All posts in " Interest Rates "
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Can Rates Rise with Deflation?

By admin / December 24, 2016

QUESTION: Hi Marty, How does the model’s call for deflation (earlier blog posts) fit in with the likely major cycle low in interest rates (per your recent posts)? Can there be general price deflation and yet interest rates increase significantly? ANSWER: Yes. Rates can soar to outrageous levels during the collapse of a system, which reflects […]

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Beware of Bond Funds

By admin / December 20, 2016

QUESTION #1: Dear Mr Armstrong, you recently wrote that if you are in any bond fund, better get out. Do you also mean corporate short-term/medium-term bonds or are those expected to rise when people realise government debt is the real bubble ? Kind regards. WL. QUESTION #2:  Mr. Armstrong- I enjoyed my first WEC immensely! In […]

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Fed Raises Rates Quarter Point

By admin / December 14, 2016

The Fed raised the interest rate a quarter-point increase in the discount, or primary credit, rate, from 1 percent to 1.25 percent, and moved its target range from a range of 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent to 0.5 percent to 0.75 percent. The overnight funds rate currently sits at 0.41 percent. The Fed was citing the […]

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Lobbying Moves into High Gear Against Fed Rate Hike

By admin / December 13, 2016

The lobbying is off and running is super-high gear to stop the Fed from raising rates once again. Governments all over the world have a very myopic view and focused only on the next quarter, or the next election. The Reserve Bank of India also fears that the US Fed’s impending interest rise would affect the external […]

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Fed to Be of Not to Be This Week – 14th

By admin / December 10, 2016

Today, any information ahead of something like a rate hike is seen as insider trading. But back during the 1970s going into 1981, things were different. The banks were not big proprietary traders. I would routinely get a call that the Fed would raise rates in 15 minutes. It was not that someone was trying […]

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Do Lower Interest Rates Promote Deflation?

By admin / October 25, 2016

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You have said that the only way to reverse the deflation is to raise interest rates not lower them. I understand that the low rates only reduce the cost of funds for banks, but it hallows-out savings and pensions. Has anyone listened to you and tried the opposite trend to raise interest […]

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Does the Fed Fear a Dollar Rally & Bond Crash?

By admin / October 7, 2016

  QUESTION: Numerous people have asked: Does the FED actually also see these trends coming (strong US dollar, bond crash) ? K. ANSWER: Yes. The Fed has sent people to the major banking houses and told them outright that their models are wrong. They have been telling them quietly that there may not be a […]

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Fed has become World Central Bank

By admin / September 22, 2016

The U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged yet strongly indicated that it could still tighten monetary policy by the end of this year as the labor market improved further. Wages are actually rising because the work force is aging actually reducing the availability of workers in many skilled areas other than doctors, lawyers, and politicians. […]

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Inflation – Deflation – Interest Rates

By admin / September 16, 2016

QUESTION: Is there a correlation between the GDP rate and interest rate ? Best regards, BL ANSWER: No. What central bankers fail to take into consideration is that the interest rate is the OPPORTUNITY COST of money as reflected into the future. This is why interest rates naturally decline during a recession because of the future expectation of what […]

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Global Debt with Negative Rates Reaches $12 Trillion

By admin / July 5, 2016

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I am really confused regarding long-term interest rates – I had thought they were controlled by the markets – but it seems at time that the central banks control them by buying the governments debt. Can you shed some light on this? Can the central banks just keep printing and buying […]

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