Reuters conducted a poll that reveals just how upset the American people really are. As for Mainstream media – I warned that they have betrayed the people. Reuters has shown that 76% of the people no longer trust the mainstream media.
COMMENT: Marty; It is fantastic that you take the time to address the Midlands [in Britain]. You are great and the only one who forecast BREXIT. Today’s show on the your elections was an eye opener.
Thanks for keeping us in the loop on this side of the pond
REPLY: I always enjoy doing Richie’s show. Britain was always my second home. Whenever I lectured in Scotland they always introduced me as 7th generation Edinburgh rather than an American. That was always good for a smile.
As the Southern part of Florida State comes in, the sharp lead has flattened out 50% for Trump 42% for Hillary. The staggering difference of 59% to 30% from the Tampa region shows the deep difference between the more Spanish area in Miami. Nonetheless, if Florida goes for Trump, we could see the same in Ohio. Nationally, this appears to be coming in as a tight race. That is not very good for Trump.
I am in Florida and I have to say I have NEVER seen one sign out there for Hillary nor anyone on the side of the road pitching for Hillary. This is clearly Trump territory. More than 50% of voters voted early. The turnout will most likely be a record. There is often a correlation between Florida and Ohio. If Florida goes for Trump, Ohio may do the same.
Many areas are already seeing long lines with some officials saying they wouldn’t be surprised if voter turnout topped 80% of registered voters. So far, our computer is on track. If the voting turnout reached 82%, we will have a new historic high that beats even the post-Civil War. If we just exceed 62%, we will have made a new high post-1924, which is our minimum forecast.
This election, if rigged, will be devastating for the 2018 Congressional election. We should expect a real “draining of the swamp” to put it mildly. A Hillary victory will not settle well with the population. The differences are too black and white. We are looking at looking at a major uprising in tensions that will spawn civil unrest for much of the nation is very tired of being extorted by the other half under Socialistic/Marxism. Twitter is lighting up with voter fraud as people have seen voting for Trump has resulted in machines switching it to Hillary. Some reports are making it to the newspapers as well.
The Socialist Party of America was formed in 1901. Therefore, that cycle would be have the political crisis cycle of 224 making it 112 years or 2013. The American socialists began to explode in 1904. McClure’s Magazine had led the way, in October 1902, highlighting corruption in city governments. In January 1903, McClure’s carried a series on Standard Oil, and featured an article on corruption in labor unions. McClure’s sales boomed, exposing corruption and other publications quickly saw the trend and jumped on board. In 1904, the leading socialist weekly in the United States was the Appeal to Reason. It was 1904 when Teddy Roosevelt was elected to a full term when he championed new socialist philosophy under the label “progressive” policies. Many of his efforts were blocked in Congress.
Here we are, 2016 is 112 years from the 1904 election. Cyclically, it should be the opposite trend meaning that Trump should win and Hillary’s socialist agenda should be defeated. If this does not unfold, the election is rigged and this will only lead to serious tensions within the nation. Hillary already has made it clear. She will by no means reach out to Trump’s “deplorables”.
Well, the election that seemed to never end is finally coming to an end, but will it end today? This is very interesting to watch how biased the press has become and clearly they have lost all credibility. This election is the most dramatic I have ever seen in my lifetime. Normally, there is really no difference between who is elected. This time, it is so black and white, you really have to stop and think.
A Clinton victory will be good for the dollar, but for all the wrong reasons. Hillary is bought and paid for so we will see her wage war against Syria/Russia on behalf of Saudi Arabia & Qatar. A Trump victory will be exactly the opposite and a move back to isolationist, which will be far more positive for the domestic economy and a 15% corporate tax rates would see $3 trillion in cash pour back into the USA. The dollar will soar for economic reasons. So it appears that no matter who wins, the dollar will rise and that will aid the stock market.
Nevertheless, the markets appear to be manipulated for they are desperately trying to sell the share market down under the theory Trump might win. This certainly would not even hold up fundamentally given our models and the trend in capital flows. Clearly, the powers that be are trying very hard to press the market down to say see what Trump would do. The logic is completely opposite whereas Clinton will get us into war and raise taxes while Trump would be more isolationist and be far more pro-economic growth.
Our models show more of a reaction than a trend changer. Just watch the 160150 level in the 30-year bond futures. A monthly closing below that level will signal the Bond Bubble has burst. In the Dow Jones Industrials, the number to watch will be a monthly closing below 17330. These are the numbers to pay attention to that would signal a change in trend mid-term. Meanwhile, a closing in gold on a monthly basis below 1242 will also signal a change in trend to the downside is likely.
Florida and Texas as other states have reported the largest turnout to vote in the pre-election ballot period history. So far, the computer has been correct on that score. We should see a huge turnout, which probably would favor Trump, rather than Hillary given the sheer numbers of people who show up for their rallies. But I personally do not see where the establishment will allow Trump to win. He needs a clear majority to pull this one off. If it’s close, they will hand it to Hillary one way or another. There is no chance of any criminal charges with respect to the email issue setting a precedent that she will not doubt continue as President.