDR and a very large and deep market accessible by investors to park money there. If individual countries have their own currency and issue […]

Did Tariffs Cause Great Depression?

July 9, 2018

The causes of the Great Depression have been debated for decades. The problem with all of the analysis is this same attempt to reduce the cause to a single event. In school, we read the Great Crash by Galbraith. He was a socialist so he blamed the corporations and never bothered to ever even mention the […]

The Pension Crisis Will Break Up the EU

June 5, 2018

The German public broadcast agency ARD is proposing structural changes. Due to the low-interest rates, the ECB has placed the agency in hard times with its pensions. Karola Wille, the director, has called for structural reform to reduce costs. The proposal centers on technological change to increase efficiency in the performance of its mandate. They are […]

A Global Systemic Collapse – Opportunity & Risk

May 29, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; FX Street named you forecaster of the year for your Swiss franc euro peg forecast that also nobody else saw coming. I remember you were named here in Canada as Economist of the Decade for your calls during the 1980s with the 1987 crash and the crash in Japan. I by no […]

Emerging Market Debt Defaults on the Horizon?

May 18, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You said that the emerging markets are a huge problem that will lead to a Sovereign Debt Default. Can you elaborate on that statement? Thank you for your insight VU ANSWER: The emerging markets are in far worse shape today than they were even back in 2008. They have issued heaps of dollar-denominated debt to […]

What If We Just Wiped Out All Debt?

May 15, 2018

QUESTION: Hello Marty I am hoping you will print this in your blog. Everyone knows that Govt’s/Banks print money out of thin air and then “owe interest” to this invented money. To avoid an interest payment death spiral why can’t all the Govt’s in the world just tell the banks to pound sand? Why can’t […]

BIG BANG is Here and Ticking

May 10, 2018

QUESTION:  Dear Marty, due to 5,000-year lows in interest rates, in 2011 the US was able to triple the debt but keep the payments the same as in 1998. With interest rates rising (but still historically low) in 2017 the US paid the highest interest payment on the debt in history. Could you please elaborate […]

Why National Debts Eventually Default

May 9, 2018

  QUESTION: If governments have been borrowing without limit since world war 2, are you saying that there is some line that is cross in debt to GDP that results in default? Thank you JU ANSWER: No. The debt to GDP ratio is interesting. The USA is at about 103% and China is at 250%. […]

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