All posts in " Basic Concepts "

ECM 2015.75: The Rock vs. Hard Place

May 22, 2016

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, with your 2015.75 turning point on the ECM, you said that was the peak in government and the following 4.3 years would turn down rather hard. You also said 2016 would be a strong rise in 3rd party activity and people are now talking even about Bernie running 3rd party. You said […]

Trump & Interest Rates

May 22, 2016

QUESTION:  Martin– Your models seem to predict a Trump win. Given Trump’s stated preference for low interest rates, how does that jive with rates needing to go up to normalize things and save pensions in the next year or two? Would the Fed have to give in to President Trump? Thanks! RK ANSWER: Keep two […]

Growing Shortage of US Dollars & Capital Flows

May 20, 2016

There have been a some unusual capital flow developments involving Egypt that illustrate a shortage of dollars caused by the decline in oil prices. However, this may also, in part, signal someone is trying to get money out of Egypt. This decline in oil has resulted in a decline in subsidies for Egypt from other […]

The Wave of Deflation & Rising Unemployment

May 19, 2016

QUESTION: Marty, years ago you did a chart showing the projection for unemployment. I believe I understand what you were projection for the company I work for has been replacing people with technology on a large scale. So we can have rising corporate profits with rising unemployment as technology changes everything. Is there a point […]

The Difference Between Money & Currency

May 19, 2016

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, there appears to be a dispute between what is money and what is a currency. Can you define each easily? Thank you LW ANSWER: “Currency” is an official monetary instrument used in commerce. Currency must be “legal tender,” which means the government will accept it in payment for taxes. “Money” is a much […]

US Breakup Becoming More Mainstream

May 15, 2016

At the Texas Republican Convention, state delegates met and had a heated debate over the question of seceding from the United States. Yes, you read correctly. What began as grass roots movement made it all the way to the top. The Republican state convention eventually struck a resolution from being added to the party’s platform […]

Failure of the Quantity of Money Theory

May 9, 2016

QUESTION: Marty; Are you saying that Bill Gross is wrong and they will not try “helicopter money” again or that “helicopter money” will not stimulate the economy? ANSWER: Whether or not the Fed tries to apply “helicopter money” is highly debatable. Bill Gross DID NOT make a forecast that any QE (Quantitative Easing) would be successful or […]

Did the Fed Create Cash or Debt with QE?

May 8, 2016

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; some people say you are wrong because the Fed did not create “cash,” but rather made more debt available through the QE process and whether people hoard money is irrelevant. I do not agree with this statement for the Fed clearly bought bonds, they did not create debt. It seems some people have […]

Why the Quantity of Money Theory is DEAD Wrong

May 5, 2016

COMMENT: Bill Gross says you are wrong and helicopter money is coming and the Fed should print trillions to buy government bonds. Any comments? REPLY:Gross is not making a forecast without self-interest. Gross’ “helicopter money” calls for the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury to engage in another round of quantitative easing (QE) by printing trillions of […]

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